Well, there's been a lot of demands for an outlining of the scenario if it wasn't suicide.
Honestly, I've no idea, just a gut feeling. having spent a little time searching for more information on the circumstances of dr kelly's death, I've found that I can't actually find anything on the web about the details of where he was found, who found him, what immediate evidence there was to hand of other people's involvement, all the kind of things you'd expect the inquest that didn't happen to consider. So basically it's quite difficult to have much of an idea.
But just so as to prove that it's not impossible to put a half-plausible speculation up:
Dr Kelly goes for a walk. He meets a couple of spooks appointed to kill him.
They have him at gunpoint, and order him to ingest the pills. He does this, maybe he knows he's a dead man, maybe they threaten his family if he doesn't comply, maybe they say, if you don't comply we'll shoot you in the balls and leave you to bleed to death.
And then once he's unconscious, they cut his wrist and he bleeds to death.
Having said that, I've no idea why he took his penknife with him. Is that a fact? If it is, couldn't the spooks have planted the penknife. Who took custody of Kelly's body? Did no-one have the opportunity to plant the penknife later? Mayber the penknife was just a coincidence and the murderers found it in his pocket, took advantage and improvised.
~Alternatively, maybe the cuts and the drugs were irrelevant, and he was killed by having an airbubble injected into an artery, and then we were mislead by reports.
It's not that easy actually. I'll give the sceptics that. And trying it has given me pause to doubt my own gut feeling. But honestly, it's very difficult to find out what really happened. If it was murder, then you can be sure that the truth is well covered by now, and it seems likely that whoever was in charge of the investigation was party to the conspiracy if there was one. Now if only Inspector Morse had been the investigator, then it might be a different story.
Edited to add: I've now found a lot more detail. The actual evidence given at the Hutton inquiry
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/spl/hi/uk/03/hutton_inquiry/hutton_report/html/chapter05.stm#a28
It wasn't a penknife, it was a gardening knife, or pruning implement, apparently, well in fact it was described as a gardening knife by Constable Page, but a penknife that he had owned from boyhood by others, and was normally kept in his study drawer.
The policeman originally on scene found the empty packets of tablets himself. He testifies to no signs of a struggle. Certainly reading the policeman's evidence gives me some cause to doubt my gut feeling. It's difficult after reading through the evidence given at the Hutton inquiry to doubt that it was suicide. But all the same there's nothing there that's not also consistent with a professional fake suicide. And let's face it, if the government does kill people like that, they are going to be professional about it.
Does the government have a track record for being unconcerned or concerned about extra-judicial killings of people who make trouble for their projects?