Been reading various Brand supporters and 'truthseekers' asking of his (alleged) victims: "why didn't they go to the police? Why go to the media?"
One easy response is that Harvey Weinstein's trial and conviction were preceded by the
New York Times and
New Yorker investigations, and that after their findings were published, more victims came forward to strengthen the police's / prosecution's case.
Another response to the sceptics is this graph below (
taken from the Graun, and 10 years old, but quite honestly after Wayne Couzens and David Carrick, I wouldn't be surprised if the number of women - or men - contacting the police to report being raped may now be even lower
).
My maths was never great. but I make it that if 15,670 reported cases result in only 1,070 convictions, that's a
6.8 per cent success rate.
Also very telling is the estimated number of rape crimes compared with the number that result in convictions (because so few are reported): between
1.13 and 1.78 per cent.
So it's completely unsurprising that rape victims would be reluctant to go to the police, and would have more faith in a sympathetic journalist.
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