platinumsage
HaveMyPassword123
Pretty much 100% certain Tory win, I guess Labour and the Libs won't stand, although a good chance for various loons to lose their deposit.
Southend West By-election
- Thread starter platinumsage
- Start date
Serge Forward
Just enjoyin' my coffee.
My money's on it being uncontested with single Tory candidate.
platinumsage
HaveMyPassword123
Joseph 77 might have another go:
brogdale
Coming to terms with late onset Anarchism
Serge Forward
Just enjoyin' my coffee.
How could I forget the Twat in the Hat.
Dom Traynor
Tino Pai
No question Labour or Libdems would be stupid to stand and won't anyway. Would be interesting to see if Galloway would see a niche, I can't see one for him right here right now though.
I'm sure far right and anti mask and anti vax types will see an opportunity and I guess one of the Extinction Rebellion splinters might do something though feels unlikely.
I'm sure far right and anti mask and anti vax types will see an opportunity and I guess one of the Extinction Rebellion splinters might do something though feels unlikely.
ViolentPanda
Hardly getting over it.
The older brother of Joe 90.
ViolentPanda
Hardly getting over it.
Cunt brings shame to the fedora.
platinumsage
HaveMyPassword123
Galloway won't stand because he likes to leverage the local muslims who in this case will tell him to fuck off.
MickiQ
In My Defence I was left Unsupervised
A byelection is just going through the motions. Labour and LibDems won't stand. They would just be wasting their money no matter how the seat became vacant so they might as well quote the Jo Cox justification and save the money.
I'm sure there will be a few fringe nutters/loons standing but they're basically just punting their deposits on whatever motivates them whether it's ego or just plain craziness.
I'm sure there will be a few fringe nutters/loons standing but they're basically just punting their deposits on whatever motivates them whether it's ego or just plain craziness.
That graph fascinates me. Labour improved its performance between '97-'01, which is rather unlike most other seats, while Corbyn came closest (from a Lab POV) to nabbing the seat off the Tories with a stunning more than doubling in vote in '17. And the Lib Dems were within a whisker of off taking it in '97 but now have the vote share of the Monster Raving Looneys.
platinumsage
HaveMyPassword123
The Corbyn doubling happened at the same time as in increase in the Con vote, as Corbyn seems to have hoovered up votes from both UKIP and the LibDems.
StoneRoad
heckling from the back!
I think it is unlikely that the Labour & LibDem parties will stand, they'll treat it in the same way as Batley & Spen.
Something I would agree with.
But, there is no such "pressure" or convention with independent candidates.
Galloway might stand, but in the circumstances I hope his deposit gets lost.
However, I spotted some speculation a few days ago - no sure where, now, so I might not be able to find it again - that the dear leader was thinking about another snap / winter election. If that's true, then the situation gets more complex, as a general election only a couple of months later would really be a free-for-all, even in in this constituency. I think much of the Tory vote was down to the late David Amess personality, and some of that loyalty might not transfer.
Something I would agree with.
But, there is no such "pressure" or convention with independent candidates.
Galloway might stand, but in the circumstances I hope his deposit gets lost.
However, I spotted some speculation a few days ago - no sure where, now, so I might not be able to find it again - that the dear leader was thinking about another snap / winter election. If that's true, then the situation gets more complex, as a general election only a couple of months later would really be a free-for-all, even in in this constituency. I think much of the Tory vote was down to the late David Amess personality, and some of that loyalty might not transfer.
MickiQ
In My Defence I was left Unsupervised
So what? I'm not going to contest it either and their decision to not contest it will have the same effect on the outcome as mine
19sixtysix
Life as viewed from a Gay Gorbals Garret
Democracy in action from parties denying voters a choice. Very much a right wing labour Party favourite election method. One member one vote one candidate. Blair and Brown's preferred method of election.
platinumsage
HaveMyPassword123
There's nothing to stop anyone standing as the The Continuity Labour Candidate and voting with the Labour whip in parliament. Perhaps you should have a crack?
not-bono-ever
meh
No one will stand against the the shiny faced shit bag who comes along . Respect for the peoples politician
tim
EXPLODED TIM! (Help me!!!)
I couldn't imagine a Corbyn led, Momentum dominated Labour Party being willing to contest this by-election.
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moochedit
I'm not feeding seagulls
I could see piers corbyn having a go.
MickiQ
In My Defence I was left Unsupervised
Well he falls in the loon category doesn't he
Kaka Tim
Half Arsed and Slapdash till I Die
souljacker
innit
I've heard a few mentions of this and just can't see why Johnson would do it. He doesn't need a mandate for anything at the moment so doesn't need a GE to push through any policies. Labour are shit so would be very unlikely to steal any seats. It would be a stupid waste of time.
StoneRoad
heckling from the back!
I agree, but winning another easy election would give him more time to do his thing before he has to face a difficult one with a real opposition or problems start up within his party.
Elpenor
Dancing as fast as I can
Probably at Southend airport
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