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Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster

Just seen this reported on BBC Breakfast News...

Not as dramatic as it sounds, Germany was planning to close the last of its nuclear power plants in 2039 at the latest anyway (and that's taking into account the extensions put in place by the CDU in 2010) and no new construction was going to take place.

I can see the French building more plants on the eastern borders in the hope of flogging electricity to the Germans.
 
Initial IAEA report shows their true colours. Some of it is likely due to diplomacy over how they word their criticisms, but in many ways its a cop out:

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/jun/01/fukushima-plant-criticised-nuclear-inspectors

In a preliminary report issued on Wednesday, inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) said Tokyo Electric Power (Tepco) had underestimated the risk of a giant tsunami.

Despite the criticism, Tepco will have been encouraged by the IAEA's appraisal of its post-disaster response. "The response on the site by dedicated, determined and expert staff under extremely arduous conditions has been exemplary and resulted in the best approach to securing safety given the exceptional circumstances," it said.

While it described the evacuation and attempts to protect the public as "impressive and extremely well organised" the team said "a suitable and timely follow-up programme on public and worker exposures and health monitoring would be beneficial".
 
Here is the preliminary IAEA report with initial conclusions, its not terribly long.

http://www.iaea.org/newscenter/focus/fukushima/missionsummary010611.pdf

It does actually contain a number of criticisms, a few more than the guardian article suggests, but they are kind of hard to spot due to the language used. Even taking diplomacy into account, there is a lot of brown-nosing going on.

One of the criticisms that is touched upon extremely gently in their document is to do with regulators. I assume the actual criticism relates to the fact that in Japan there is potential conflict of interest because there is not enough separation between the body that promotes nuclear power and the one thats supposed to regulate the operators. Its pretty amusing for IAEA to touch on this issue because some people think that the IAEA has a similar conflict of interests. Given the following language in the interim report I can see why.

It should be seen as part of a wider plan that could result in remediation of the areas off site affected by radioactive releases to allow people evacuated to resume their normal lives. Thus demonstrating to the world what can be achieved in responding to such extreme nuclear events.

Yes there is a desperate desire to be able to start some positive nuclear spin off the back of Fukushima, and this is a nice obvious example.
 
The operator of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant is struggling to remove pools of highly radioactive wastewater as fears of an overflow get more intense.

Tokyo Electric Power Company says wastewater levels rose around 6 centimeters inside the No.2 reactor turbine building, and in its utility tunnel, during the 24-hour period through Thursday morning.

Increases were also seen inside the No.3 and 4 reactor turbine buildings.

The water level in the utility tunnel is now just 28 centimeters from the surface outside the No.2 reactor, and 24 centimeters from the surface outside the No.3 reactor.
Tokyo Electric plans to start using a water purifier by the middle of this month. But as an emergency measure it's preparing to remove wastewater pooled inside the No.3 reactor turbine building to its turbine condenser.

The utility is also considering using 2 additional buildings inside the compound as storage.

The level of wastewater inside the No.1 reactor building dropped 8 centimeters on Thursday morning from Wednesday, unlike the other facilities.

Tokyo Electric is measuring the level of radiation in groundwater near the plant to check for possible wastewater leakage.


http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/02_18.html
 
Internal exposure in the news again:

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/02_35.html

Nagasaki staffers exposed to Fukushima radiation
Nagasaki University Hospital says that at least 40 percent of local people sent to Fukushima Prefecture, host to the crippled nuclear plant, suffered internal radiation exposure.

The hospital checked staffers and medical experts sent to Fukushima by Nagasaki's prefectural government. They spent around a week helping local government offices and medical institutions in Fukushima after the nuclear plant accident in March.

The hospital says radioactive iodine was detected in the bodies of 34, or about 40 percent, of 87 examinees. Some were also detected for radioactive cesium. Neither substance occurs naturally in human bodies.

Officials at the hospital insist, however, that the level of radioactive contamination is very low and poses no health concerns.

