butchersapron
Bring back hanging
The rotter will - uniquely - try to spin things to his advantage?He's working out a way to spin it to give the impression to his very impressionable acolytes that he actually won.
The rotter will - uniquely - try to spin things to his advantage?He's working out a way to spin it to give the impression to his very impressionable acolytes that he actually won.
You have my sympathies, listening to right wing American talk radio. Used to do that on long trips to stay awake. It's hard to fall asleep when you are yelling at the radio.
Just and
Climate change is already causing population movements, what are all the people who moved to the mainland US from Puerto Rico after last year's hurricane if not climate refugees? I don't think it's an either/or thing with the poverty issue, in Latin America as elsewhere, it's going to be the poorest people who are the hardest hit by things like stronger storms, crop failures, etc.
The area many of the Central American migrants arriving at the US border are coming from is called the "Dry Corridor" and drought has forced a lot of people to leave their land - talking about climate change driving migrants north isn't "neo-Malthusian doom-mongering," it's a description of what is already happening.
Changing climate forces desperate Guatemalans to migrate
While scientists know that El Niño contributes to increases in global temperatures, it is still unclear whether human-induced climate change is causing El Niño events to intensify and occur more frequently.
Good point here.
I do think things are likely to get worse yet, but I wouldn't say he's scored a win.He's also managed to get his SOTU with this move. If he's as much of a petulant toddler as he makes himself out to be then, from his perspective, he's scored a win as Pelosi now has to back down over his SOTU request.
Now that he's partially had his way, his next shutdown will be longer (and nastier).
I do think things are likely to get worse yet, but I wouldn't say he's scored a win.
Well . . . got to admit, she knows how to get under his skin.
Because look at how the right built power, slowly taking control of electoral boards and the judiciary. They managed this without screaming victory and posting Twitter memes. Trump being a gobshite isn’t that useful other than as a distraction, the power is already in their hands. Maybe better if Democrats don’t do little victory dances and try to rub it in people’s faces.
The key part of what I said is that "from his perspective he's scored a win". By any objective measure he has lost. However, we are dealing with someone who plays by their own set of rules and determines victory or defeat by their own personal criteria. Getting his SOTU show back on track and, by extension, Pelosi now being required to re-invite him to the house is the personal victory here; you only have to look at the recent fuss he made about it to see that. He's also concerned about his polling figures tanking but he's likely banking on a bump in the numbers now that he's re-opened the govt.
Even though Pelosi still has caveats about him going ahead, he will now weaponise the SOTU issue in order to attempt to turn public opinion around and re-direct some of this ire back to the dems.
If he was genuinely interested in re-opening the govt. properly and not just granting this temporary repreive before digging in for another shutdown over this idiotic wall, it would not have been re-opened for 3-weeks. The man has already trailered a national emergency declaration as part of the upcoming Wall Shutdown II.
Are you actually being aggressive in your use of quotation marks here or am I misreading the intent of your post?By now, we all know that Trump and the GOP will spin any action to make it look "good" for them. They'll outright lie and insist they've won, and they would have done so this time, regardless of what Pelosi said or did. The people who already hate Democrats, hate Pelosi, hate women in leadership, etc., will continue to hate on her regardless. Yes, Trump will try and "weaponise" the situation to try and bump up his support, but he would have done that with whatever situation. The only people who'll buy his latest plate of bullshit will be the ones who already back him to the hilt, so his "numbers" are likely to get much of a "bump."
I would far rather see a Speaker of the House use the powers that are at their disposal, limited though they are, to undermine the Executive branch's continuing overreach. She's one of the few political leaders who's had the balls to stand up to him, to call out his toddler like, bully like behaviour. Plenty who opposed her as Speaker are changing their tune now. Her efforts may be just putting sand in the gears and tacks under the tires, but if it slows the machine, perhaps to allow other actions to come into play - the Mueller investigation, other legal action against Trump, his family and cronies, etc, then it's better than rolling over and playing dead, surely. Also, it gives some hope to the people fighting Trump/GOP to keep up that fight in whatever way they can.
I think you are perhaps misreading and perhaps I also misunderstood the intention of your post. I do regret if that is the case.Are you actually being aggressive in your use of quotation marks here or am I misreading the intent of your post?
And, more generally, is that your reading of my post? Is that what you took away from it?
