There are 19 states, totalling 237 electoral votes, which are so safely Democratic that Mr Romney did not bother to contest any of them until the final weeks of the campaign: CA, OR, WA, NM, MN, IL, MI, PA, HI, DE, MD, DC, NJ, NY, VT, CT, RI, MA and ME. Beyond those, Mr Obama appears to have an unassailable lead in Nevada, and the presence of Paul Ryan on the Republican ticket does not seem to have moved the needle in Mr Romney’s favour in Wisconsin. Adding those two states to the president’s tally, all he needs is Ohio to reach the magic number of 270 electoral votes—and he has consistently led the polls there by over two percentage points. Even if Mr Romney wins all of Colorado, Virginia, New Hampshire, Florida and Iowa, he would still lose the election if he cannot break through Mr Obama’s Midwestern “firewall” of Wisconsin and Ohio. The campaign is being fought almost entirely on Mr Romney’s turf.
Mr Romney faces such an uphill battle in the electoral college that most quantitative calculations regard the race as anything but too close to call. Nate Silver of the New York Times’s FiveThirtyEight blog, the best-known of the forecasters, currently gives Mr Obama an 86% chance to win. Sam Wang of the Princeton Election Consortium puts him at an even more generous 98%.
Obama up by five points apparentlyCNN claim to have had sight of Romney's own polls in Ohio; it's going blue.
Its not a result, 5% of votes counted. Not even enough for CNN to call it for Romney yet.Fuck. That Indiana result is scary. Romney pwned it there.
Its not a result, 5% of votes counted. Not even enough for CNN to call it for Romney yet.
They're just being safe, it'll be fairly close so until they have some real votes in to confirm the exit polls, hey wont call it.CNN and Fox won't call South Carolina, weirdly.
Obama's gonna win.First Virginia exit poll has 49% apiece
Obama's gonna win.
Adjusted for Fox, I'm calling Virginia for Obama thenBreaking: Fox News Virginia Exit Poll - Obama 50% Romney 51%”
Ha, having been there I can call South Carolina. Nothing polite though....Fox calls Georgia for Romney. CNN and Fox won't call South Carolina, weirdly.
First Virginia exit poll has 49% apiece
Ha, having been there I can call South Carolina. Nothing polite though....
I went there first with a black man, never really felt its charm sinceMy ex-wife is from SC. I love the place. But there's not a snowball's chance in hell they'd go democrat.
Bernie Sanders is re-elected as Socialist Senator for Vermont
Richard Mourdock, God's chosen representative on earth to explain the mysteries of rape, is leading in the Indiana senate race by just 2,000 votes, with 7% of precincts in. And that's with the better parts of the state for him reporting.
He's always formally stood as an independent - tho has identified far more closely with the Democrats since standing for Senate (rather than Congress)He stands as an independent these days and as part of the Democratic Caucus in Congress.