Nagasaki University Professor Naoki Matsuda, who joined the survey, says Fukushima residents should also be checked for levels of internal exposure.

The survey results will be reported at a conference in Hiroshima City on Sunday.
Thursday, June 02, 2011 21:20 +0900 (JST)

Not long till we find out whether pool cooling at reactor 2 improves the humidity in the building, or whether the reactor is causing this problem:

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/03_03.html

The operator of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant says it has succeeded in lowering the temperature in a storage pool for used nuclear fuel at the No.2 reactor after it started operating a cooling system there.

Tokyo Electric Power Company says the temperature in the pool dropped to 38 degrees Celsius on Thursday from about 70 degrees previously.

TEPCO had anticipated that it would take about one month to lower the temperature to about 40 degrees.

In the No. 2 reactor building, steam released by the storage pool has been pushing up the humidity level to 99.9 percent. Such excessive humidity has prevented recovery efforts so far.

The company installed a circulatory cooling system to lower the pool temperature in order to reduce humidity and began operating the system on Tuesday.

Since the temperature has sharply decreased TEPCO plans to inspect the interior of the building as it suspects humidity has also declined. If the situation has improved, it will install systems to remove radioactive substances.

The company plans to start operating similar cooling systems at the storage pools in the No.1 and 3 reactor buildings in June, and in the No.4 reactor building in July.

The political situation has been heating up, PM survived vote of no-confidence yesterday but his days still seem numbered because of the way he secured the vote. He has done a Blair and mentioned stepping down at some point, a point thats tied to bringing situation somewhat under control, a suitably vague agreement that is already backfiring:

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/03_18.html

Hatoyama, a former leader of the ruling Democratic Party, spoke to reporters on Friday, one day after Kan survived a no-confidence motion. Before the vote, Kan announced his intention to resign once the ongoing crises over the March 11th disaster and the Fukushima nuclear accident are contained to some extent.

At a news conference on Thursday night, Kan didn't mention exactly when he would quit. Speculation is mounting within the government and opposition that Kan intends to step down around January next year, when the troubled nuclear power plant is projected to be stabilized.

Hatoyama said he and Kan had agreed that the prime minister would resign after a reconstruction law clears the Diet and a second supplementary budget plan is formulated, which is expected in about a month.

Hatoyama said Kan must step down immediately if he cannot follow through on a promise with a fellow politician. He went as far as to call Kan a "con artist".

Hatoyama said many party members put trust in him and chose to vote against the motion at the last minute. He said he would have voted for the no-confidence motion if he had known Kan would reverse his pledge so quickly.
 
More internal exposure woes, not good.

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/03_32.html

The test by the National Institute of Radiology Sciences shows the estimated internal radiation absorbed by one man in his 30s is between 210 and 580 millisieverts, while another man in his 40s received between 200 and 570 millisieverts.

The Institute says most of the radiation is in the men's thyroid glands, but that the possibility of their developing a thyroid disorder is lower than it would be in children.

TEPCO says safety measures, such as wearing protective clothing and masks, may have been inadequate just after the accident. It says it wants to conduct detailed tests on about 150 workers who were involved in similar operations.

Not sure if the internal exposure dose figures are for a long period of time, eg the dose they will receive from this stuff over the course of many years. But as in these cases it sounds like iodine, the half life of that is pretty short so maybe this detail doesnt matter too much.
 
Wowzers the estimated total radiation in the water thats accumulated in the various buildings is rather high:

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/03_31.html

TEPCO says that by May 31st, 105,100 tons of waste water had accumulated. It contains an estimated 720,000 terabecquerels of radioactive substances. Tera stands for one trillion.

To put that 720,000 terabecquerels into proportion, its higher than the 630,000 terabecquerels that they estimated went into the atmosphere from Fukushima, a number that was high enough for them to move the disaster to 7 on the nuclear brownpants scale.

