There has been 'reassuring bullshit' flying around for many hours now, but it was clear last night (uk time) that the situation was very bad and so Im afraid I am not that shocked to wake up and see that reactor number one appears to have exploded.
Yesterday I said that I had read that the 40 year old reactor was due to close in mere weeks, but before I went to bed I read the opposite, that the Japanese government decided to extend its life by another 10 years back in February.
The weather now becomes as important as any nuclear science in determining the implications for the region. The larger ramifications for humanity, at this delicate moment in our history of energy, may also be profound. Was not many years ago that I remember arguing on this forum with someone about the nuclear accident risk, and only yesterday the BBC had an 'expert' who was pretty much mocking the idea that another chernobyl scale disaster was highly improbably. Well Im sorry, but my chief problem with nuclear safety is that if we think about our own lives, we know there are days where everything goes wrong, where problems all come along at once, and where sods law is in effect. Once in a while a similar collection of fail is bound to affect a nuclear installation, and the stakes are stupidly high.
In this case we have to wait to see not only the extent of the damage & contamination from reactor 1, but also still have to hope that nothing happens to the other 4 or 5 reactors that seem to have been mentioned at the 2 sites in the worrying news of the last day.