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zora said:
A teacher of mine who is Israeli mentioned in our (zoom) class this morning that daily new cases in Israel have risen above 1000. I was really surprised and quite shocked to learn this as I thought Israel had a very good handle on the situation. Just had a look at the stats myself and possible reasons behind it. Looks like cases really have shot up from low-double digit numbers to 1000+. Found an article that stated three main reasons: Large gatherings in indoor spaces had been allowed again, the test-trace-isolate system being too slow (that old chestnut; apparently there are decent numbers of tests, but a lag in results and subsequent notification of contacts), and schools were operating back at full class sizes.
Click to expand...

Weddings were apparently the main culprit - in mid-June, the government allowed weddings and other religious ceremonies with up to 250 guests, while capping the size of other gatherings at 50, and there were more than 2,000 weddings in 10 days.

An Israeli official with knowledge of the pandemic response said government researchers have traced the bulk of new infections to a single category of activity: public gatherings, particularly weddings. The official said a huge spike in weddings — some 2,092 between June 15 and June 25 — proved the events to be covid-19 incubators.

“You have people coming from all over the country,” said the official, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the political sensitivity of the matter. “They hug each other; they sing, they dance. That’s the ultimate opportunity to infect people.”
Click to expand...

 
Yossarian said:
Weddings were apparently the main culprit - in mid-June, the government allowed weddings and other religious ceremonies with up to 250 guests, while capping the size of other gatherings at 50, and there were more than 2,000 weddings in 10 days.



Click to expand...

Wow, that's a lot of gatherings with a lot of people. :/
 
Given that weddings (for a lot of people) are centred around a religious ceremony and marriage in itself is a very important aspect of religious observance I have to say again our various Gods have a strange sense of humour. Its like when all those people in churches started spreading it to each other.
 
Concerns are raising in Spain about a new spike, new cases started to slowly climb 4 weeks ago, when the 7-day average was 335 daily, increasing 2 weeks ago to 372, but as of yesterday it's hit 810. The last 2 days have both hit around 1400 new cases. :(

Catalonia is the main region of concerns and restrictions have been reintroduced for 4 million people, whilst France is considering closing the border again.

Catalonia’s regional government has asked millions of people to “stay at home” as the area experienced a resurgence in coronavirus cases.

Around four million people in the Barcelona metropolitan area have been requested to only leave home for essential reasons, with cinemas, theatres and nightclubs also closing.

Restaurants and bars are now limited to half capacity, a ban on visits to elderly people’s homes has been implemented, and people can only meet up in groups of up to ten.

Non-essential businesses will have to receive their customers by appointment.
Click to expand...

www.euronews.com

Catalonia asks millions to 'stay at home' amid COVID-19 surge

Around four million people in the Barcelona metropolitan area have been requested to only leave home for essential reasons, with cinemas, theatres and nightclubs also closing.
www.euronews.com www.euronews.com
 
It would be good to figure out the context of the Catalonia stuff. Because I know some people have been fond of the idea that very large new outbreaks being seen in places around the world now are happening in places that dodged having a massive first wave. But in order to suggest that the Catalonia rise in infections disproves that those are the only places at massive risk now, need to zoom in further to see if the specific areas affected were also badly affected back in March. And I've failed to zoom in far enough to determine that yet. Catalonia as a whole certainly had plenty of deaths, but I suspect it might be unwise not to zoom in quite a bit further than that.

Not sure if I will have time to try to get deeper with this today, if anyone else wants to have a go, I didnt get much further than the regional graphs in one article, and another article which names one of the location of concern (L'Hospitalet de Llobregat).

Coronavirus in Catalonia: weekly figures explained in graphs

See how pandemic has evolved since February 25, 2020
www.catalannews.com www.catalannews.com
www.ctvnews.ca

Barcelona residents urged to stay home after rise in coronavirus cases

The Catalan regional government on Friday urged the nearly four million residents of Spain's second city Barcelona to stay at home unless absolutely necessary or face a potential new lockdown after a rise in coronavirus cases.
www.ctvnews.ca www.ctvnews.ca
 
elbows said:
It would be good to figure out the context of the Catalonia stuff. Because I know some people have been fond of the idea that very large new outbreaks being seen in places around the world now are happening in places that dodged having a massive first wave. But in order to suggest that the Catalonia rise in infections disproves that those are the only places at massive risk now, need to zoom in further to see if the specific areas affected were also badly affected back in March. And I've failed to zoom in far enough to determine that yet. Catalonia as a whole certainly had plenty of deaths, but I suspect it might be unwise not to zoom in quite a bit further than that.

