I've been thinking the last few weeks about what the endgame is for this shutdown. It doesn't seem to be a border wall because he's just not going to get that through Congress at the moment. To paraphrase Dana Carvey Congress is "Not gonna do it." It's certainly not an emergency in the sense that Trump means it. Its an emergency for people trapped by his policies, but he's not going ever acknowledge that. Anyone who says it is has just bought into the propaganda, or tries to convince me that I should. Here is my list of what the possibilities are. Its not all inclusive:
* Trying to "prove" that the US doesn't need "big government."
* Trying to dismantle social programs like food stamps, section 8 housing, Medicare, and social security from the inside.
* Trying to dismantle all environmental regulation by making sure there's no one on duty to enforce it
* He's doing it to scuttle the Mueller investigation. Mueller needs to run all his charges past a grand jury. With the shutdown the grand jury was dis-empaneled until the end of the shutdown. Recalling it may be difficult.
* He's a Russian agent just trying to cause as much damage as he can.
* He's going to use the shutdown as an excuse to declare martial law and "build that wall:
* He's going to use the shutdown as an excuse to declare martial law and remain in power as a dictator indefinitely--basically the end of the Republic.
* He's too fucking dumb to understand the results.
* He just likes pissing matches.
Anyone have an opinion? Even if you think Trump isn't smart enough to cook up any of the above, we know he's surrounded by people who'd happily use him to their own ends.
I'd suggest most of the above factors are involved. One thing we can say for sure is that getting his wall isn't the
real endgame for the shutdown. He's just using it as a device - demanding something ludicrously expensive, unfit for purpose and impossible to achieve, and something the Dem controlled US House of Representative will never agree to it. Their failure to yield to his demands can be used as a rationale for keeping government shut indefinitely, if it suits his purposes.
I still think Sarah Kendzior has been spot on about his motivations and goals. He wanted to be President for two reasons - to accumulate more power and wealth and to be "beyond the law" for previous and future illegal activities. We've seen how he's used the role to enrich himself, his family and his associates. He wants to monetise more of the nations assets, and the shut down helps that effort. For example, national parks have been trashed, so he'll say it's too costly to fix them and better to just sell them off. He'll also insist everything was "just fine" while all the government employees were fuloughed, so posts and departments can be axed or sold off. I'm sure the military and Homeland Security are also earmarked for privatisation, with Erik Prince, the brother of Education Secretary, Betsy DeVos, primed and ready to take that on.
I don't think he's driven by ideology, but he co-opts the trappings of Evangelical Christianity when it suits him to keep his supporters on side. I doubt he's bothered about abortion or transgender servicemen and women, but he'll move to ban both to keep those supporters sweet.
He's shown he genuinely doesn't care if people are suffering, starving or dying, unless he can leverage it for his own benefit. For example, he showcases the handful of families who had a loved one killed by an immigrant to emphasise that immigrants are a threat. However, he ignores or denies the many more deaths resulting from his policies, like the thousands who died as a result of minimal and bungled efforts at relief after the storms destroyed so much of Puerto Rico.
Keeping people confused, distressed and in conflict with one another is also a good strategy for getting away with whatever he wants while they're arguing against each other.
He doesn't care what Americans think about what he's doing now, nor what his legacy will be. He doesn't really care whether the USA as a nation continues to exist. He doesn't really see nation states as important, and has closer connections with and regard for rich and powerful people in other nations than he does for citizens of the USA. I think he does want to pass his crown on to one of his children, probably Ivanka, but I wouldn't be surprised if he dropped one of his kids like a hot potato if they did something he didn't want them to do.
I don't think he's quite as stupid as many think he is - perhaps conniving more than intelligent. Whether or not he's a pawn being directed by others in his regime or in other countries, I'm not sure, but the outcome is pretty much the same either way. Asset stripping of the US, chaos and distruction in its wake and further enrichment of the Trump family and their associates within and outside the US.
To quote Kendzior again from this past weekend, "It's an international crime cartel masquerading as a government." If we think of it that way, sadly, it all makes more sense.