Pence had a meeting with Senate Republicans on Thursday and on Friday Trump caved.The key part of what I said is that "from his perspective he's scored a win". By any objective measure he has lost. However, we are dealing with someone who plays by their own set of rules and determines victory or defeat by their own personal criteria. Getting his SOTU show back on track and, by extension, Pelosi now being required to re-invite him to the house is the personal victory here;
It’s better for Trump to play the underdog, elate Pelosi so there is a hate figure for right wing rage to focus on (and sadly easier if it’s a woman). It’s politically useful to have a target to fight against, rather than something to fight for. Watch this campaign develop.
His polling has remained rock solid between 38 and 42% approval. But he has held about 90% among "Republican" identifying respondents to polls. Never close to enough to win again in 2020..I doubt he's got enough 'core support' to win another election though
and I think he'll lose a lot of the relatively sane republicans with this fiasco.
The movement here is remarkable. In November, Trump was seven points underwater with independents. Since then, the gulf between his disapproval and approval has widened an additional 22 points. Among Republicans, who generally like Trump, there was a similar change. He was 82 points above water in November and is now only 62 points above water, with his approval among Republicans dropping below 80 percent. That’s a swing of minus-20 points. (By contrast, the swing toward Trump among Democrats was only plus-14 points.)
https://www.washingtonpost.com/poli...tanked-since-november/?utm_term=.3e3eb4ca8c55Those are the relatively minor shifts against Trump. Notice the graph for independent women. In November, Trump was six points underwater with that group. Since, he’s dropped to minus-51, with 6 in 10 independent women now saying they view him with strong disapproval. The margin of error with this group is larger than the overall population, of course, but that’s a significant change. Among Republican women, Trump’s net approval dropped 26 points.
Fair enough. It seems my communication these days is somewhat crap...I think you are perhaps misreading and perhaps I also misunderstood the intention of your post. I do regret if that is the case.
Yeah, I clearly need to work on my communication skills. I was not offering up any criticism of Pelosi or the dems for holding firm against Trump. It would have been insane for the dems to cave to Trump over this funding issue anyway as he would have no qualms about repeating the governemnt shutdown as a negotiating tactic if he was successful using such strongarm tactics this time around...Your post said Trump would weaponise the State of the Union speech bunfight to try and make Pelosi look bad and in hopes of bumping up his ratings, which I took to mean you thought her actions were wrong/counterproductive - either because it achieved only a temporary reprieve or because Pelosi poked the hornet's next, Trump/GOP will come up with something even more damaging and cruel than they'd have done otherwise. Democrats in Congress, and among the ordinary everyday members know that Trump is unpredictable, and will randomly blame them for shit, regardless of what they do. I read your post as a criticism of the Speaker and of Democrats generally, but I may have misunderstood.
I don't disagree with any of that. The only thing that I have a problem with is quoting my post as if I'm saying it's an actual win for Trump as opposed to what I imagine his fevered imagination is telling him. As for the 4D chess shit, I doubt that guy could master regular chess. The man's an obnoxious unstable buffoon.Pence had a meeting with Senate Republicans on Thursday and on Friday Trump caved.
This is not a win, its a rapidly emerging lame duck president having lost his legislature allies on a highly divisive policy course.
His gamble was that the tax cuts and trade war would bring growth and jobs making him popular, that has not happened. Now he is in a very tight spot with little beyond the Republican base behind him. That is way too little for him to win in 2020 so if he cannot pull a rabbit from the hat, the Repulicans on the Hill will ditch him.
The Republicans on the Hill were the ones taking the least damage from this. But that was not going to return the House to them in 2020. Trump's popularity with the Republican base is the only thing between him and the legislators throwing him under a bus right now. This was a desperate strategy to try to gain an easy win over the House Democrats, they held firm and even bit the bullet with the dis-invite.
Once the public discourse starts that he is a lame duck, his authority will ebb rapidly and his problems mount.
The other big issue for republican party managers is state legislatures. They draw the congress districts and in many of them there are Democrat majorities by vote but Republican majorities in the state and Congress seats returned. If Trumps unpopularity turns a few of those Democrat in 2020 it will be big long term losses for the Republican machine, on top of the demographic shift towards a less white more educated population currently under way.
Trump got bullied into cracking by his own team.
There is no 4D chess here, just a man running out of alleys to run down and with few rabbits left in his hat.
