Looking at it fairly naïvely Trump won because he was presented by both parties as the candidate of change. He's pulled the same trick he pulled in 2016 and the same trick Obama pulled in 2008 "yes we can". Vote wise it should be no shocker to find the candidate with a bit of buzz around them doing better than polled and getting the vote out on the day. Every time somebody starts talking about Trump as a fascist or an authoritarian or civil war or coups or all the terrible things he's going to do, they transform this bumbling buffoon into a swaggering man of action.
Libs are going to be libs. But the left need to do better, and there needs to be a sober analysis of what his presidency means.
My thoughts are that
1) Easily bullied minorities are going to be bullied. The assault on trans healthcare will accelerate. Expect cruelty towards immigrants.
2) Women's reproductive rights have already been overturned. Trump shows no signs I can see of taking this further.
3) Rolling back action on climate change may be more complex than the rhetoric may lead you to think. There are economic interests at play that both parties are playing to in practice both in the oil industry and green energy. Expect anti-green posturing, but the realities maybe more complex and the Dem alternatives will be hopelessly inadequate.
4) Don't expect much change on the economy or workers rights. Both parties are thoroughly bourgeois.
5) That wall isn't going to happen. Immigration will not be curtailed to any significant degree. Too many business interests involved.
6) Forget the stuff about a civil war. Trump is going to demobilise his base and he's going to play the unity card like every other president. He wants stability. He wants to govern the country. He doesn't want continual crises. Even Hitler got rid of the SA when in power.
7) Foreign policy is going to continue more or less as before. The US has a web of alliances protecting their imperial interests and there is not a cats chance in hell that Trump will disrupt these. Those lunatics who want American imperialism to balance Russian and Chinese imperialism will be well pleased with Trump just as much as they would have been well pleased with Harris. Similarly those hoping for a change of policy are going to be sorely disappointed (cf the disappointment with Obama).
8) I'm cracking open a bottle tonight to celebrate the defeat of that genocidal maniac Kamala Harris. Liberal imperial centrism is in deep crisis in the US and elsewhere. The Dems maybe permanently unelectable now in the US. This is good.
Libs are going to be libs. But the left need to do better, and there needs to be a sober analysis of what his presidency means.
My thoughts are that
1) Easily bullied minorities are going to be bullied. The assault on trans healthcare will accelerate. Expect cruelty towards immigrants.
2) Women's reproductive rights have already been overturned. Trump shows no signs I can see of taking this further.
3) Rolling back action on climate change may be more complex than the rhetoric may lead you to think. There are economic interests at play that both parties are playing to in practice both in the oil industry and green energy. Expect anti-green posturing, but the realities maybe more complex and the Dem alternatives will be hopelessly inadequate.
4) Don't expect much change on the economy or workers rights. Both parties are thoroughly bourgeois.
5) That wall isn't going to happen. Immigration will not be curtailed to any significant degree. Too many business interests involved.
6) Forget the stuff about a civil war. Trump is going to demobilise his base and he's going to play the unity card like every other president. He wants stability. He wants to govern the country. He doesn't want continual crises. Even Hitler got rid of the SA when in power.
7) Foreign policy is going to continue more or less as before. The US has a web of alliances protecting their imperial interests and there is not a cats chance in hell that Trump will disrupt these. Those lunatics who want American imperialism to balance Russian and Chinese imperialism will be well pleased with Trump just as much as they would have been well pleased with Harris. Similarly those hoping for a change of policy are going to be sorely disappointed (cf the disappointment with Obama).
8) I'm cracking open a bottle tonight to celebrate the defeat of that genocidal maniac Kamala Harris. Liberal imperial centrism is in deep crisis in the US and elsewhere. The Dems maybe permanently unelectable now in the US. This is good.