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No, she is a person, not a whole country

:hmm:

She is the Health Minister for that country. Sri Lanka, a country whose health minister recommended a potion, brewed with no scientific evidence, yet have the education and infrastructure to develop chemists who can invent, manufacture and deliver other medications.
 
France: possible 3 rd lockdown looming decision by wednesday, also thinking of spacing vaccinations by 6 weeks to stretch supplies as there has apparently been an upsurge in demand recently.
 
Anyone got any idea what groups are behind all this rioting in the Netherlands?

No idea about formal groups, but suspect a right mix of concerns and anger, ranging from legitimate anger over some aspects of the handling/financial support, through to covid deniers and far right opportunists. Very depressing to read a testing centre was burnt down as well. Some of these news reports really do feel like seeing the end of times unfolding...
 
Also on that theme.


How these new variants are affecting the course of the pandemic is still unclear. In Manaus, for example, P.1 might have nothing to do with the new surge in infections; people’s immunity might simply be waning, says Oxford epidemiologist Oliver Pybus. In a press conference today, WHO’s Mike Ryan cautioned that changes in human behavior are still the major driving force for the resurgence. “It’s too easy to just lay the blame on the variants and say it’s the virus that did it,” he said. “Unfortunately, it’s also what we didn’t do that did it.”

Whats being seen is fairly consistent with our limited understanding of how other human coronaviruses tend to repeat in waves every so often. Stuff that is sometimes vague and theoretical, that we will actually get to study in detail with this pandemic via genomic sequencing and much more study of antibody levels, infection rates etc than normally happens. If reality sticks broadly to the preconceived notions, then any herd immunity would be expected to be fleeting.
 
The Health Minister in Portugal saying that 20% of covid cases are the UK variant and that its possible that this could rise to 60%. Funnily enough the Brazil variant that the UK is concerned about from travellers to the UK from Portugal hasn't had much coverage here at all.
 
Animal models (DOI: 10.3390/v13010132) hint at the possibility that SARS-CoV-2 could reach the brain via the eyes & olfactory bulb, remaining there and potentially triggering future relapses, morbidities.
 
Animal models (DOI: 10.3390/v13010132) hint at the possibility that SARS-CoV-2 could reach the brain via the eyes & olfactory bulb, remaining there and potentially triggering future relapses, morbidities.

Liked for the supply of information, but fuck’s sake...
 
The distinctions between Hong Kong and totalitarian mainland China are fading away and in recent days, the territory has adopted a very mainland-style approach with sudden and complete lockdowns of parts of districts in Kowloon - nobody is allowed out until everybody has been tested, and nobody who can't prove they live there is allowed in.

Rumour is that this led to some very tricky situations for customers who were in the area's numerous brothels when it was cordoned off at midnight.

 
in other news:
China goes anal for covid testing
Which makes sense from what I remember reading I have been wondering why stool samples weren't used for the testing.

e2a: like this quote particularly

I think I mentioned anal swabs here earlier in the pandemic and I got a rather mixed reaction so mostly stuck to bringing the subject up via sewage surveillance for Covid-19 instead. And I think when I mentioned anal swabs it was in the context of pangolins.
 
Serious figures over here, In the last seven days, the country with the highest infection rate per million inhabitants worldwide is Portugal.,The same is true with mortality. Portugal has become the worst country in the world in deaths per million inhabitants, having overtaken the United Kingdom, with 18.24 deaths per million, while the United Kingdom has 18.10 per million.

Portugal set a new national record 274 more dead and 15,333 cases , Lisbon and the Tagus Valley have the highest number of fatalities and new cases, with 122 deaths and 6,135 new cases , North region, with another 55 deaths and 4,992 cases. In Alentejo 23 more deaths and 651 new cases, Even here in the south, the Algarve there were over 400 new cases.

The UK strain is in Portugal (this is the one that is driving the numbers) and now the South African strain


The Brazilian strain is expected to be identified at some point here as well.

And there's a Presidential election going on .

Portugal fucked it. No restrictions at all between Christmas and New Year, people came from all over to visit. Friend of the gf’s family all have it after someone visited from France, many similar stories. Utter stupidity. Also the recent lockdown had stupid shit like a 1pm kerfew at weekends, so all the supermarkets were rammed in the morning. Schools only just shut.

