I'm not rowing back at all. I'm saying that while most of the points you raise are true in the sense that having larger numbers of people to start out with would have these effects, these effects cannot fix the core problems with the IWCA's strategy. (1) An inability to spread beyond the initial area and (2) an inability to sustain work in the initial area once the initial core group of activists start to fall away.
I'm sure we've been through all this before haven't we Nigel? Many times in fact. Presumably, you are working on the principle that if you repeat something often enough it will become accepted as fact?
(1) In oxford, what would become the IWCA flagship project began in one ward, migrated into a neighbouring one, then onto Churchill ward, a good distance away. Initial spade work in Barton ward showed promise, while county council elections taking in a different demographic were also contested. Along the way the IWCA came within a whisker on more than one occasion to the roster of 4 cllrs spread across three wards.
So much then for the theory of an inability to spread beyond the 'initial area'.
(2) Nothing more than wishful thinking on your part. Again Oxford offers a useful example having been the pilot scheme that stood most candidates, (mostly as a result of elections coming in 2 rather than 4 years cycles). Not only did the area of influence spread as illustrated above, but of all of the candidates that stood for the IWCA in that time, a mere two were from the 'core initial group'.
Of the four IWCA councillors, all but one, were recruited from the estates.
Sort of makes tatters of your comforting 'falling away of members' being inevitable, theory.
The real reason the IWCA was outgunned in Oxford, was not because of any inherent flaw as would like to believe, but because the much loved 'Labour Movement' of Trotskyist mythology, massed as many as could from the South East Region (which includes Oxford Uni) to deliver the fatal blow.
They failed. But not by much.
Incidentally, should you doubt it, this was common knowledge. (On this forum a Green Party cllr stated it was 'their absolute priority' ).
Why was the IWCA, Labour's priority? Because they were frit. Because they unlike, the conservative Left recognise, the strategy has - a
universal application. It was the same reason other mainstream parties including the Tories collaborated with them. In Islington in 2006 the leader of the Lib Dems was literally on the shoulder of a leading Labour candidate in the wards being contested by the IWCA cheering him on, for the same reason. At the count, as the results each and every tally for the IWCA candidate drew gasps and then boos from the Labour worthies, (3000 in total) for the same reason.
For them it was seen as a mutinous challenge to the status quo; a strategy that needed relatively few resources to deliver the type of electoral cutting edge that had eluded the entire Trot left for half a century.
Of course they felt vulnerable. What's your excuse?