This figure was mentioned by a TEPCO official in a press conference. The reason the water gets in the news a lot recently is that a lot of storage has filled up, yet with heavy rain the other week and fears about more in future, levels in the pits and basements continues to rise, threatening further spills into the sea. They have a new processing system due to go online mid month but it could be a hard race against time depending on what the weather does.

Here is another article which discusses this high estimated level of radioactive substances:

http://news.businessweek.com/article.asp?documentKey=1376-LM6ZYZ6KLVR401-2MIA3CI5AS3UT5UNDT0CA9VFJ3
 
I've lost track and can't search on "reactor 1" - have workers been going in there? :eek:

They have entered the building on a couple of occasions, but this very high level of radiation is coming from one particular part of the building. I would hope they had not lurked there too long since prior readings taken on may 13th also showed pretty high levels in that part of the building. In any case this time it was robots that were sent in and detected this high level.

Here is a map of the building showing the various radiation levels:

http://www.tepco.co.jp/en/nu/fukushima-np/images/handouts_110604_01-e.pdf

So the area of concern features steam. There is a brief video of the robot seeing this steam (& possibly glimpsing boiling water too). Its a wmv that they put in a zip.

http://www.tepco.co.jp/en/news/110311/images/110604_09.zip

The other news at the moment is of further data coverups in the early days, some substances were detected 6 or 7 km from the plant on the morning of march 12th, before a press conference where it was claimed that fuel had not been damaged, and before any explosions. There also seem to have been further SPEEDI computer prediction coverups.

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/04_20.html

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/04_07.html

Their excuses for why such things were withheld remain well crap.
 
Jesus. Is nobodies head going to roll for those terrible cover ups?

Possibly, but in slow motion, and perhaps focused on the early mishandling of the situation as a whole rather than just the radiation detection & prediction coverups.

By all accounts the PMs days are numbered, its just a question of how many days (July/August or not till the start of next year when TEPCO will allegedly have things more under control)
 
Well their success at cooling the pool at reactor 2 has not lead to the hoped for reduction in humidity inside this building. It was probably always wishful thinking that the humidity was mostly the pools fault, rather than the reactor.

Their new options for tackling this problem, which presently prevents much further useful work inside reactor 2 building, is, erm, open the door! :eek:

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/06_02.html
 
May see stories such as this one by the BBC:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-pacific-13678627

Japan has more than doubled its estimate of radiation that escaped from the tsunami-hit Fukushima nuclear plant in the first week after the disaster.

Japan's nuclear safety agency also said meltdowns took place in three reactors more quickly than earlier believed.

Some points to bear in mind:

The doubling of the estimated radiation release refers to one particular estimate that was previously 320,000 or so. However there was also another estimate of 620,000 or so at the time, which is the one most people paid attention to at the time since it was higher, so the new estimate is not double that.

And as for the estimated times of fuel melt and containment damage, these new ones are done with a different bit of software to the one TEPCO used for their analysis. Neither one is confirmed to be an accurate reflection of reality, but taken together they probably provide a fair guide as to the rough timing of things.

What may be more interesting is that there are rumbles that the government is going to admit to IAEA the possibility that the cores fell through the bottom of the reactor vessels into containment. I'll wait to hear more about this before talking about it more, but its long been the elephant in the room.
 
What may be more interesting is that there are rumbles that the government is going to admit to IAEA the possibility that the cores fell through the bottom of the reactor vessels into containment. I'll wait to hear more about this before talking about it more, but its long been the elephant in the room.


Clearly the cores melted their way through the containment - probably in three reactors, yes? So we'll face some pointless semantic arguments over what consitutes "meltdown".

So: Boiling Water Reactor. Very Bad Idea, now proven. All of them.
 
Reactor near me under threat from flooding:

The Fort Calhoun nuclear power plant has declared a low-level emergency because of flooding on the missouri river.

The river has reached a level where the Omaha Public Power District declared a "notification of unusual event."

That is the lowest of four standard emergency levels.

