The
painful legacy of the grooming scandal – for which Rochdale has become a by-word in the minds of many of those who live outside of the north west and south Pennines – is relevant because it speaks to the poverty that has marred the town and the class prejudice that has been directed at its people by the state. According to Greater Manchester Poverty Action’s
Poverty Monitor report, in 2022, ten years on from the convictions, 28% of children in Rochdale were still living in poverty. This was highest in Milkstone and Deeplish ward, where 50% of children live in poverty, and where Galloway’s campaign has been strong.
It’s not clear which, if any, of the candidates currently care about this. Which is to say: it’s not clear they care about Rochdale itself. Instead, depending on who you listen to, the byelection campaign has become about sticking two fingers up to Starmer, Galloway, or those people – largely Muslim – “banging on” about Palestine.
Of course, Palestine is a Rochdale issue for some voters. Aside from politics, many people will also have family links there, as in many constituencies across the north and Britain more widely. But no one really expects Galloway to set foot in Rochdale again if he loses. Rochdale itself is not a Palestine issue. I would like to think that this prediction is deeply ungenerous – after all, Galloway did return to Batley and Spen to support Workers party candidates in the 2022 local elections – but who’s to say.
More importantly, whether Labour loses to Galloway or Ali wins by happenstance, it won’t be the people of Rochdale the party seeks to win back at the next general election. It won’t be the parents of the 28%, or about righting the wrongs of the last 20 years. Meanwhile on Palestine, Labour knows the damage is done. In Rochdale and elsewhere, Starmer will hope to figure out what bones Labour can throw to the mythical Muslim vote to peel away enough of them that he can forget about the rest.
Commentators love to remind us that byelections aren’t reliable sources of information. That might be true if what you care to divine is electoral calculus and voter intention in a general election. But if your interest is not what voters can do for political parties but instead what can be done for voters, byelections like the one we’re now witnessing show very clearly the way in which politicians will rake over deprived towns like Rochdale as if all they could ever be is a means to an end.