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The Brexit process

It's a stupid question, comparing a supposedly tangible, negative thing with some ill defined future possibility.

What would you like to have, this £20 note or something blah to do with future economic prosperity blah?
 
It's a stupid question, comparing a supposedly tangible, negative thing with some ill defined future possibility.

What would you like to have, this £20 note or something blah to do with future economic prosperity blah?
If less foreigners = a £20 note but yeah I agree, nobody can see the European Single Market . Does this mean the referendum was a stupid question too though?
 
If less foreigners = a £20 note but yeah I agree, nobody can see the European Single Market .
Everyone's been beaten over the head with the message that immigration is bad, immigration is here, immigration has gone too far. No fucking wonder that people prioritise that over something in the future that even the politicians and their watchers can't seem to fathom the exact value of.

The only thing clear to me is that the idiots are winning, not one side or the other, just the idiots.
 
If someone could convince me that Brexit had done more damage than good, then sure. How could anyone possibly prove a counterfactual though? There are so many things looming that will cause the economy to turn to shit in the next 5-10 years that it will be impossible to figure out what was the cause of what. All any of us can do is make a judgement based on our perception here and now of what poses the greatest risk. We just differ in our opinions about where the risks lie.

Can you imagine any scenario which would cause you to think that brexit was a good thing after all?

Here's a yougov poll which asked leave voters pretty much the same question - what if anything would cause you to feel that brexit had been a bad thing after all.
The results show that the majority of leave voters don't believe there will be any negative consequences at all, fewer than 10% think this is likely.
But even so, if it turns out that the price of the weekly shop goes up, or unemployment rises, it would be enough to change the result of the referendum.
YouGov | What would make Leave voters change their mind about Brexit?
 
So, did Nissan panic May into some knee-jerk corporate welfare, and/or has she signalled (inadvertently?) her negotiation objectives?

Th[is] suggests No 10 is seeking a free trade relationship similar to the single market and customs union. At the same time, Theresa May has said she wants greater immigration controls and freedom from the oversight of the European court of justice; a combination of aims that Brussels politicians have repeatedly said is unachievable
 
Here's a yougov poll which asked leave voters pretty much the same question - what if anything would cause you to feel that brexit had been a bad thing after all.
The results show that the majority of leave voters don't believe there will be any negative consequences at all, fewer than 10% think this is likely.
But even so, if it turns out that the price of the weekly shop goes up, or unemployment rises, it would be enough to change the result of the referendum.
YouGov | What would make Leave voters change their mind about Brexit?

You've misread it, fewer than 10% believe there there will be any negative consequences apart from the two laid out - economy worsening, food bill going up. I still find some of those results surprising.
 
econometrics.

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You've misread it, fewer than 10% believe there there will be any negative consequences apart from the two laid out - economy worsening, food bill going up. I still find some of those results surprising.
Fewer than 20% would consider changing their opinion if those negative things happen. That's pretty surprising to me. Brexit fucks up the economy and makes me worse off? Still voting for it. The response to an increase in unemployment (just 1 in 5 would consider changing their minds) is particularly ironic given that immigration was such a big issue for so many brexit voters. British dole queue for British people... Strikes me as not just a fuck you to the establishment. It's a fuck you to anybody who isn't me. That's very fucked up.
 
or maybe just a fuck it, coming from the possibly mistaken feeling that things can;t get any worse.
There are measurables in there - the massive difference in expectations between leave voters and remain voters as to the damage brexit might do to the economy. One or other group is going to be shown to be right. Where does that leave the decision? If most of those who voted out turn out to have been wrong about the effect of brexit on the UK economy, who is held responsible for the damage? That's one of the inherent contradictions of the situation as it is now - brexit must happen even if it causes various kinds of damage to the UK, even if those doing it don't think it's the right thing to do, even if most of those who voted for it were mistaken or unrealistic in their beliefs about what it would actually mean. We have this one poll, fixed in time, that must be obeyed no matter what.
 
Yes, seems that way to me too. I've made loads of stupid choices in my life but most of them have mainly just effected me, and some were eventually reversible when I realised my mistake. this is different.
 
affect. I've nailed down where this comes from, people have taken on the language of effects from special effects and so forth. Simple one is: the weather affects me. Effect as doing affect as done to. Thats before we get into 'he affects the air of a prince' and affectation usages
 
:mad:

I've been getting annoyed by the US english usage of 'bias' recently also. A news outlet can be biased. It cannot be bias. The bias is the thing the outlet is biased toward. And don't get me started on 'addicting' WHICH ISN'T A REAL WORD. The word is addictive
 
:mad:

I've been getting annoyed by the US english usage of 'bias' recently also. A news outlet can be biased. It cannot be bias. The bias is the thing the outlet is biased toward. And don't get me started on 'addicting' WHICH ISN'T A REAL WORD. The word is addictive
Used as a noun, bias can be demonstrated by the output of a biased news outlet.
 
I read an article (will post later when not on phone) that if the referendum had been on a constituency basis, the 51.9% brexit vote would have secured 61% of the parliamentary seats. This is why MPs, 74% of whom were remain, are being more terse than might be expected on opposing the catastrophe of a 'hard' brexit. They're cautious, because they fear for their seat in the next election. So, not only does it show up yet again how terribly wrong the fptp system is, but it could see us sleepwalking into deep, terminal decline.

In the words of Billy Bragg: the Third World is just around the corner. :(
 
Used as a noun, bias can be demonstrated by the output of a biased news outlet.
its ugly languange regardless. See also protest as a transitive verb. I know man was not made for the sabbath but the sabbath made for man but it grates.

'fox news is bias'

does not sit right with me.
 
its ugly languange regardless. See also protest as a transitive verb. I know man was not made for the sabbath but the sabbath made for man but it grates.

'fox news is bias'

does not sit right with me.
If the context was the question "What is bias in the media anyway?" you might allow it but otherwise you're right. They've buglarised the language :mad:
 
If the context was the question "What is bias in the media anyway?" you might allow it but otherwise you're right. They've buglarised the language :mad:
I think that a sentence along the lines of..."Fox news had shown bias in its coverage of..." has always been fine.
 
I think that a sentence along the lines of..."Fox news had shown bias in its coverage of..." has always been fine.
True, but I was trying to conjure a context where "Fox new is bias" or similar might be OK, which it might just be in a direct answer to the question I posed. Pendants hang tough!
 
:mad:

I've been getting annoyed by the US english usage of 'bias' recently also. A news outlet can be biased. It cannot be bias. The bias is the thing the outlet is biased toward. And don't get me started on 'addicting' WHICH ISN'T A REAL WORD. The word is addictive

And when the fuck did "ouster" become acceptable :mad:
 
Assuming for the minute that this is true why is it a bad thing? MPs are supposed (ha ha) to represent their constituents.
The referendum result is not a mandate for any particular form of brexit. Specifically, it is not at all a mandate for a 'hard' brexit with the ending of free movement of people. Given that 48 percent voted in a way that implicitly endorsed continuing free movement of people, even if a majority of those who voted leave want some kind of hard brexit, if only 10 percent of leave voters oppose versions of 'hard brexit', that gives a majority against hard brexit.

The worry is that opposition to various forms of brexit is being silenced because only a majority view within just 52 percent of voters is being listened to, even though it is actually still a minority view. The 'we are the 48 percent' types miss this, I think. They miss that they have allies among the 52 percent, enough allies to make the views they have in common regarding the kinds of things that should not happen with brexit majority views.
 
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