Kemi Badenoch’s time is up!

[brogdale]

Historically the Tories have been survivors but this time, I think my money would stay in my pocket. There has been a pattern across the Western neoliberal world of traditional parties collapsing. That hasn't happened here since the demise of the Liberal party a century ago, but I do think it could happen here. Think the Gaullists in France (who bizarrely have the PM right now, but whose vote has totally collapsed).

All fair, but if Johnson/Truss/Sunak didn't yield complete collapse, I can't really see them doing anything other than gaining more seats in 2029. Notable that, unlike Truss, Badenoch has assembled a shad cam from across the factions so she probably has secured more general party support for her opposition.

 

[two sheds]

Did have fewer MPs to choose from though

 

[SpookyFrank]

2024 majority of just 61, but seems very unlikely that as many will vote LP next time...

View attachment 449803

Libe dems will fancy a crack at it though.

 

[brogdale]

LP's initial analysis of Badenoch's shallow cabinet:

Labour says that three quarters of the members of Kemi Badenoch’s new shadow cabinet abstained in the Commons vote to approve the report condemning Boris Johnson for lying to MPs about Partygate, that 42% of them (11 out of 26) backed Liz Truss for leader and that nearly three quarters of them served in Truss’s government.

Looking good