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German update. More than 400 deaths a day. They had been doing well, but winter is hitting Europe hard.

www.dw.com

Fact check: How deadly is the coronavirus in Germany? – DW – 11/26/2020

Over 400 people died in one day in Germany as a result of COVID-19, marking a new grim record. But what does the death toll mean in the bigger picture of the country's pandemic? DW Fact Check reports.
www.dw.com www.dw.com
 
Hollis said:
This seems a somewhat complex article someone stuck up on facebook... though possibily lots of good stuff on the efficacy of different interventions.. Apologies if its been linked already - I don't really follow this thread..

Ranking the effectiveness of worldwide COVID-19 government interventions
Click to expand...
Excellent stuff.

This is the key results table with explanation for those too lazy to click on the link and the tl;dr brigade:
7FCA948A-32FC-491B-A701-57127666583F.jpeg

The left-hand panel shows the combined 95% confidence intervals of ΔRt for the most effective interventions across all included territories. The heatmap in the right-hand panel shows the corresponding Z-scores of measure effectiveness as determined by the four different methods. Grey indicates no significantly positive effect. NPIs are ranked according to the number of methods agreeing on their impacts, from top (significant in all methods) to bottom (ineffective in all analyses). L1 themes are colour-coded as in Supplementary Fig. 1.
 
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Their key point, by the way, is that all these measures have some effect but timing and context of their introduction is just as important and they can be done in combination.

Interesting to compare small and mass gathering cancellation though
 
kabbes said:
Excellent stuff.

This is the key results table with explanation for those too lazy to click on the link and the tl;dr brigade:
View attachment 240910

The left-hand panel shows the combined 95% confidence intervals of ΔRt for the most effective interventions across all included territories. The heatmap in the right-hand panel shows the corresponding Z-scores of measure effectiveness as determined by the four different methods. Grey indicates no significantly positive effect. NPIs are ranked according to the number of methods agreeing on their impacts, from top (significant in all methods) to bottom (ineffective in all analyses). L1 themes are colour-coded as in Supplementary Fig. 1.
Click to expand...
The tl;dr brigade?
 
Does national lockdown have less effect than would have perhaps been expected?

Eta: No on second thoughts I can't understand those charts at all - lockdown was surely responsible for the bulk of the huge reduction in cases shown on the graphs over the summer.

Eta eta: Unless lockdown includes all those separate strands which contribute to reducing R

Eta eta eta: aaaargh
 
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two sheds said:
Does national lockdown have less effect than would have perhaps been expected?

Eta: No on second thoughts I can't understand those charts at all - lockdown was surely responsible for the bulk of the huge reduction in cases shown on the graphs over the summer.

Eta eta: Unless lockdown includes all those separate strands which contribute to reducing R

Eta eta eta: aaaargh
Click to expand...
from my looking at it national lockdown did include all the lines above it (bar international flights for border controls)
 
Wear a mask folks

Accidental mask effect experiment in Kansas:

Mask mandate followed or opted out from in different Kansas counties

“The Kansas mask requirement went into effect on July 3, when coronavirus cases were rising across the state. But 81 counties opted out of the mandate, as permitted by state law. The other 24 counties — which account for the majority of the state's population — chose to require that masks be worn in public places.

The CDC and the Kansas Department of Health and Environment analyzed trends in county-level cases before the mandate went into effect and two months afterward. Though rates were considerably higher in the 24 counties that required masks, over the two-month study period they brought the growth of cases under control and even reduced them. The counties that didn't require masks continued to see their cases increase.

On average, the counties that required masks saw a 6% reduction in cases (calculated as a seven-day rolling average of new daily cases per capita). In contrast, the counties that opted out saw a 100% increase.”
 
Educate and actively communicate with the public eh? Well that would have been an easy slice of the pie. Pity the government fucked up and took the collective finger off instead.
 
Via the 13:04 entry of the BBC live updates page, the WHO has changed its mask recommendations:

As the pandemic continues, the World Health Organization (WHO) has updated its recommendations for the use of masks in areas where the virus is spreading.

In updates today, the UN body advises "that the general public should wear a non-medical mask in indoor (eg shops, shared workplaces, schools) or outdoor settings where physical distancing of at least one metre cannot be maintained."

The advice adds: "If indoors, unless ventilation has been assessed to be adequate, WHO advises that the general public should wear a non-medical mask, regardless of whether physical distancing of at least one metre can be maintained."

The WHO also proposes "universal masking" in all healthcare facilities, including common areas and cafeterias.

The recommendations are among the biggest changes to its guidance on mask-wearing, which was last updated in August.
Click to expand...

 
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