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The big Brexit thread - news, updates and discussion

i havent listened to it - will do
but i think for Trump to attempt a coup he'd need a lot of support - military, close cabal cabinet level, and within the republican party higher eschelons in general - I cant see it
are there some trump maniacs out there in the public - 100% - but they're a small squashable ineffective force
we'll find out tomorrow!

I can't see the armed right rising to snatch the election back from a clear loss but if he tries to declare early and snatch it the Republican party faced with years out of power might find it too tempting not to go along with it. Then protests from the left could escalate and larger, better organised, versions of what's happened in Portland breaking out in other cities, troops being sent in to crush uprisings etc. Not impossible and I think the left is actually better organised and with more roots in urban communities than the assault weapon fetishists on the right.

Anyway, wrong thread but it may take longer to get a clear result than they imagine.
 
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I’m still trying to get my head round the logic of that statement. Probably shouldn’t have bothered as there likely isn’t any.

I reckon Johnson had high hopes of a trump victory, probably given some reassuring numbers from whatever Cambridge Analytica type outfit was bending the will of the US electorate and motivating non-voting racists etc., but then it just hasn’t quite come through so his plan of sticking the economy on a US life-raft post a no-deal fuck up has sunk. The ideas cupboard is probably bare. Time to sell the fishing industry down the river and take whatever shitty deal Barnier offers.
 
This trope about the US election is pointless, even in rooted in Johnson’s kaleidoscope worldview . The US does what is good for the US, not what is good for everyone else. There will be no real advantage to being chums with a resurgent Phoenix like trump or a more likely dawn of the undead Biden. We don’t get favours that cost the US anything despite our self proclaimed position of being besties with the prez.
 
This trope about the US election is pointless, even in rooted in Johnson’s kaleidoscope worldview . The US does what is good for the US, not what is good for everyone else. There will be no real advantage to being chums with a resurgent Phoenix like trump or a more likely dawn of the undead Biden. We don’t get favours that cost the US anything despite our self proclaimed position of being besties with the prez.

I’m sure Trump would have offered a favourable deal to the U.K. in order to encourage more states to split off from the EU, making an example of how well it could go. His backers want the superstate dismantled. Whether any such plan would get through Congress is questionable.
 
I’m still trying to get my head round the logic of that statement. Probably shouldn’t have bothered as there likely isn’t any.

I reckon Johnson had high hopes of a trump victory, probably given some reassuring numbers from whatever Cambridge Analytica type outfit was bending the will of the US electorate and motivating non-voting racists etc., but then it just hasn’t quite come through so his plan of sticking the economy on a US life-raft post a no-deal fuck up has sunk. The ideas cupboard is probably bare. Time to sell the fishing industry down the river and take whatever shitty deal Barnier offers.
The thought that Johnson is feeling depressed at the sight of the Tangerine Turd slowly and painfully losing (the election and his marbles) is the cherry on top as far as I am concerned.
 
I’m sure Trump would have offered a favourable deal to the U.K. in order to encourage more states to split off from the EU, making an example of how well it could go. His backers want the superstate dismantled. Whether any such plan would get through Congress is questionable.

I doubt it'd have been that favourable. The US would protect its interests as ruthlessly as it always does, but where it could be done without causing domestic ructions they'd probably throw in a few concessions to give the appearance of generosity. As you say, they want to peel off more states from the EU, and shafting the UK too egregiously wouldn't be a good start.
 
This trope about the US election is pointless, even in rooted in Johnson’s kaleidoscope worldview . The US does what is good for the US, not what is good for everyone else. There will be no real advantage to being chums with a resurgent Phoenix like trump or a more likely dawn of the undead Biden. We don’t get favours that cost the US anything despite our self proclaimed position of being besties with the prez.

This is true but the uk political class has a real boner for the special relationship even after decades of the us doing whatever it likes.

“But I can change him!” About sums it up.
 
On the Andrew Marr programme this morning Dominic Rabb said the Good Friday Agreement was not under threat from the UK but from the EU.
Putting to one side that he is totally wrong in saying that, and the reverse of what he said is the truth, what he seems to be acknowledging is that the Good Friday Agreement is indeed under threat.
 
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