Urban75 Home About Offline BrixtonBuzz Contact

EU watch

My future son in law in an attempt at bonding with me once asked me what I thought about the period in the States when Lindenburg became President. He had of course confused a fictional novel with reality. This article is pretty much on the same lines.

Phillip Roth book. Cousin is a bit of an expert on him
 


Back in the day when UK was in the EU and things like Art 50 were being sorted out. Main concern was that counties would use Art 50 as some sort of divaesque negotiation tactic to get a better deal. Tbf to UK, that didn't happen. Seems more likely with a double referendum lock
 
Last edited:


I see he and Johnson arent welcome at EUROPEAN Council meeting today though Biden is. I get why Johnson likiening Ukraine to Brexit . I read a tweet when that was announced saying proved UK was spent internationally . Except UK did a lot of k8t and training while Germany sat on its hands for stuff that had German components . Glad EU has woken up but would have been a fait a complete without UK US.

Trudeau not probably helps him given his Nazi gibe during convoy and Ukraine s Azov battalion
 
Much as it validates many of my concerns about the EU, making me a somewhat reluctant remainer, I think it's important to note that this kind of stuff has always been swirling about in the EU, and little of it ever comes about.

All of it would have to be voted on, repeatedly - not least because it's all new treaty stuff - and it would be subject to many vetos.

Also worth pinging who is blowing the trumpet - Verhofstadt is an absolute nut on the subject, and he is well out of sync with the national governments on this. The French might make noises, but they are never going to give up their vetos. Everyone else's, sure - but not theirs...
 
Perhaps you could outline the status of the conference and the likelihood of its proposals ever coming into effect
The conference was the final stage of a proposal agreed by both the European Commission and European Parliament two years ago . Its brief was to look at the medium to long term future of the EU and what reforms should be made to its policies and institutions.

The final report ( 325 recommendations to achieve 49 objectives across 9 themes apparently )from the Conference will be presented to the Presidents by the three Co-Chairs. Then at some stage, it should go to the European Parliament. The two right wing groupings, the European Conservatives and Reformists group and the Identity and Democracy group walked out and refused to endorse the proposals. The remainder representing the majority in the Parliament voted unanimously to back the proposals.
 
Why do you want to see a United States of Europe ?

Because I think Europe is probably doomed to irrelevancy otherwise, and being subject to manipulation by the US, Russia, China, and probably India in future. In fact it already is a bit like that.

Compared to 20 years ago, our daily life is far more dominated by US companies than even before - Google, Amazon, Netflix, Meta/Facebook. This is reflected in how in 2007, UK per capita income was higher than the US, but now it is less than 2/3s. A similiar trend is Europe-wide.

One European country is currently being invaded by Russia and there is a possibility of another (Moldova) as well and perhaps an additional conflict in Bosnia instigated by Russia. This isn't a problem which is likely to go away and having an EU Army is preferable to being in NATO.

European countries also run a massive trade deficit with China. I think a more coherent and common economic policy would help with this, as well as countering increased US economic dominance.

And from a socialist perspective - the response to neoliberal globalisation isn't a return to the nationstate, but for more internationalism. I have no illusions that a European federation will be a socialist state, but it will create the conditions for a common European socialist movement, and will be no harder to reform than individual capitalist states - in fact it will be easier to reform because it will have less need to fear capital flight. Western European states protecting workers rights may lead to outsourcing to lower paid Eastern European states, but if there is a federal European state this would be less of an issue.
 
Because I think Europe is probably doomed to irrelevancy otherwise, and being subject to manipulation by the US, Russia, China, and probably India in future. In fact it already is a bit like that.

Compared to 20 years ago, our daily life is far more dominated by US companies than even before - Google, Amazon, Netflix, Meta/Facebook. This is reflected in how in 2007, UK per capita income was higher than the US, but now it is less than 2/3s. A similiar trend is Europe-wide.

One European country is currently being invaded by Russia and there is a possibility of another (Moldova) as well and perhaps an additional conflict in Bosnia instigated by Russia. This isn't a problem which is likely to go away and having an EU Army is preferable to being in NATO.

European countries also run a massive trade deficit with China. I think a more coherent and common economic policy would help with this, as well as countering increased US economic dominance.

And from a socialist perspective - the response to neoliberal globalisation isn't a return to the nationstate, but for more internationalism. I have no illusions that a European federation will be a socialist state, but it will create the conditions for a common European socialist movement, and will be no harder to reform than individual capitalist states - in fact it will be easier to reform because it will have less need to fear capital flight. Western European states protecting workers rights may lead to outsourcing to lower paid Eastern European states, but if there is a federal European state this would be less of an issue.
Being as America is dominated by American companies how come these companies haven't had the same impact on American per capita incomes that you suggest they've had here? And maybe the EU/UK relative decline is down to eg a decade of fracking in the us and more than a decade of (at least in the UK) abysmal economic policies which have seen the millions of public sector workers reduced to c.4/5 of their pre-financial crisis wages, in real terms
 
  • Like
Reactions: tim
Being as America is dominated by American companies how come these companies haven't had the same impact on American per capita incomes that you suggest they've had here? And maybe the EU/UK relative decline is down to eg a decade of fracking in the us and more than a decade of (at least in the UK) abysmal economic policies which have seen the millions of public sector workers reduced to c.4/5 of their pre-financial crisis wages, in real terms

I didn't say it was a cause of it, I said it is a symptom.
 
Much as it validates many of my concerns about the EU, making me a somewhat reluctant remainer, I think it's important to note that this kind of stuff has always been swirling about in the EU, and little of it ever comes about.

All of it would have to be voted on, repeatedly - not least because it's all new treaty stuff - and it would be subject to many vetos.

Also worth pinging who is blowing the trumpet - Verhofstadt is an absolute nut on the subject, and he is well out of sync with the national governments on this. The French might make noises, but they are never going to give up their vetos. Everyone else's, sure - but not theirs...
EU defense force passed treaty under Blair. Political will on it comes down to whether EU parliament will give it the budget
 
It may be a symptom. It may not be a symptom. You don't seem to me to adduce enough actual evidence to support your conclusion

No I don't really know for sure what the relationship is tbh. Just an opinion. I think it is probably related in some way - that there are few major European tech companies emerging in the last couple of decades compared to American and East Asian ones is probably not unrelated to a comparative decline in wealth - but I haven't really looked into it in detail.
 
I have no illusions that a European federation will be a socialist state, but it will create the conditions for a common European socialist movement, and will be no harder to reform than individual capitalist states - in fact it will be easier to reform because it will have less need to fear capital flight.
that is an interesting point (about capital flight) i havent heard before
how would it " create the conditions for a common European socialist movement"??

my optimistic/naive thought is that the EU is composed of the governments of the states within it and if key countries (Germany, France etc) go left together at some future point then the EU can also be reformed.... not totally impossible Id imagine....but unlikely for endless reasons
 
The EU is, like the WTO, from its founding, "a project of deregulation and redistribution of wealth to the wealthy"

Globalists: The End of Empire and the Birth of Neoliberalism by Quinn Slobodian (a europhile) is good if dry on this. Hayek, Mises and others, and their reaction to the collapse of the Austro-Hungarian Empire.

That it'll "create the conditions for a common European socialist movement" is optimistic. But never say never
 
Back
Top Bottom