In a statement, the power company that operates the plant said there's been no release of any radioactive material nor is any expected.

But, as the water rises, employees and contractors have built earth berms and are sandbagging around the buildings on site.

http://www.khastv.com/news/local/Fl...-issued-at-Omaha-nuclear-plant-123295683.html
 
Uh-oh:

A flood assessment performed by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission in 2010 indicated that the Fort Calhoun Nuclear Generating Station, "did not have adequate procedures to protect the intake structure and auxiliary building against external flooding events."[6] The assessment also indicated that the facility was not adequately prepared for a "worst-case" flooding scenario. A number of potential flood water penetration points were discovered that could have impacted the raw feed water supply to the cooling system, the axilliary water supply and main switchgear (electrical) room. By early 2011, corrective measures had been implemented.[6]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fort_Calhoun_Nuclear_Generating_Station

Not as iffy as a Boiling Water Reactor, though...
 
Clearly the cores melted their way through the containment - probably in three reactors, yes? So we'll face some pointless semantic arguments over what consitutes "meltdown".

Avoid semantic argument by putting to one side the term meltdown. That still leaves us with questions and lack of certainty about what has happened, specifically how far the core has travelled.

It seems reasonably safe to assume the fuel completely or almost completely melted in 3 reactors. Its not hard to imagine that it then dropped out of the bottom of the reactor vessel into the containment vessel, but authorities are only just starting to talk about this possibility as per what I said in previous post, which was based on a single Japanese news report so far. We dont have utterly conclusive proof that this has happened, although its more than reasonable to expect that it has. Although apparently the Thre Mile Island meltdown was considered enough to melt through the reactor pressure vessel, but for some reason it didnt actually happen, so I cant bet my life on this stuff.

The final stage would be if it then melted through containment like you mention. I dont think its very easy for people to judge whether this has happened, to what extent, and exactly where the corium is now sitting. Significant heat is still being generated, and going by temperature readings the situation in reactor 3 might be a bit different to that at reactors 1 & 2, but I cant reach conclusions with any certainty.

Anyway, even if the cores have not eaten their way through containment, we still know that containment failed enough to release rather large amounts of radiation in the early days. This could have been due to temperatures & pressures well above what containment was designed for, which certainly happened at all reactors, likely causing their containments to fail in certain weak-spots, rather than failing because the core ate through it directly. Whether the core ate through either later or earlier than I am suggesting here is pretty unclear. There were some grey smoke and black smoke events at reactor 3 on dates such as march 16th, march 21st and march 23rd which some people would love to be able to understand, they are wondering if any of these were moments where the core did something interesting, but there doesnt tend to be enough data for people to form convincing conclusions.
 
Guardian saying Japanese Atomic agency saying amount of leakage might have been twice original estimate.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/jun/07/japan-doubles-fukushima-radiation-leak-estimate

The amount of radiation released by the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant in the days after the 11 March tsunami could have been more than double that originally estimated by its operator, Japan's nuclear safety agency has said.

The revelation has raised fears that the situation at the plant, where fuel in three reactors suffered meltdown, was more serious than government officials have acknowledged.

In another development that is expected to add to criticism of Japan's handling of the crisis, the agency said molten nuclear fuel dropped to the bottom of the pressure vessel in the No 1 reactor within five hours of the accident, 10 hours earlier than previously thought.

By the end of last week, radiation levels inside the reactor had risen to 4,000 millisieverts per hour, the highest atmospheric reading inside the plant since the disaster.

The agency also speculated that the meltdown in another reactor had been faster than initially estimated by the plant's operator, Tokyo Electric Power (Tepco).

It is not clear whether the revised account of the accident, the world's worst since Chernobyl in 1986, would have prompted Tepco to respond differently at the time.

But it is expected to raise questions about the ability of Japan's nuclear authorities to provide accurate information to the public.

According to the latest estimates, 770,000 terabequerels – about 20% as much as the official estimate for Chernobyl – of radiation seeped from the plant in the week after the tsunami, more than double the initial estimate of 370,000.

