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War propaganda, 'Realists' and neocons, and the denigration of the war sceptics

Seems they've realised their already obvious and ill-conceived proxy war has been rumbled.



In a call with top defense and intelligence officials, Biden called for fewer leaks about US intelligence sharing with Ukraine, NBC News reports:

On the phone with CIA Director William Burns, Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines and Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin, Biden’s message was that such disclosures “distract from our objective,” one official said. The other official said Biden conveyed that the leaks should stop.
The CIA and the Office of the DNI declined to comment. The Pentagon and the National Security Council did not respond to requests for comment.
US officials previously confirmed claims that American intelligence helped Ukrainian forces, aiding both in the killing Russian generals and the location of the Russian warship Moskva, which was sunk last month.

The Guardian’s Dan Sabbagh wrote today that confirmation of the information sharing around the Moskva is a “a fresh demonstration of the close intelligence support Kyiv is receiving from Washington”:

It is unclear how far the US intelligence helped Ukraine launch an accurate double missile strike on the Moskva, and the US officials briefing the information insisted the targeting decision was a matter for the Ukrainians alone.
But the fact that the US was willing to confirm it had at least some involvement, three weeks after the Moskva went down on 14 April, shows how far Washington is willing to acknowledge its critical backseat role in the 10-week-long war, even at the risk of openly antagonising Moscow.”
 
At last, a liberal view that makes sense:



'Two of Lloyd Austin’s remarks are especially worth examining in some detail. The first is that weakening Russia is necessary in order to prevent it repeating its invasion of Ukraine elsewhere. This statement is either meaningless, hypocritical, or both. There is no sign that Russia wants to or indeed could invade any other countries. As far as an attack on NATO is concerned, the miserable performance of the Russian military in Ukraine should have made absolutely clear that this is a fatuous chimera. If Russia cannot capture cities less than 20 miles from Russia’s own border, the idea of an attack on NATO is ludicrous.'



'During the Cold War, no U.S. president ever forgot that Washington and Moscow between them have the ability to destroy human civilization and even put an end to the human race. For this reason, first the Truman and then the Eisenhower administration adopted the strategy of “containing” the Soviet Union in Europe, and not trying to “roll back” Soviet power through armed support for anti-Soviet insurgencies in eastern Europe.

Our leaders of today should remember this. They should also remember that where both sides engaged in proxy warfare outside Europe, the consequences were disastrous for themselves and still more disastrous for the wretched people on the ground who became the pawns of these great power agendas. Have we really learned nothing from history?'
 
A note of caution, however, while there is considerable unease in sections of Russian society about an aggressive war against Ukrainians —whom Moscow after all claims to be a “brotherly people” — a war against American attempts to harm and subjugate Russia has much stronger public appeal.

Well this guy hasn't got some weird agenda has he, no sirreee.



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Seems they've realised their already obvious and ill-conceived proxy war has been rumbled.

The US didn't conceive this war. Russia did when they crossed the border into Ukraine, a key fact you seem to keep forgetting. It really is disgusting to see you keep trying to downplay the role of the side that was not only the clear aggressor in this conflict, but which also acts like civilians and maternity hospitals are legitimate targets.

"There is no sign that Russia wants to or indeed could invade any other countries."

Apart from all the "Make Russia Great Again" bullshit that the liberal is either unaware of, or has chosen to ignore. Russia have burned a lot of men and material in this foolish Ukraine invasion, but the idea that Russia would never do such a thing to another neighbour after rebuilding their strength is not borne out by Russia's recent historical behaviour.
 
The US didn't conceive this war. Russia did when they crossed the border into Ukraine, a key fact you seem to keep forgetting. It really is disgusting to see you keep trying to downplay the role of the side that was not only the clear aggressor in this conflict, but which also acts like civilians and maternity hospitals are legitimate targets.



