2014 EU/Local Election Thread - Predictions and Results

[brogdale]

true. A few more in, and they're doing terribly in all of them, and that seems about the average for UKIP.

First TUSC result in - 70

'kinnel...minus 70, that's fucking bad, even by their standards.

 

[belboid]

Not really.

that South Shileds by-election was pretty good. I'll have to have a look at last years locals

 

[belboid]

For locals or for EU?

I'm going to come off the fence and predict that UKIP beat the Tories in the locals.

EU - locals are too confusing. Labour will win them, but beyond that....

 

[brogdale]

Guardian has been filling it's live feed with count 'tittle-tattle' from Swindon & Rotherham talking of better than expected UKIP polling...

eg.

Helen Pidd ✔ @helenpidd
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Ukip looking very strong all over Rotherham: in wards they claim they weren't targeting as well as those they were.

 

[The39thStep]

I'd say greens a bit higher than last time too, as the leftish party most likely to get anywhere, plus loads of disaffected ex-libdems.

Vote green to stop the lib dems

 

[brogdale]

Euros:

UKIP: 29%
Labour: 29%
Tory 22%
Greens:7%
Lib-dem: 8%

Locals:

Tories lose 170
Lib-dems lose 320
Labour gain all 470.
Ukip pick up 40-50.
Greens/Independents squeezed

Classic expect.mgt opening gambit at the start of the night from the vermin...

Tory minister Liz Truss on Sky News says she expects the Tories will lose around 200 seats.

 

[brogdale]

LD's took 3% of popular vote in Sunderland...and talk of a re-count in one ward...possible UKIP gain!

 

[ddraig]

shapps and chucka

 

[editor]

Slippery Chucka on the BBC now. He doesn't realise that slippery Tory/Labour types like him are the fucking problem.

 

[brogdale]

Featherstone: "history will recognise we're the good guys in the coalition"

 

[JTG]

Featherstone: "history will recognise we're the good guys in the coalition"

Only because they ARE history

 

[ddraig]

there were 300 odd voting at my station out of a list of 2000
more than i expected
majority student area and just the euros
3 full time staff and 1 from 5pm

 

[mk12]

What's Vince Cable up to here then?

"The European elections – the party leader took the gamble of fighting a European election on the issue of Europe which is a very unusual thing to do in the UK. We’ll see."

 

[killer b]

Trying to blame their nailed-on disasterous result on a campaign strategy error.

 

[brogdale]

What's Vince Cable up to here then?

"The European elections – the party leader took the gamble of fighting a European election on the issue of Europe which is a very unusual thing to do in the UK. We’ll see."

Campaigning.

 

[editor]

 

[JTG]

Lauren Laverne's mam re-elected in Sunderland

 

[belboid]

Guardian are reporting UKIP have won their first seat, in Doncaster.

Even tho Doncaster aren't due to start their count till tomorrow morning

 

[belboid]

Lauren Laverne's mam re-elected in Sunderland

twas the first result of the night!

 

[belboid]

TUSC beat the lib-dems in Sunderland's Castle Ward!

 

[JTG]

twas the first result of the night!

Good news, Lauren had been asking if she was able to Come Out 2Nite

 

[editor]

Kill him IN THE FACE.

 

[redsquirrel]

TUSC beat the lib-dems in Sunderland's Castle Ward!

Good, by how many?

 

[belboid]

Good, by how many?

137-57. Only 40 behind the tories too. And 1200 behind labour

 

[JTG]

137-57. Only 40 behind the tories too. And 1200 behind labour

And so it begins

 

[brogdale]

BBC reporting first UKIP gains ..Hull & Basildon.

 

[redsquirrel]

UKIP gain from Con in Basildon

Snap

 

[brogdale]

Reporter in Hull saying Lab only certain of holding in 2 out of 21 seats up.

 

[redsquirrel]

Reporter in Hull saying Lab only certain of holding in 2 out of 21 seats up.

I think that must be expectation management, even if they do lose seats I can't see them doing that badly.

 

[JTG]

Labour Mayor of Sunderland has lost his council seat to an independent