In a possible sign that the contamination is more widespread than previously thought, a university researcher said at the weekend a small amount of plutonium had been identified a mile from the front gate of the Fukushima plant.

It is the first time plutonium thought to have originated from the complex has been detected in soil outside its grounds.

However, Masayoshi Yamamoto, a professor at Kanazawa University, said the level of plutonium in the sample was lower than average levels observed in Japan after nuclear weapons tests conducted overseas.

The release of findings coincided with the start of an investigation on Tuesday into the accident by a 10-member panel.

Last week, a fact-finding team from the International Atomic Energy Agency criticised Tepco for failing to acknowledge the risk to the plant from a tsunami, despite warnings from government experts and its own scientists.

The panel, led by Yotaro Hatamura, a human error expert from Tokyo University, will issue an interim report by the end of the year. "I think it is a mistake to consider [the plant] safe," he said.

The prime minister, Naoto Kan, said he would be willing to undergo questioning in the hope that the report "stands up to scrutiny from around the world".

and

Molten nuclear fuel in three reactors at the Fukushima Daiichi power plant is likely to have burned through pressure vessels, not just the cores, Japan has said in a report in which it also acknowledges it was unprepared for an accident of the severity of Fukushima.

It is the first time Japanese authorities have admitted the possibility that the fuel suffered "melt-through" – a more serious scenario than a core meltdown.

The report, which is to be submitted to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), said fuel rods in reactors No 1, 2 and 3 had probably not only melted, but also breached their inner containment vessels and accumulated in the outer steel containment vessels.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/jun/08/fukushima-nuclear-plant-melt-through?intcmp=239
 
The bits of their report to IAEA that I have read do not describe 'melt-through' with the level of certainty that the Guardian seem to suggest in their article. And as for the doubling of the estimate, I already talked about that too. http://www.kantei.go.jp/foreign/kan/topics/201106/iaea_houkokusho_e.html

As for their question of whether the new estimate would have caused them to behave any differently at the time had they known it then, I doubt it. There was plenty of data from early on that gave strong clues to the scale of the problem, yet they were more likely to sit on this data than publish it at the time, and I cant think what they would have done differently based on these numbers versus older ones.
 
So far some of the more interesting stuff to come out of their report to the IAEA concerns exact timing and cause of radioactive releases into the air.

The following quotes are taken from this document: http://www.kantei.go.jp/foreign/kan/topics/201106/pdf/chapter_vi.pdf

After earthquake, the discharge of radioactive materials became evident early on the morning of March 12 when the air dose rate measured by a monitoring car near
MP-6(monitoring post No. 6 in the site of Fukushima Dai-ichi NPS) increased. It can be estimated that there was a leakage of radioactive materials from the PCV and a discharge of such materials to the air, as a slight decrease in the PCV pressure was observed in Unit 1 after an abnormal rise at this point. According to an analytical result, that fuel meltdown had already started.

Monitoring measurements performed afterwards at the same point found that the dose rate had increased until the noon of March 12, and D/W pressure had not significantly decreased until around 14:00 despite the venting operation that continued in Unit 1. It could be considered that non-condensable gases, such as noble gases, continued to be discharged from the melted fuel in the reactor into the environment through the S/C.

TEPCO judged at 14:30 on March 12 that venting succeeded and D/W pressure decreased. At this point, it is believed that radioactive materials including iodine, which was neither deposited on the reactor vessel and others, nor absorbed by the S/C, were discharged to the air and, as a result, due to a plume effect, a reading of about 1 mSv/h was observed from a measurement made near MP-4. In addition, a reading of 20 μSv/h was observed from a measurement made at the joint government building of City of Minami Soma by the Fukushima prefectural government that started in the evening, and it is believed that the plume was first blown south by a weak northerly wind and then diffused to the north by a strong southerly wind.