Apart from all the "Make Russia Great Again" bullshit that the liberal is either unaware of, or has chosen to ignore. Russia have burned a lot of men and material in this foolish Ukraine invasion, but the idea that Russia would never do such a thing to another neighbour after rebuilding their strength is not borne out by Russia's recent historical behaviour.
The US didn't conceive the war. It has, along with its allies, clearly conceived the proxy war which is being fought now.

I have made no defence of what Russia is doing.

Nobody knows what a hypothetical strong Russia would do, but Russia's recent behaviour is in response to NATO proposing to expand into Georgia and Ukraine. Once again-it doesn't matter in practice whether you, I, or anybody else considers this a legitimate concern when Russia clearly does.
 
The US didn't conceive the war. It has, along with its allies, clearly conceived the proxy war which is being fought now.

I have made no defence of what Russia is doing, so you are talking to the hand.

Nobody knows what a hypothetical strong Russia would do, but Russia's recent behaviour is in response to NATO proposing to expand into Georgia and Ukraine. Once again-it doesn't matter in practice whether you, I, or anybody else considers this a legitimate concern when Russia clearly does.

It's been public knowledge where Ukraine was getting their assistance from since at least 2014, has it not? Hardly anything being rumbled there, I'd say.

You are still talking as if sovereign countries like Georgia and Ukraine are mere pawns with no agency whatsoever. "NATO proposing to expand" - do the countries in question get a say in signing up for NATO, or are they being forced against their will? I'd say you're displaying an attitude that's very similar to that of Russian elites. Or are security concerns only legitimate if they come from the Russian government?
 
It's been public knowledge where Ukraine was getting their assistance from since at least 2014, has it not? Hardly anything being rumbled there, I'd say.

You are still talking as if sovereign countries like Georgia and Ukraine are mere pawns with no agency whatsoever. "NATO proposing to expand" - do the countries in question get a say in signing up for NATO, or are they being forced against their will? I'd say you're displaying an attitude that's very similar to that of Russian elites. Or are security concerns only legitimate if they come from the Russian government?
Ukrainian or Georgian 'agency' didn't count for shit in practice. I have merely pointed this out, and made no comment on the rights and wrongs of it.

You'd do better to stick to what the poster you're addressing actually says than what you, in your self-righteousness, would want them to have said.
 
The CIA recognises the dangers of escalation.


The director of the Central Intelligence Agency, William Burns, has warned that Vladimir Putin is “doubling down” on the war in Ukraine, despite the global condemnation he has faced.

Speaking at a Financial Times event in Washington, Burns said:

He’s in a frame of mind in which he doesn’t believe he can afford to lose. I think he’s convinced right now that doubling down still will enable him to make progress.
Burns also expressed concern that the recent reports about the intelligence that the US has shared with Ukraine are “irresponsible” and “very risky,” as they could further enflame tensions with Russia.
 
The CIA recognises the dangers of escalation.


The director of the Central Intelligence Agency, William Burns, has warned that Vladimir Putin is “doubling down” on the war in Ukraine, despite the global condemnation he has faced.

Speaking at a Financial Times event in Washington, Burns said:


Burns also expressed concern that the recent reports about the intelligence that the US has shared with Ukraine are “irresponsible” and “very risky,” as they could further enflame tensions with Russia.

He can’t even take Ukraine so that’s put paid to Russia being a great power, let alone a superpower.
So what next? Nukes? Will anyone carry out those orders? The west also have nukes and can obliterate Russia.
 
I haven't been keeping up with the thread. Has there been any condemnation of Putin from you yet?

If enough random sentences get typed they might do this at some point.

Meanwhile ukraine defend what is theirs, with a little help from their friends.
 
The main thing that's been holding me back is lack of clarity regarding the channels of communication between Urban75 and the Kremlin/Putin's bunker.
 
The main thing that's been holding me back is lack of clarity regarding the channels of communication between Urban75 and the Kremlin/Putin's bunker.
Everyone else is clear on the channels of communication between urban and the upper echelons of the Russian government. You must be the only one remaining ignorant.
 
