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Donald Trump the road that might not lead to the White House - Redux 2024 thread.

It's been great that Harris has put the Dems back in the game, but somewhat depressing that the lead she has in almost all the swing states is so slim and basically within the margin of error, that it's on a knife edge.

Because of Republicans’ advantage in the Electoral College, a race that Harris leads nationally by between 2 and 4 percentage points, on average, is the equivalent of a knife fight in a phone booth, and it’s set to be decided in a smaller-than-usual number of states.

The polls are extraordinarily tight in all of them, and that isn’t expected to change much over the next nine weeks. In modern presidential elections, where the race stands on Labor Day is usually pretty close to where it ends up once the votes are counted.
Of the seven states that both campaigns have identified as the core Electoral College battlegrounds, Harris leads Trump in three of them — the “Blue Wall” states of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — according to multiple polling averages. But those leads are small: In only one state, Wisconsin, does an average show a greater than 3-point margin for the vice president.

In three others — Arizona, Georgia and Nevada — the polls are so close that different polling averages have different leaders as of Sunday night.

I've never followed a US election this close, but I feel it's just so important that Trump is stopped for the sake of the US, and indeed the world, the next 9 weeks is going to be proper squeaky bum time.

 
Let's hope 'Republicans for Harris' swing enough voters over, his core voters will ignore them, but with up to 9% of his voters prepared to consider switching I guess it's possible.

The anti-Trump messages are principally aimed at persuading Republicans who may formerly have voted for him that they should put country before party to keep a dangerous populist from a second term in the White House. Opinion polls say that 9% of likely voters who support Trump are prepared to at least consider switching to the Democratic candidate, Kamala Harris.

In early August, her campaign launched “Republicans for Harris” to target voters thought most likely to switch, particularly those who backed Trump’s rival in the primaries, Nikki Haley.

On Monday, 200 Republicans who worked for President George W Bush and the former presidential candidates Senators Mitt Romney and John McCain, released an open letter in support of Harris and her running mate, the Minnesota governor, Tim Walz.

The letter warned that there was more to fear from Trump than a repeat of his first term because he is now bound up with the authoritarian plan to impose rightwing control across the entire US government, including non-partisan federal agencies, known as Project 2025.

“Of course, we have plenty of honest, ideological disagreements with Vice President Harris and Gov Walz. That’s to be expected. The alternative, however, is simply untenable,” the letter said.

“At home, another four years of Donald Trump’s chaotic leadership, this time focused on advancing the dangerous goals of Project 2025, will hurt real, everyday people and weaken our sacred institutions. Abroad, democratic movements will be irreparably jeopardized as Trump and his acolyte JD Vance kowtow to dictators like Vladimir Putin while turning their backs on our allies. We can’t let that happen.”


 
Trump hides behind bullet proof glass. Surely he doesn't fear americans excercising their second amendment rights? 🤔

BBC News - DNC live updates: Trump stands behind bullet-proof glass at first outdoor rally since he was shot

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I think this tells us a great deal of what we need to know. He (and/or his people, but probably "he") is terrified of it happening again. Which puts the macho posturing in some context... :hmm:

(I mean, if someone took a pot shot at me, I'd be terrified of it happening again. But I wouldn't have been going into dickwaving territory after the first one.)
 
So Trump randomly promised free IVF for all who want it -...presumably inspired by his mate Orbán's drive to increase the population (of the appropriate ethnicity) in Hungary ?

EDIT:- oh look :-


If Trump had done some of those things - for example subsidize medical costs (for births if not IVF), establish paid maternity leave of months or provide federal financial assistance to families etc then he would have walked 2020.
 

Report that election workers (who are mostly women) in even republican areas are getting harassed because of Trump's 2020 conspiracy theories.

I love it that she's called a 'disinformation correspondent' :hmm:
 
It's been great that Harris has put the Dems back in the game, but somewhat depressing that the lead she has in almost all the swing states is so slim and basically within the margin of error, that it's on a knife edge.

I've never followed a US election this close, but I feel it's just so important that Trump is stopped for the sake of the US, and indeed the world, the next 9 weeks is going to be proper squeaky bum time.

Agree, and it's becoming increasingly difficult to maintain optimism that good sense, decency and, most of all, sanity will prevail. We now know beyond a shadow of a doubt that his support base consists of people who don't care what he says or does, people who don't engage with fact-based news channels and believe everything they're told, and people who engage to some degree with fact-based news channels but write anything negative off as AI or fake news. There's no path to those people, let alone an impactful one.

It's really fucking worrying.
 
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Donald Trump on Tuesday claimed Kamala Harris “made up” the story about a member of his campaign staff getting into a physical altercation with an official at Arlington National Cemetery last week.

The cemetery has already confirmed that an incident took place during the Republican nominee’s visit on Aug. 26 for a wreath-laying ceremony to mark the third anniversary of a bombing which killed American soldiers during the withdrawal from Afghanistan. The U.S. Army separately confirmed Trump’s staff “abruptly pushed” the female employee who was trying to uphold cemetery rules prohibiting recording and photographing for political purposes.

The Army also defended the cemetery official, saying her professionalism had been “unfairly attacked” after Trump aides claimed she was a “despicable individual” and “clearly suffering from a mental health episode” in public statements. Trump campaign spokesperson Steven Cheung also claimed to have footage proving no physical altercation happened but has yet to reveal it.
The woman in question reportedly chose not to press charges out of fear of retaliation from Trump supporters.

“The was no conflict or ‘fighting’ at Arlington National Cemetery last week,” Trump wrote in a Truth Social post Tuesday. “It was a made up story by Comrade Kamala and her misinformation squad. She made it all up to make up for the fact that she and Sleepy Joe have BLOOD ON THEIR HANDS for the INCOMPETENT AFGHANISTAN Withdrawal - THE MOST EMBARRASSING DAY IN U.S. HISTORY!!!”
 

A judge on Tuesday blocked Donald Trump from playing a song by the late soul singer and composer Isaac Hayes at his rallies, at least while a lawsuit from the artist’s family seeking a permanent injunction is considered.

The temporary ruling from the federal court judge Thomas Thrash in Atlanta, Georgia, prevents the Republican presidential nominee from further use of Hold On, I’m Comin’, written by Hayes and David Porter and a 1966 hit for the Miami-based soul duo Sam & Dave.

Not that the twat will care, but it amused me.
 
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