Not sure if I will have time to try to get deeper with this today, if anyone else wants to have a go, I didnt get much further than the regional graphs in one article, and another article which names one of the location of concern (L'Hospitalet de Llobregat).

Coronavirus in Catalonia: weekly figures explained in graphs

See how pandemic has evolved since February 25, 2020
www.catalannews.com www.catalannews.com
www.ctvnews.ca

Barcelona residents urged to stay home after rise in coronavirus cases

The Catalan regional government on Friday urged the nearly four million residents of Spain's second city Barcelona to stay at home unless absolutely necessary or face a potential new lockdown after a rise in coronavirus cases.
www.ctvnews.ca www.ctvnews.ca
Click to expand...
At any rate, this is why I figured it best not to try holidaying abroad this year - things can change very fast.
 
Looks like it's starting to take off in South Africa, hearing that they had their highest number of deaths reported yesterday at 572, their previous highest was 216 exactly a week ago, my first thought was perhaps they were catching-up on data.

However, looking at new cases I am not so sure, they have basically gone up 8 fold since the start of June, now averaging over 12,000 new cases daily, and their testing rates are very low, so they will be missing loads of cases.

Apparently it's spreading like wild fire in the over crowded townships, there's no way their health system is going to cope. :(
 
elbows said:
It would be good to figure out the context of the Catalonia stuff. Because I know some people have been fond of the idea that very large new outbreaks being seen in places around the world now are happening in places that dodged having a massive first wave. But in order to suggest that the Catalonia rise in infections disproves that those are the only places at massive risk now, need to zoom in further to see if the specific areas affected were also badly affected back in March. And I've failed to zoom in far enough to determine that yet. Catalonia as a whole certainly had plenty of deaths, but I suspect it might be unwise not to zoom in quite a bit further than that.

Not sure if I will have time to try to get deeper with this today, if anyone else wants to have a go, I didnt get much further than the regional graphs in one article, and another article which names one of the location of concern (L'Hospitalet de Llobregat).

Coronavirus in Catalonia: weekly figures explained in graphs

See how pandemic has evolved since February 25, 2020
www.catalannews.com www.catalannews.com
www.ctvnews.ca

Barcelona residents urged to stay home after rise in coronavirus cases

The Catalan regional government on Friday urged the nearly four million residents of Spain's second city Barcelona to stay at home unless absolutely necessary or face a potential new lockdown after a rise in coronavirus cases.
www.ctvnews.ca www.ctvnews.ca
Click to expand...

It doesn't look to me like a "very large new outbreak", more like a bump in the road (at this stage). Graphs are for Catalonia as a whole.

Screen Shot 2020-07-23 at 09.37.23.jpgScreen Shot 2020-07-23 at 09.37.48.jpg

Idescat. Statistical information to track the impact of Covid-19

www.idescat.cat www.idescat.cat
 
teuchter said:
Yes, they seem to sort of match at the beginning of the period but not at the end.
Click to expand...

I stopped looking at the centralised Spanish state data ages ago when they decided to dick around and report no deaths for ages. So I dont know if they are massaging the data there still or what the story is, and for now I'll just look at the data from the regional authorities.
 
frogwoman said:
Looks like in South Africa deaths have been significantly under recorded :(
Click to expand...
Really? Where did you read that?
My sisters told me infection rates were massively up but death rate still relatively low due to having a young population. But this was a couple of days ago.
 
Detailed report in yesterday's Guardian about India, from their South Asia correspondent ..... (I think she's good, btw).
Guardian headline said:
Almost a quarter of Delhi may have had coronavirus, finds study
Random sample of 20,000 residents finds 23.4% have antibodies, equating to more than 6.5m people
Click to expand...

