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Donald Trump the road that might not lead to the White House - Redux 2024 thread.

I'm torn on this one. Anyone wearing a MAGA cap is undoubtedly a dick, doubly so when wearing it outside the context of like-minded people. It's a deliberately provocative gesture.

Equally, don't get so wound up by a piece of headgear that you end up chucked off a plane and/or arrested. Dick move, and lets the MAGA dick get what they want, which is to play the victim and shout "fascist" at everyone else.
 
He sounds a bit worried about Pennsylvania:

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50/50 at best. As mentioned previously, I'm referencing the betting odds. So even if you ignore poll bias or bias interpreting the results of polls for the news, betting shops and financial markets (also betting on Trump) don't want to throw away money.
My point is that even if Harris wins it should not be anywhere near this close, Trump shouldn't have a snowballs chance in hell of even getting 10%, but here we are. Roughly 50% of voting Americans are willing choose him over Harris. That's insane.
Betting markets don't know any better than anyone else. They set the odds based on how much money is placed on which candidates.
 
I'm torn on this one. Anyone wearing a MAGA cap is undoubtedly a dick, doubly so when wearing it outside the context of like-minded people. It's a deliberately provocative gesture.

Equally, don't get so wound up by a piece of headgear that you end up chucked off a plane and/or arrested. Dick move, and lets the MAGA dick get what they want, which is to play the victim and shout "fascist" at everyone else.
I agree. It's just shocking that it was a thing anyway.
 
I'm purely at the level of reading polls and stories on the election and have no insights. However, have a feel that Trump's Joe Rogan appearance might be one of those tiny things that make a difference in one state or another (getting young men to vote). As always, the way people vote reflects 'deep' aspects of their life and so if Trump wins it will be about being an American in late capitalism. But then there's the campaign, the candidates and the 'offer' they make. It just doesn't seem like the Democrats sell to the voters has really connected. And there has recently been a bit of a Hilary vibe going on. :( We'll see in a week or so (or perhaps not).
 
Betting markets don't know any better than anyone else. They set the odds based on how much money is placed on which candidates.
Sure. Ok I see.
But it must still be pretty close if there is no totally obvious outcome and financial markets are betting on Trump winning. My only point here is that is bonkers that it is close.
 
Only the best people..........I'm shocked, shocked I tell ya, that a maga moron would do this :rolleyes: . Their whole party is full of convicted felons who previously shouted from the rooftops about the abuse from Dems. I believe it's called projection, and their leader is the master of it.

 
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Sure. Ok I see.
But it must still be pretty close if there is no totally obvious outcome and financial markets are betting on Trump winning. My only point here is that is bonkers that it is close.
Not just markets though
Big rich backers waving goodbye to a few million quid in order to help build the feel that Trump is winning so that it feels fishy if he doesn't.

I noticed the the MSG rally, they had live odds and betting links on screen during the mania. Every one of those chumps that sticks on 100 dollars is helping drive Trumps odds down.

There's no such equivalent for Harris. So as a result she is way under priced. That's not to say she's gonna win, but she's a decent bet at 5/2 if you can bear it. (Bases on anything anyone can possible actually know at this point).

Will be interesting see what happens to the markets when/if there's a bump in the road on election day. I expect many to cash out whatever they can (noone will care about the fluctuations on the day - that won't be important for the narrative) but that might mean the whole thing tumbles quite quickly.
 

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we found more voter fraud

Thus far, four Trump supporters have been arrested for cheating.

There’s Danielle Christine Miller, charged with two felonies for casting a vote in her dead mother’s name for Trump.

There’s Larry Lee Savage Jr, who stole two ballots during a test run of voting machines in Indiana.

There’s Val Biancaniello, who was arrested for disorderly conduct after allegedly harassing voters in a line in Media, PA.

And there’s Caleb James Williams, who harassed early voters in Neptune Beach, FL waving a machete.


 
Well this definitely seems completely legit and not illegal at all

i doubt exploiting poor people to make a buck is illegal over there, or here
 
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