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Coronavirus in the UK - news, lockdown and discussion

QR code is just to identify a venue. otherwise it’s supposed to ping you if the owner of a phone nearby has registered a positive test. as in your device was near someone who’s told us they had a positive test recently. not without obvious flaws. no pun intended, I live in a flat, on my own, why would you have it turned on at home. That’s asking for trouble.
i don’t think you can turn it off. you can turn bluetooth off but my bluetooth is on all the time cos i use it to listen to music and podcasts
 
I've already told people not to be surprised if there is a peak far sooner than some mainstream sources, models etc have been implying. This does not mean I am predicting an early peak, but I am certainly not ruling one out.
And the reason I keep mentioning it is because I'm trying to say at least a few things that people may not hear from many other sources as soon. And Scotland certainly influences my decision to keep mentioning it, although obviously the timing of when their wave got going, when they went out of the Euros and when their schools finished for the summer holidays is different to Englands.

When peaks become visible I am likely to focus on them in terms of the different regions of England, rather than England as a whole, unless the timing ends up being similar in most regions.
 
I wonder if some of the absurdities of this period will be even greater because the wave is entering a dangerous stage at the same time as summer silly season where loads of politicians and people in the media go on holiday.
 
The FT have stuck this on their front page but the timing of all this bothers me because really the time to stop such a risky situation developing was months ago.

One of the things I most despise about the roadmap was that it dragged a lot of people along in terms of control over the narrative. And even those who are set up to challenge poor government pandemic decisions found it easier to keep looking ahead to the next set of relaxations instead of dwelling on step 3 which when combined with Delta caused the current situation. There is nothing wrong with people focussing on concerns about what step 4 would mean, but step 3 was bad enough and that step should have been where the maximum pressure to u-turn happened if we wanted to avoid a ridiculous percentage of the population being infected at the same time.

Screenshot 2021-07-16 at 23.40.08.png
 
And all the wank about fiddling with the app or turning it off or deleting it. Every newspaper etc that put front page effort into making that the agenda rather than trying to reduce the number of infections is probably delighted.

Meanwhile on that front....

 

N95 Masks Can be Rotated, 1 Mask Every 3–4 Days​

Use 3–4 masks, numbered on the outside as 1–4, for each day. They can be used each day in numerical order. All SARS-CoV-2 viruses on the mask will be dead in 3 days (2). Masks should be kept at room temperature (21–23°C [70–73°F]) and 40% humidity. There is no change in the mask's properties.

From here:


The bloke who actually invented the masks so I think I'll stick with this method. If it's good enough for health workers dealing with severe covid patients then it'll definitely be appropriate for shop workers and for going into crowded places.
 
Because of fears over both covid & flu this winter, they are expanding the flu vaccination programme.

Similar fears last year saw flu vaccine eligibility expanded to all adults over 50 and children in Year 7. This year the plans are even bigger, with secondary school pupils up to Year 11 included in the roll-out.

From August 31, free flu jabs will also be offered to all children aged two and three , primary school pupils, people with certain health conditions, unpaid carers, pregnant women and frontline health and adult social care staff.

In total, officials expect the jab to be offered free to more than 35 million people. By comparison, a record 19 million seasonal flu jabs were administered in winter 2020.

 
Bulgaria has banned UK travellers from entering the country due to concerns about the growing number of coronavirus cases in Britain.

The ban comes into force on Monday - the same day Bulgaria moves to the UK's green travel list, meaning quarantine-free travel for passengers arriving in the UK from Bulgaria.

The southeast European nation has put the UK on its high risk "red zone list" along with Cyprus, Spain, Fiji and Kuwait, health minister Stoycho Katsarov confirmed.

It will mean that only Bulgarian citizens, long-term residents and their immediate family members will be eligible to enter the country from the UK.
[...]
Aviation analyst Alex Macheras indicated that Bulgaria may be the first of many countries to refuse entry to British travellers as coronavirus rate continue to rise.
 
Indie SAGE dont know when it will peak. They may well describe certain scenarios with that timing of peak but they dont know when it will peak, and they have certainly seen Scotlands numbers start to fall like everyone else has seen.

Lockdown timing heavily influenced peoples thoughts on the timing of previous waves peaks. We dont have that this time. And there are lots of factors, which I went on about lots already so wont repeat now.

Tim Spector has spoken of a plateau because thats what his apps data is showing him. But some segments of society are underrepresented in their apps users. On twitter he acknowledged that survey+test methods of surveillance is struggling a bit at the moment so people need to combine multiple views of the situation to form a picture, This doesnt stop him saying things at times in his videos that I consider unwise.

Its also not possible to tell quite how messy this wave will be in terms of how long plateaus drag on for, whether things go down and then back up again later, etc.

I've already told people not to be surprised if there is a peak far sooner than some mainstream sources, models etc have been implying. This does not mean I am predicting an early peak, but I am certainly not ruling one out.
It was Dr John Campbell that first mentioned the September/late August peak. Of course he wasn't saying that for certain for the same reasons. I haven't heard anything different except from Tim Spector.
 
A new FF2 mask comes into use tomorrow ... to add to the three I've already got on the go.
I'm working away from home for two days, for something that has been put off several times so the client is getting a bit fed up the job ain't finished yet [and still further delays as waiting for more parts from Spain] - travelling out Sunday and back Tuesday. About six to seven hours in a hire car, hope the air con works !
 
i posted elsewhere - the day centre for people with ld / autism i work at is meant to fully open in a couple of weeks with no covid policy in place. no restriction in numbers, no mandatory mask wearing, etc etc. most of our client base have been cut most if not all support over the last few years and are classed as highly vulnerable. a quick survey showed that roughly half of them have not been vaccinated. not because they are not eligible, but because they don't get the support to access services.
Is there a vaccine bus or mobile clinic in your area? Could it arrange to visit your centre? Of at least a gp/public health worker with info/support for people?
 
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I screenshot this from a YouTube video so sorry if image quality is crap.

I was surprised how low the second dose rate is for people up to 45. Plenty of people in their 40s end up in serious trouble with this. I'm sure there will be many more after Monday.

They only recently reduced the period for second doses, for the under 40's, so I expect that will soon start changing. .
 
I'm part of a political group that earlier this week met indoors for the first time since the pandemic started, somewhat nervously, with everyone wearing masks. We asked everyone to get a lateral flow test before coming, and someone got a faint positive line on theirs and didn't come as a result. She's now confirmed positive with PCR and feeling quite ill. I've been a bit sceptical of the LFTs but I'm now very glad we used them - fifteen people including me would now be self-isolating if we hadn't. Not sure we'll be meeting indoors again any time soon tho. It makes me think though, maybe it would be good if the government proposed that people did LFTs before meeting up with big groups of friends or family. Might be one way of reducing the 'pingdemic', as the crap newspapers are calling it.
 
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