Hannah Ellis-Petersen said:
Almost a quarter of Delhi’s 28 million residents may have developed coronavirus antibodies, making it one of the worst-affected capital cities in the world, according to research.
A random sample of 20,000 residents by India’s National Centre for Disease Control (NCDC) found 23.4% had antibodies to the virus. It appears that the majority were asymptomatic.
The coronavirus crisis hit Delhi hard last month, pushing the city’s healthcare system to the brink of collapse, and many died after hospitals ran out of beds and ventilators. Yet the rate of exposure found in the NCDC study is far higher than the city’s officially reported 123,747 cases, suggesting the spread of coronavirus in India may be far greater than the official statistics show.
Click to expand...
Whole article is not just about Delhi, btw ....... plenty of downheartening stuff, be warned ...... :(

(ETA to add actual link! :oops: )
 
And, now France is seeing an increase in cases, a 66% increase in 3 weeks. :(

France has declared a significant rise in coronavirus cases - as researchers have said traces of COVID-19 are once again being found in Paris's sewage system. The country's health ministry reported 1,062 cases on Thursday - nearly double the 584 seen on Tuesday.

It marked the second day in a row that the country had seen a sizeable rise compared to earlier in the week, after a series of localised flare-ups prompted officials to make mask-wearing compulsory in enclosed public spaces.

The health ministry said there had been a 66% increase in cases over three weeks, and that a lag between people becoming infected and displaying symptoms meant the virus had likely been circulating "for several weeks already".
Click to expand...
news.sky.com

Coronavirus: France sees 'significant' surge in cases as COVID-19 traces found in Paris sewage system

The study of wastewater could act as an early indicator of coronavirus infections, even before people are diagnosed.
news.sky.com news.sky.com
 
Hong Kong managed to keep case numbers very low for six months with measures including almost universal mask-wearing - which people adopted voluntarily instead of being ordered to by their shitty government - and a border closure with China that was only introduced after medical workers went on strike. There were 0 new cases reported on many days in April, May, and June, but there's been a huge surge in cases over the last few weeks and the death toll has more than doubled, though it's still only 16.

This is apparently due to the government exempting too many people from the mandatory 14-day quarantine for new arrivals, including company directors, maybe somebody should have told them that rich people can also become infected.
 
Yossarian said:
Hong Kong managed to keep case numbers very low for six months with measures including almost universal mask-wearing - which people adopted voluntarily instead of being ordered to by their shitty government - and a border closure with China that was only introduced after medical workers went on strike. There were 0 new cases reported on many days in April, May, and June, but there's been a huge surge in cases over the last few weeks and the death toll has more than doubled, though it's still only 16.

This is apparently due to the government exempting too many people from the mandatory 14-day quarantine for new arrivals, including company directors, maybe somebody should have told them that rich people can also become infected.
Click to expand...

That's not good, the average daily figure for new cases on 1st July was 8, now it's 85.

www.worldometers.info

Hong Kong COVID - Coronavirus Statistics - Worldometer

Hong Kong Coronavirus update with statistics and graphs: total and new cases, deaths per day, mortality and recovery rates, current active cases, recoveries, trends and timeline.
www.worldometers.info www.worldometers.info
 
Parts of Australia are starting to see a rapid rise in numbers. Luckily most of them have been traced. Victoria is the highest , followed by New South Wales.

In Qld we've only had a couple of new cases from a cargo ship ( which didn't dock) and a service man returning from overseas.

Our labour premiere took a lot of shit for refusing to open our boarders but turns out she was right. Atm you can't enter if you've been in Victoria or in a list of NSW hot spots which is growing by the day.

If you live in Qld and want to return then you have to pay for two weeks, guarded hotel quarantine.

If you try and sneak in its something like a $4000 fine or 6 months in jail. Its changing on an hourly basis.

www.health.gov.au

Coronavirus (COVID-19) case numbers and statistics

This page provides updates about the current situation, latest case numbers and related information. It is updated every day by 9 pm AEST and reflects the previous 24 hours.
www.health.gov.au www.health.gov.au

www.theguardian.com

'A wicked enemy': how Australia's coronavirus success story unravelled

Weeks ago, Australia was the envy of the world. Now it has more than 3,000 active coronavirus cases and Melbourne is in lockdown. What went wrong?
www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com

Screenshot_20200725-100048.png
 
Yossarian said:
Hong Kong managed to keep case numbers very low for six months with measures including almost universal mask-wearing - which people adopted voluntarily instead of being ordered to by their shitty government - and a border closure with China that was only introduced after medical workers went on strike. There were 0 new cases reported on many days in April, May, and June, but there's been a huge surge in cases over the last few weeks and the death toll has more than doubled, though it's still only 16.

This is apparently due to the government exempting too many people from the mandatory 14-day quarantine for new arrivals, including company directors, maybe somebody should have told them that rich people can also become infected.
Click to expand...

The same thing happened in South America I think
 
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