From 08:00 to 09:00 on March 13, the dose rate near MP-1, 4 and 6, increased significantly, and it is estimated that this was caused by the vent operation of Unit 3 performed after its fuel was exposed due to a decrease in the reactor water level. Also, this plume is assumed to have spread to the north under the weather conditions prevailing during this period, in which a weak westerly wind turned southerly. A measurement by Minami-soma City indicated a rise of about 1 μSv/h in the dose rate. A significant rise in the dose rate was confirmed near MP-1, 4 and 6 corresponded to the multiple decreases in the D/W pressure of Unit 3.

A rise in multiple dose rates was confirmed in the morning of March 14, but no information was obtained on events that might have been related to the discharges from each plant. For this reason, although causes of the dose rate increases are uncertain, it is plausible to consider that one of the causes can be the re-floating of deposited radioactive materials because the background dose rate increased at each measuring point due to radioactive materials discharged up to March 13.

An air dose rate of about 3 mSv/h was measured near MP-6 at 21:00 on March 14. This rate decreased once but increased again after 06:00 on March 15, and a dose rate of about 12 mSv/h was measured at 09:00 on the same day. In Unit 2, a decrease in D/W pressure was observed due to a wet venting at 21:00 on March 14, and it is estimated that radioactive materials were discharged from Unit 2 because of a blast sound from the unit at around 06:00 on March 15 and a subsequent S/C pressure decrease. At around the same time, however, an explosion occurred in the reactor building of Unit 4, thus a clear distinction cannot be made between them. Since wind often blew from the north in this period, the plume was very likely to have blown to the south, and agencies including the Japan Atomic Energy Agency (JAEA) in Tokai village, Ibaraki prefecture observed a rise in the dose rate and detected radioactive iodine, etc. in the atmosphere.

In addition, an increase in the air dose rate was observed near MP-6 at 23:00 on March 15 and at 12:00 on March 16. D/W pressure decreases were observed in Unit 3 and Unit 2 at respective times. It is estimated, therefore, that discharges occurred from Unit 3 and Unit 2 at these respective times.
 
"Melt through", at Fukishima? Worse than a melt down!

http://www.yomiuri.co.jp/dy/national/T110607005367.htm

Nuclear fuel in three reactors at the Fukushima No. 1 nuclear plant has possibly melted through pressure vessels and accumulated at the bottom of outer containment vessels, according to a government report obtained Tuesday by The Yomiuri Shimbun.

A "melt-through"--when melted nuclear fuel leaks from the bottom of damaged reactor pressure vessels into containment vessels--is far worse than a core meltdown and is the worst possibility in a nuclear accident.

The possibility of the situation at the plant's Nos. 1 to 3 reactors was raised in a report that is to be submitted to the International Atomic Energy Agency.

If the report is released as is, it would be the first official recognition that a melt-through has occurred.

It was revealed earlier that sections of the bottom of the pressure vessels where control rods go through have been damaged. Highly radioactive water from inside the pressure vessels was confirmed to have leaked out of the containment vessels, even outside the buildings that house the reactors.

The report also acknowledges problems with the vertical administrative structure concerning nuclear safety regulations. As a result, the report says, who was responsible for keeping people safe in the event of a nuclear accident was not clear.

The report proposes separating the Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency from the Economy, Trade and Industry Ministry and making it an independent organization. The report also proposes drastic reform of the nation's nuclear administration, including the Nuclear Safety Commission.
 
Thing is though the evidence that draws them to a melt-through conclusion is not new, this possibility has always been on the cards. I believe that the level of contamination discovered in the accumulating basement water, which was discovered a long time ago now, was the big clue to this possibility and expectations have ben heading in that direction ever since.

I would also suggest it isnt quite the worse possibility in a nuclear accident. For me the worst possibility would be repeated recriticality in the reactor, or an explosion within primary containment which sent large amounts of the fuel itself directly into the atmosphere.

Thats not to downplay the significance of melt-through, its really very bad indeed, just trying to put the news in perspective.
 
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