Political polling

[brogdale]

And of course the seats the lib dems hold which are vulnerable to the tories. I don't know how many there are of those but there does appear to be an option for that in the polling but its a screenshot with no hyperlink.

I know predicting anything politically is a fools game these days but I'd bet the house on Zac Goldsmith being out of a job just before Christmas. Racist wanker.

These are the LD holds most vulnerable to swing --> Con


Source

 

[cupid_stunt]

Third poll since the weekend, showing the gap is narrowing.



If this continues with the next weekend polls, auld Don Troooomp will start going into meltdown.

 

[ska invita]

If this continues with the next weekend polls, auld Don Troooomp will start going into meltdown.

Talking of which here's hoping Trumps visit on the 3rd December produces some embarrassing hand holding moments

 

[Teaboy]

These are the LD holds most vulnerable to swing --> Con

View attachment 191107
Source

I think that might just be their vulnerable seats. Aren't most of the Scottish ones vulnerable to the SNP?

Anyway, its interesting. Despite the tiny majority I'd be surprised if they lose Oxford West. Actually I wonder if many are vulnerable? Tom Brake in Carshalton may be shitting it I guess. Eastbourne as well.

 

[brogdale]

Talking of which here's hoping Trumps visit on the 3rd December produces some embarrassing hand holding moments

Got to be worth a couple % swing to Jez?

 

[ska invita]

Got to be worth a couple % swing to Jez?

You'd think. I think they should be pushing the Trump connection a lot harder. A Boris Brexit is very much tied in with Trump and Trump is a sitting duck, right now more than ever.

 

[brogdale]

I think that might just be their vulnerable seats. Aren't most of the Scottish ones vulnerable to the SNP?

Anyway, its interesting. Despite the tiny majority I'd be surprised if they lose Oxford West. Actually I wonder if many are vulnerable? Tom Brake in Carshalton may be shitting it I guess. Eastbourne as well.

Looking at the local Lab campaign in C&W, I don't think Brake will be too worried tbh...he's even been campaigning himself over the border in Sutton & Cheam.

 

[ignatious]

This one shows the same poll if you discount turnout weighting. Obviously turnout weighting is quite important but it shows how much those voter registrations could change the picture.

 

[chilango]

Brace yourselves for the Labour surge?

 

[Flavour]

As ever, its the marginals that count. I don't know what the key lab/tory marginals are besides a couple in London, where I know labour have been pretty active in canvassing. But elsewhere?

 

[brogdale]

As ever, its the marginals that count. I don't know what the key lab/tory marginals are besides a couple in London, where I know labour have been pretty active in canvassing. But elsewhere?

Tory target seats

 

[kabbes]

Any poll that ignores turnout weighting is to be immediately binned as irrelevant.

 

[killer b]

Any poll that ignores turnout weighting is to be immediately binned as irrelevant.

It's daft really. only two thirds of 18-25s are even registered to vote, that's a substantial weight they have to apply to that cohort straight off the bat.

 

[Raheem]

Any poll that ignores turnout weighting is to be immediately binned as irrelevant.

Plus any poll that doesn't.

 

[kabbes]

Plus any poll that doesn't.

Where would be the fun in that?

 

[chilango]

Goodwin tweeting a polling showing Labour up 22% to 63% of the student vote.

 

[Argonia]

I might adopt the Harold Shipman manoeuvre in order to reduce the aging Tory vote.

 

[cupid_stunt]

New YouGov poll out today, like others this week it shows the gap narrowing, from 17% less than 2 weeks ago, to 11% now.



It's going to piss off Don Troooomp.

 

[Rob Ray]

I might adopt the Harold Shipman manoeuvre in order to reduce the aging Tory vote.

The thing people forget about old voters with a vested interest in retaining the status quo is that upon their death they are usually replaced by people whose material interests have just moved towards having more of an interest in retaining the status quo.

 

[brogdale]

New YouGov poll out today, like others this week it shows the gap narrowing, from 17% less than 2 weeks ago, to 11% now.

View attachment 191177

It's going to piss off Don Troooomp.

Interesting to see that, despite the collapse of the Brexit Party vote, the vermin are, at best constant (if not in slight decline). Shows they're shedding as much as they're gaining as the public are exposed more and more to the blustercunt.

 

[mauvais]

The thing people forget about old voters with a vested interest in retaining the status quo is that upon their death they are usually replaced by people whose material interests have just moved towards having more of an interest in retaining the status quo.

That's why you need to go full Shipman - take the assets.

 

[Dogsauce]

Interesting to see that, despite the collapse of the Brexit Party vote, the vermin are, at best constant (if not in slight decline). Shows they're shedding as much as they're gaining as the public are exposed more and more to the blustercunt.

The public aren’t seeing much of him, I think they’re stage managing him very carefully.

 

[Pickman's model]

New YouGov poll out today, like others this week it shows the gap narrowing, from 17% less than 2 weeks ago, to 11% now.

View attachment 191177

It's going to piss off Don Troooomp.

reality constantly pisses off Don Troooomp

 

[brogdale]

The public aren’t seeing much of him, I think they’re stage managing him very carefully.

Quite a few watch the telly and stuff, though.

 

[Wilf]

The thing people forget about old voters with a vested interest in retaining the status quo is that upon their death they are usually replaced by people whose material interests have just moved towards having more of an interest in retaining the status quo.

'You'll be old yourself one day'.

 

[cupid_stunt]

Oi, Don Troooomp, you have been tagged several times on this thread, over the last few days, over the shifting in the polls, have you not any comment to make?

 

[sunnysidedown]

tag him three times in a row and the cunt will appear. don't do it though, you will only regret it!

 

[killer b]

Oi, Don Troooomp, you have been tagged several times on this thread, over the last few days, over the shifting in the polls, have you not any comment to make?

why would you do this.

 

[killer b]

a little entre ahead of the main course of the Yougov MRP (dropping at 10pm)

 

[William of Walworth]

Hope that's sort of a trend, and not an outlier ...

ETA : the very beginning of the start of a trend I should have said, with maybe other polls showing a smaller Tory lead