elbows
Well-Known Member
It's quite notable that comparing to Italy, Spain and France, with whom we'd previously been sharing vaguely similar trajectories, we've now gone in a quite different direction. UK was doing a bit better in the early stages of the second wave, then two or three weeks ago we lost control. So did Ireland but their numbers not yet as bad.
Control is possible, and possible to lose, at an earlier stage than deaths. Control was lost in late November and early December in regions to the south and east that have driven our deaths to more than double those seen in the November plateau.
Spain will get worsse again, as alarming rises in hospitalisations are showing up in their data again recently. This should be very evident next time I publish my graph of Covid-19 patients in hospital in a few countries. I just have to wait for todays data, and will likely put that graph on the worldwide thread when its ready.
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