I think there has been a "mutually beneficial relationship" between Trump and the GOP. He wasn't their first pick, and there were many hard swallows when he got through the primaries, but figured he was still the best bet for getting through the laws and policies they wanted, and to pack the courts to impose their world view on America, indefinitely. That's something about Republicans of my acquaintance. They seem to have this idea that they are the "natural" party of government and the Democratic Party are interlopers - against the natural order. More recently, they seem to be trying to take that to the logical conclusion of creating a one party state.Pence had a meeting with Senate Republicans on Thursday and on Friday Trump caved.
This is not a win, its a rapidly emerging lame duck president having lost his legislature allies on a highly divisive policy course.
His gamble was that the tax cuts and trade war would bring growth and jobs making him popular, that has not happened. Now he is in a very tight spot with little beyond the Republican base behind him. That is way too little for him to win in 2020 so if he cannot pull a rabbit from the hat, the Repulicans on the Hill will ditch him.
The Republicans on the Hill were the ones taking the least damage from this. But that was not going to return the House to them in 2020. Trump's popularity with the Republican base is the only thing between him and the legislators throwing him under a bus right now. This was a desperate strategy to try to gain an easy win over the House Democrats, they held firm and even bit the bullet with the dis-invite.
Once the public discourse starts that he is a lame duck, his authority will ebb rapidly and his problems mount.
The other big issue for republican party managers is state legislatures. They draw the congress districts and in many of them there are Democrat majorities by vote but Republican majorities in the state and Congress seats returned. If Trumps unpopularity turns a few of those Democrat in 2020 it will be big long term losses for the Republican machine, on top of the demographic shift towards a less white more educated population currently under way.
Trump got bullied into cracking by his own team.
There is no 4D chess here, just a man running out of alleys to run down and with few rabbits left in his hat.
No worries. I confess my fuse shortens as I get older, and the political situ on both sides of the Atlantic hasn't made things easier!Fair enough. It seems my communication these days is somewhat crap...
Yeah, I clearly need to work on my communication skills. I was not offering up any criticism of Pelosi or the dems for holding firm against Trump. It would have been insane for the dems to cave to Trump over this funding issue anyway as he would have no qualms about repeating the governemnt shutdown as a negotiating tactic if he was successful using such strongarm tactics this time around...
What I meant by 'weaponise' was more along the lines of how a petulant spoiled child would weaponise a similar scenario with their parents when called on their bullshit:
* Trump has signed off the re-opening of the govt and, knowing what he's like, will demand an immediate quid pro quo (and knowing that cunt he will try and get the go-ahead for the original Jan 29th date in the knowledge that it is probably not likely at such short notice).
* He will create a lot of noise around any delay -even though a delay is likely (this will make the compliant media over there shift their focus from the ongoing shitstorm surrounding the mueller investigation seeing as what passes for a focused news agenda over there resembles a cat chasing a laser pointer).
* Because the guy is so fucking divorced from reality, the fact that Pelosi will have to lift her ban on his SOTU from the house will count as a win to him despite the wider damage to his ratings/standings with the US public/standings within the GOP that this shutdown has caused. As many have said, he doesn't like being told to sling his hook by a woman and resents the very idea that he's been successfully challenged by one. Lets not forget that he's a pigshit-thick egomaniac with a barely cogent grasp of the big picture let alone detail and nuance...
I don't disagree with any of that. The only thing that I have a problem with is quoting my post as if I'm saying it's an actual win for Trump as opposed to what I imagine his fevered imagination is telling him. As for the 4D chess shit, I doubt that guy could master regular chess. The man's an obnoxious unstable buffoon.
Assuming Trump doesn't run in 2020 I wonder what happens to the millions in donations to his re-election campaign which, you'll recall, he started as soon as he was elected to office.
Tbh Trump campaign contributors being ripped off is not my major concern at this point.
He knows he lost. Pence came back from the Hill empty and he had to through in the towel.The only thing that I have a problem with is quoting my post as if I'm saying it's an actual win for Trump as opposed to what I imagine his fevered imagination is telling him
President Donald Trump lashed out at the media again Sunday night.
Only this time, Trump directed his unhappiness at Fox News, singling out a pair of reporters from his seemingly favorite news outlet for their coverage of the border wall and recent partial government shutdown, assessing that John Roberts and Gillian Turner have “less understanding” than “fake news” reporters from other media organizations.