Infections are at a level where track and trace (which was done really well in Portugal on the first round, a very low death rate then) no longer works due to the sheer number of people that would need to be contacted. Out of control.
 
Portugal fucked it. No restrictions at all between Christmas and New Year, people came from all over to visit. Friend of the gf’s family all have it after someone visited from France, many similar stories. Utter stupidity. Also the recent lockdown had stupid shit like a 1pm kerfew at weekends, so all the supermarkets were rammed in the morning. Schools only just shut.

Infections are at a level where track and trace (which was done really well in Portugal on the first round, a very low death rate then) no longer works due to the sheer number of people that would need to be contacted. Out of control.
I posted up a little story about a small village where family from France came over at Xmas. Tbh honest the signs were there pre Xmas as well . Theyve just extended the state of emergency and schools now have to provide distance learning so I think that indicates that they aren't going back anytime soon and that the initial timeframe for a months confinement was optimistic to say the least. They've also banned flights from Brazil yesterday. The UK variant is now 40% of cases.
 
Bit of information for stats fans -- average office attendance rates for our various EMEA offices in the week to 26 Jan:

Saudi Arabia -- 90%
Turkey -- 18%
Poland -- 17%
South Africa -- 15%
Russia -- 12%
All other European countries -- 10% or less (most less than 5%, actually). UK offices all 0-1%.

Comments on a postcard.
 
Anyone watching the moves wrt the EU getting its vaccines that it ordered but which don't seem to be materialising.

Isn't it a bit rich to be bleating about Astra Zeneca when the EU hasn't even approved their vaccine yet?

Seriously, looks like the EU is envious of the UK because we are vaccinating and they are not.

As far as I can see, the UK placed orders with AZ first, approved the AZ vaccine earliest and then got the first vaccines off the production line as a result. The EU hasn't even approved the AZ vaccine yet, and German authorities are now bleating that it isn't suitable for the over 65s!
 
The WHO would like that frontline workers in all countries are vaccinated as a priority before people worldwide in less urgent categories are dealt with.

They argue until all countries are safe, no one country will be safe.

This is all well and good, except the - to be expected - free for all is happening where many countries are chasing an at the moment insufficient supply of vaccines.

We need a massive expansion in the production of vaccine doses and it might be tricky to see how that could be achieved at the moment given the complexity of their production methods.
 
Its a complex subject that gets into all sorts of morality and economic order questions that are uncomfortable for people, especially people who seemingly just want to get on with cheerleading our own mass vaccination efforts. I tried to start a conversation on this recently and the response made me less than keen to try again here at the moment. But since you raise it, I'll just say that one of the ugliest scenarios is if the UKs role in COVAX is mostly as a cover, something the government point to when defending themselves against accusations that they are taking more than their fair share of things. And I'll provide some links to various stories.


So far, Covax has raised $6bn, but the scheme says it needs at least another $2bn more to meet its global vaccination target for 2021.

The UK government has provided $734m (£548m) and the US pledged $4bn (£2.93bn) in December.

One of President Biden's first acts in office was to sign up the US to Covax.

Even so, the US and some of the wealthier Covax participants have been accused of stockpiling vaccines for themselves.

A study by Duke University's Global Health Institute found that, as of mid-January, a small group of rich countries - comprising just 16% of the world's population - had purchased 60% of the global vaccine supply.

I believe there is a Times article, quite possibly the following one, that features quotes about how many more doses of vaccine the UK has ordered than it needs, and how it might eventually give them to other countries. But I cant read the article.


Earlier in January the WHO warned about catastrophic moral failure in regards vaccines.


South African president Cyril Ramaphosa had things to say on the subject at the World Economic Forum digital Davos meeting.


“The rich countries of the world went out and acquired large doses of vaccines from the developers and manufacturers of these vaccines, and some countries have even gone beyond and acquired up to four times what their populations need,” he said.

“That was aimed at hoarding these vaccines and now this is being done to the exclusion of other countries in the world that most need this,” he added, urging major economies to release their excess stockpiles for distribution to developing nations.

And there is the situation with Israel and the Palestinians.

 
Yes elbows it could be a little messy, I can understand countries wanting to vaccinate their own populations first, but it is true that we will only be clear from it once we are all clear of it. Otherwise infected areas could always produce a variant that escapes rest of world immunity and we would all start the sorry process again.
 
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