2014 EU/Local Election Thread - Predictions and Results

[killer b]

I could clearly see the list of names and addresses of people who haven't voted, when I went in.

Any of whom could go in to vote at any point before 10pm. At which points you'd be found out. Not sure if the benefits of electoral fraud (for you at least) outweigh the potential risks. Which is why they tend to be a little blase about it, I suppose.

 

[joustmaster]

Any of whom could go in to vote at any point before 10pm. At which points you'd be found out. Not sure if the benefits of electoral fraud (for you at least) outweigh the potential risks. Which is why they tend to be a little blase about it, I suppose.

They would know someone voted under the wrong name. They wouldn't know who.

 

[butchersapron]

They would know someone voted under the wrong name. They wouldn't know who.

Unless you have the most non-descript face ever you would be recognised by someone as having been in already.

 

[co-op]

Euros:

UKIP: 29%
Labour: 29%
Tory 22%
Greens:7%
Lib-dem: 8%

I like your Big 3 predictions here but I'd go Greens a *shock* 10%+ since the voters are feeling mutinous.

 

[Awesome Wells]

BNP standing locally, which seems odd as they seem more at home in the urban environment. One of their candidates has an Italian name which made me chuckle.

James Cracknell is standing locally as a tory.

I voted green.

 

[butchersapron]

I like your Big 3 predictions here but I'd go Greens a *shock* 10%+ since the voters are feeling mutinous.

There has been def movement towards them over the last few weeks.I think i i may have them slightly too low as well now i've just checked their last performance - i thought it was just over 5% but it was up at 8.6% - they should do at least that. I'll change that to 8%.

 

[redsquirrel]

I think they're going to take the U75 exit poll.

 

[killer b]

I'd say greens a bit higher than last time too, as the leftish party most likely to get anywhere, plus loads of disaffected ex-libdems.

 

[co-op]

There has been def movement towards them over the last few weeks.I think i i may have them slightly too low as well now i've just checked their last performance - i thought it was just over 5% but it was up at 8.6% - they should do at least that.

There have been a couple of polls in the past two weeks - one ICM, the other I can't remember - which had them on 10% and 12% of those who were certain to vote and very little less on the whole figure. I think they'll pick up MEPs in the East and South West and ??maybe the North West? which they've not done before. But they could get squeezed out in some weird de Hondt formula fuckwittery.

 

[Teaboy]

James Cracknell is standing locally as a tory.

Figures, given that severe head trauma he suffered.

 

[co-op]

There was a poll predicting zero Lib-Dem MEPs. It would be funny watching Fallon, Clegg and co. explaining that one on telly.

 

[joustmaster]

Unless you have the most non-descript face ever you would be recognised by someone as having been in already.

i guess being 6 foot 8 and recovering from bells palsy doesn't help...

 

[redsquirrel]

@ co-op
Can't see it happening sadly, I think they'll sneak one of two at least.

 

[marty21]

UKIP to do worse than predicted, but still well, 20% - 22%
Labour to do as expected
Greens to do better
Tories to do worse
Lib Dems to be absolutely fucked
maybe a surprise showing from a fringe party - National Health Party?

 

[butchersapron]

UKIP to do worse than predicted, but still well, 20% - 22%
Labour to do as expected
Greens to do better
Tories to do worse
Lib Dems to be absolutely fucked
maybe a surprise showing from a fringe party - National Health Party?

Latter only standing in london so unlikley to make any national impact.

 

[marty21]

Latter only standing in london so unlikley to make any national impact.

right, can't see them winning a seat but expect a decent vote

 

[brogdale]

right, can't see them winning a seat but expect a decent vote

An interesting one, because London does appear to have fewer 'left of labour' options than some other regions. If not voting Green or No2EU, there's only the National Health option open.

 

[treelover]

Unite Community have just sent an email asking me to vote labour, not happy about that.

I expect the Greens to do better than expected, even with their open borders position.

 

[treelover]

Any of whom could go in to vote at any point before 10pm. At which points you'd be found out. Not sure if the benefits of electoral fraud (for you at least) outweigh the potential risks. Which is why they tend to be a little blase about it, I suppose.

Police at 160 polling booths in tower hamlets, at the behest of the council worried about voter fraud.

 

[treelover]

 

[peterkro]

Any of whom could go in to vote at any point before 10pm. At which points you'd be found out. Not sure if the benefits of electoral fraud (for you at least) outweigh the potential risks. Which is why they tend to be a little blase about it, I suppose.

I've had this happen,large squat registration cards lying about in the hall.Mate took my card and voted,later I wander down without card and ask to vote,concerned looks all around,me shrugs shoulders mumbling oh I must have forgot and sidling out past policeman.Stupid fucker might have told me.

 

[killer b]

Police at 160 polling booths in tower hamlets, at the behest of the council worried about voter fraud.

There's 160 polling booths in tower hamlets?

 

[RedDragon]

Unless things have changed recently, you don't need any id. Just your name and address.

Followed your advice and just gave my name & address, no problems.

 

[treelover]

Figures, given that severe head trauma he suffered.

Ae you sure? he posts on CIF with lots of anti-capitalist arguments

 

[butchersapron]

There's 160 polling booths in tower hamlets?

There's 75. There are 160 outstanding allegations of voter fraud.

 

[butchersapron]

Ae you sure? he posts on CIF with lots of anti-capitalist arguments

He's a right wing libertarian tory. You probably have the wrong bloke.

 

[mk12]

Does anyone know of a good, comprehensive guide to the parties and their policies?

 

[butchersapron]

Does anyone know of a good, comprehensive guide to the parties and their policies?

Have you heard of a thing called the political compass?

 

[mk12]

Ah yes, which suggests that everyone is a libertarian leftist.

 

[Dan U]

Is it my tapatalk or has this election fever made butchersapron bust out the smilies. Swear I've seen two.