Infection control rules in the NHS are ‘now disproportionate to the risks’ posed by covid and should be relaxed, including potentially allowing staff with covid to work, some of the NHS’s most senior leaders have said.
Unfortunately, I've been expecting the map to do the going back to deep purple again.View attachment 315360
bloody hell (although not really surprising)
Removing all restrictions before Omicron had been properly subdued
Do you think that dropping self isolation when infectious with covid, including in hospitals, is a good idea at this point?I am finding it hard to see that this is now an option.
I know that one view is that we should have continued with mask requirements for longer, and it's not something I'd have argued against, but what is the evidence that it really would have made a lot of difference?
In February I was in Germany. The difference in approach to mask rules there, compared to the UK, was very striking. Almost everyone was wearing a mask in every situation they were supposed to - in shops, on trains, on buses, in galleries, pretty much everywhere except restaurants and bars. Furthermore almost everyone was wearing an FFP2 mask and almost everyone was wearing it properly. So in other words what they were doing was the absolute best case scenario for compliance that we could ever have seen here.
As far as I'm aware, they've only just announced that they will end these requirements, and many states are opting to continue for another couple of weeks.
But when I look at their case numbers, they do not appear to be doing any better than the UK.
View attachment 315367
Of course, I know that differences in testing regimes can make these figures misleading.
I've not been able to find any "prevalance" numbers for Germany, to compare with those from the UK REACT study etc. Nor hospitalisations. But their deaths figures don't appear to be any better than ours either.
View attachment 315368
I now find it a little hard to see that we could really, meaningfully suppress Omicron numbers without a return to lockdowns and shutting down of hospitality etc.
I'm very willing to be argued against on this.
Are you "one of these people" who never really bothers to read what someone's actually written?Are you one of these people who doesn’t accept that masks have an impact on transmission?
Whitty raised concerns that other areas of public health had “gone backwards” in the last two years, including obesity and alcohol. Child obesity rates in particular were now “significantly worse” than they were at the start of the pandemic, he warned.
However, while there was an urgent need to tackle problems in a number of other areas of public health, Covid-19 remained a major threat, he said. “Covid cases are now rising quite rapidly – from quite a high base – and this is driven by a number of different factors, of which BA.2, the new Omicron variant is a large part. Rates are high and rising in virtually all parts of England.”
“If we look at hospitalisations, there are now quite significant numbers of people in hospital,” he told delegates at the conference. “They are now rising again, and I think will continue to rise for at least the next two weeks – so there is pressure on the NHS.
“It is currently being driven by Omicron rather than new variants, but we need to keep a very close eye on this because at any point new variants could emerge anywhere in the world, including the UK, as happened with the Alpha variant.”
Asked by a delegate when the pandemic might end, Whitty said that while Covid would become less dominant over time, it would remain a significant problem across the world “for the rest of our lives”.
“Let’s have no illusions about that. I’m expecting it to be probably – in the UK – seasonal but interspersed at least for the next two or three years by new variants … I think we should just accept that is what we’re going to deal with and just roll with it rather than expect some end point.”
The numbers in Scotland are shocking at the moment.I feel rather more that it's only a matter of time til I get it than I have at any point so far during the pandemic.
I am hopeful we could be reaching the peak of this new wave soon, the increases in the 7-day average of reported new cases has been slowing over the last week or so, up 'just' +8.5% today.
Here in Worthing, which has been in the top three areas for infection rates in England for a few weeks now, the 7-day averages have actually started to drop this last week, down -8.3% today.