That's a lot of people.2,459 deaths reported so far.
That's a lot of people.
Interesting I didn't know about Italy.
Well it is spreading from Hubei and Wuhan into wider China, Korea, Singapore, Japan, Iran, potentially Africa, Italy etc..If this goes fully unconfined a few zeros will be added to that figure.
Yossarian I don't understand the situation in Hong Kong either, they had open borders with China for a long time.
However I'm not sure about the effectiveness of masks, people in China wearing them and still contracting the virus.
Its a fast developing story. And some aspects of it have certainly been reported in the UK, including in football news:
Coronavirus: Several football games in Italy called off after second death
A number of football matches in Italy have been postponed over fears of the spread of coronavirus.www.bbc.co.uk
If they make Italy the great big main headline story and direct huge amounts of attention towards it then, a bit like the decision to use the word pandemic or not, it might be considered to be one of those bits of news which can have a notable impact on public concerns about risks to themselves, because things will seem a bit closer to home. Since recent days have already featured news that has changed the tone, and such adjustments are ongoing, there could be a little bit of lag before they are quite ready for the UK message and mood music to advance to quite that stage. Plus much depends on whether number of confirmed cases in Italy leaps up dramatically from the point its already reached, and how quickly. What I am saying could be obsolete rather quickly indeed, I dont know what will be detected this week or whether phase of UK public health message will change more obviously sometime this week, it might.
Watched this earlier - wonder if these bacteriophage’s can be used somehow in the fight against Coronavirus?
As for the NHS being well prepared to deal with it, this tweet from an NHS doctor does not agree.
Yes and your machine on which you get customers to sign for delivery will be a primary vector of contamination.
The ‘unthinkable’ is terrifying to envision.
Im already hearing advice (social media) to stock up on canned goods and water, just in case.
Why is water something we would need to stock up on?
I'm on a mains water scheme that's actually very good...modernised 15 years ago. About the best in the country...apparently.
How would a coronavirus outbreak effect supply of water?
Anyone?
Even if they did there is no staff. There is not even enough staff to fill the hospitals we have.Oh and I think for various reasons China is doing a better job at containing it than Britain would if there was a large outbreak here.
Heck China built 2 hospitals with more than 2000 extra beds in just 10 days. I can't see the NHS doing that not with current funding.
Why is water something we would need to stock up on?
I'm on a mains water scheme that's actually very good...modernised 15 years ago. About the best in the country...apparently.
How would a coronavirus outbreak effect supply of water?
Anyone?
As for how the timing of me deciding a pandemic might vary compared to the WHO's timing, its unclear. Based on past events I have been assuming that a big chunk of the mainstream world will decide its a pandemic (if that time clearly comes) well before the WHO formally declares it. But since my previous observations were based on a particular influenza pandemic, and their influenza pandemic phases were clearly defined in a way that non-influenza ones arent, I probably shouldnt assume how far behind the obvious reality the WHO will lag this time. I am going to go and check for how long the delay was in 2009.
Covid-19, the new form of coronavirus which has killed over 2,000 people around the world, has become a notifiable disease in Scotland.
Health regulations have been updated, requiring doctors to inform health boards about any cases of the disease.
They must share patient information "if they have reasonable grounds to suspect a person they are attending has coronavirus".
Are you and your husband there still? I know you were keen to go home but I don't know how possible that is for you xKorea's upgraded the situation to the most serious level.
Are you and your husband there still? I know you were keen to go home but I don't know how possible that is for you x
I for one thank you for the measured sifting of the evidence. The risk communication people, who elected them? How are they accountable?Regarding when to start going on about pandemics, and other issues of public health communication, these risk comms people believe in preparing the public well in advance. Probably not everyone in their field, and related fields, agrees with everything they say, but they do broadly represent the sort of approach I favour and have argued for here in the past.
Past Time to Tell the Public: “It Will Probably Go Pandemic, and We Should All Prepare Now”
by Jody Lanard and Peter M. Sandman NOTE FROM IAN: The expert risk communication team of Lanard and Sandman has given me permission to post their very well-considered reply to my question of them justvirologydownunder.com
That article also contains a link to a similar article they did in regards swine flu in 2009. This also happens to be one of the few remaining sources I can find that makes reference to the UK leaning on the WHO in 2009. But its a rather long piece that probably could have been made a lot more concise. And in the 2009 piece, they could rely on certain assumptions about flu, not all of which currently apply to this coronavirus. But its a topic close to my heart. And given the way containment and the narrative have gone with coronavirus so far, some of their key points seem extremely relevant.
Containment as Signal: Swine Flu Risk Miscommunication (Peter Sandman column)
Containment as Signal: Swine Flu Risk Miscommunication (Peter Sandman column)www.psandman.com
The detectable softening up process can be alarming.I for one thank you for the measured sifting of the evidence. The risk communication people, who elected them? How are they accountable?