He can’t even take Ukraine so that’s put paid to Russia being a great power, let alone a superpower.
So what next? Nukes? Will anyone carry out those orders? The west also have nukes and can obliterate Russia.




'This is not the first time Putin has rattled the nuclear saber. He also did so in 2014 during Russia’s invasion of Crimea, when Russian leaders talked openly about putting nuclear weapons on alert. In 2015, Russia threatened Danish warships with nuclear weapons if Denmark joined NATO’s missile defense system. Putin likes to wave about his nuclear weapons as a reminder to the West (and perhaps to himself) that Russia is still a great power. In the current crisis, Putin clearly wants the US and NATO to know that if the West were to intervene with military force on behalf of Ukraine, he might reach for his so-called tactical (or “nonstrategic”) nuclear weapons.

In the world of nuclear weapons, tactical means an exceedingly large amount of explosive energy and strategic means even larger. Most nuclear weapons today are variable-yield, or “dial-a-yield,” providing a set amount of explosive energy that can range from fractions of a kiloton to multiples of a megaton. (For example, the U.S.’s newest version of its B61 nuclear bomb can release 0.3, 1.5, 10 or 50 kilotons of explosive energy. In comparison, the Hiroshima bomb was about 15 kilotons.) Russia has about 4,500 nuclear warheads in its arsenal. Of these, the ones of largest yield—the “strategic” weapons—are deployed on submarines, bombers and intercontinental ballistic missiles.

But Russia also possesses some 2,000 tactical nuclear weapons kept in storage facilities throughout the country, developed to be used against troops and installations in a small area or in a limited engagement. Such weapons can be launched on the same short-range missiles Russia is currently using to bombard Ukraine, such as its Iskander ballistic missile, which has a range of about 500 kilometers. And these are not the only tactical weapons that could be deployed; the United States has about 100 nuclear “gravity bombs” (with less sophisticated guidance) stationed around Europe.

Tactical nuclear weapons exist because each side fears it would be deterred from using its big city-razing weapons by their very destructiveness. By making nuclear weapons smaller and the targeting more precise, their use becomes more thinkable.
Paradoxically, while this makes deterrence threats more credible, it also makes the arms more tempting to use first, rather than simply in retaliation.

No one should imagine, however, that it makes sense to use a tactical nuclear weapon. A thermonuclear explosion of any size possesses overwhelming destructive power. Even a “small-yield” nuclear weapon (0.3 kilotons) would produce damage far beyond that of a conventional explosive. (For a graphic depiction, the interactive site NUKEMAP, created by nuclear historian Alexander Wellerstein, allows you to simulate the effects of a nuclear explosion of any size anywhere on the planet.) It would also cause all the horrors of Hiroshima, albeit on a smaller scale. A tactical nuclear weapon would produce a fireball, shock waves, and deadly radiation that would cause long-term health damage in survivors. Radioactive fallout would contaminate air, soil, water and the food supply (Ukrainians are already familiar with this kind of outcome because of the disastrous meltdown of the Chernobyl nuclear reactor in 1986).

No one knows if using a tactical nuclear weapon would trigger full-scale nuclear war. Nevertheless, the risk of escalation is very real. Those on the receiving end of a nuclear strike are not likely to ask whether it was tactical or strategic. In testimony before the House Armed Services Committee on February 6, 2018, then–Secretary of Defense James Mattis stated “I do not think there is any such thing as a tactical nuclear weapon. Any nuclear weapon used any time is a strategic game changer.” Russian leaders have made clear that they would view any nuclear attack as the start of an all-out nuclear war.'
 
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Focus initially on Pakistan and India, but Ukraine is a lot closer, for what it matters...

Also provides a fleeting reminder of how we were 'led' during the Cold War by more mature and substantial individuals.

 
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