Blimey, for once the UK is 'currently' doing OK compared to those others, France & Italy have fairly similiar populations to the UK, Spain is over 20m less, adjust that for population, and Spain would be way up.
What a mess it is across Europe.
www.urban75.net
I’ve read several articles this week on comparisons with other countries . I always thought the R rate was key but these articles deal in total numbers / deaths and then infections/ deaths per thousand . What’s the best measurement?Blimey, for once the UK is 'currently' doing OK compared to those others, France & Italy have fairly similiar populations to the UK, Spain is over 20m less, adjust that for population, and Spain would be way up.
What a mess it is across Europe.
That study reports that 11.6% (111 out of 959) of the samples tested positive for antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 (not 14%). Samples were collected between September 2019 and February 2020.
One caveat there. There are clearly differences in counting methods. France recorded far more hospitalisations than the UK in the first wave but significantly fewer deaths, for instance. I know Wales records hospitalistations differently from England, leading to higher apparent numbers for Wales. I suspect something similar is going on when comparing countries across Europe.Blimey, for once the UK is 'currently' doing OK compared to those others, France & Italy have fairly similiar populations to the UK, Spain is over 20m less, adjust that for population, and Spain would be way up.
What a mess it is across Europe.
The very best measurement, which has the most time lag on it, is excess deaths. That's the real story. It avoids arguments about dying 'with covid' or 'of covid', it avoids differences in recording (Russia, for instance, excludes some deaths that others include; Belgium tends to include every possible and probable as well as certainties), and it captures the full toll taken by lockdowns, etc.
Not necessarily. Just that it seems to have been circulating there and perhaps elsewhere before December 2019; well before the first known case in Italy, in February 2020, at least. They also cite the case in Paris of positive test samples (taken in December 2019), and a Harvard study of satellite data from above Wuhan, showing an increase in traffic to hospitals from some time in autumn 2019. So perhaps it might have been in other countries, too.
My bad - I misread what you wrote.
Yup. It would need to be replicated.
That... doesn't seem very surprising.
What do you want to measure and why?
I suppose the likely hood of catching it
Then I'd say you want to be looking at current cases per head wherever you are.
