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Political polling

This ComRes/Independent poll is interesting. Showing the usual Labour lead, albeit only by three points, but suggests fairly strong opposition to Osborne's cuts programme, and that few people believe either main party can cut spending without damaging the NHS or other key services.
 
I think it would be acceptable to support whoever was best place to topple Clegg

Sad thing is that he'll walk straight into some EU gravy train commissionaire-type role on getting booted out, he'll not be down at Executive Job Club or getting sanctioned any time soon.
 
So, if in Sheffield Hallam, would it be ok to vote or even campaign for labour?

I'm not in Sheffield Hallam, but that does look like there's a massive coalition scalp to be had there. I'd love him to get kicked out on his arse.

Read on, the poll was false. But if it weren't you should campaign for UKIP to achieve a decapitation.
 
Sad thing is that he'll walk straight into some EU gravy train commissionaire-type role on getting booted out, he'll not be down at Executive Job Club or getting sanctioned any time soon.


Completely agree that the last thing Clegg deserves is more gravy train riding :mad:

... but I can think of worse things if he gets an election drubbing first ... :cool:

A drubbing machine, next May :p :

6222162109_5df65df7bc_m.jpg
 
It's easy to write exciting headlines about polls if you ignore things like margins of error or trends.

If the vermin dip far enough and stay there for a bit UKIP will gain as more traditional/old school tory voters will consider the election lost and vote for a party that's closer to their views. If it's closer-run and the prospect of preventing a Labour government is on the cards they'll stick with ham face.
 
Can't remember the last time I saw a Guardian headline like this. It's usually all doom and gloom stuff for Labour. I may have missed some though.



http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/dec/17/labour-five-point-poll-lead-tories


I think it was Osborne's plans for 50 billion in cuts, people don't want to see that level of slashing, for the first time in years I think Labour may just get in, though how different it will be just don't know yet.

btw, has this been the most passive 5 year term in terms of political opposition, parliamentary and non-parliamentary?, hundreds dying from benefit cuts/sanctions, but little challenge.
 
I think it was Osborne's plans for 50 billion in cuts, people don't want to see that level of slashing, for the first time in years I think Labour may just get in, though how different it will be just don't know yet.

btw, has this been the most passive 5 year term in terms of political opposition, parliamentary and non-parliamentary?, hundreds dying from benefit cuts/sanctions, but little challenge.
You've certainly been pushing that that's the case for years.
 
That guardian poll looks pretty rouge.

The lib dems have been stuck on 6-8 % for months and no other pollsters are showing some magic recovery. Their has been a slight up swing in the labour vote in the last few weeks - but nowhere near as dramatic as that.
 
That guardian poll looks pretty rouge.

The lib dems have been stuck on 6-8 % for months and no other pollsters are showing some magic recovery. Their has been a slight up swing in the labour vote in the last few weeks - but nowhere near as dramatic as that.
ComRes had a lib-dem 12% at start of this week.
 
Their has been a slight up swing in the labour vote in the last few weeks - but nowhere near as dramatic as that.

There has, and I think - or would like to think! - that may continue, because there does seem to be a fair bit of opposition to spending cuts on the scale that Osborne laid out in the Autumn statement. This poll is probably a bit of an outlier, though.
 
Lib Dems on 8% in the latest you gov. 6-8% is what they generally get with them.

CON 33%, LAB 33%, UKIP 14%, LDEM 8%, GRN 7%.

You gov do 5 polls a week so its much better for spotting actual movements beyond margin of error.
 
YouGov/Sun poll tonight: . LAB 35%, CON 30%, UKIP 16%, GRN 8%, LDEM 6%.

Still no sign of a lib dem revival with you gov. I suspect that bigish lab lead is just margin or error stuff.
 
Latest MORI poll showing a Tory lead, which has given the Torygraph an embarrassing trouser moment, even though it's well within the margin of error.
Most seem to show labour lead reasserting itself and tories dropping back to 30/sub-30.

New TNS BMRB poll has
LAB 35% (+4)
CON 28% (-2)
Ukip 19% (N/C)
GRN 7% (+1)
LD 5% (-1).

Last night's National Opinion Poll (YouGov):
LAB - 35% (+2)
CON - 30% (-3)
UKIP - 16% (+2)
GRN - 8% (+1)
LDEM - 6% (-2)

Populus
Lab 35 (-1)
Con 34 (=)
LD 9 (-1)
UKIP 13 (+1)

ICM
LAB 33%(+1)
CON 28%(-3)
LDEM 14%(+3)
UKIP 14%(nc)
GRN 5%(-1).
 
Indeed - should have said that it's slightly against what appears to be the current trend. The Torygraph will not acknowledge that, of course, partly out of dogma and partly because most of their journalists have been playing a frenzied game of soggy biscuit in the corner of the office ever since they heard about it.
 
Labour races into seven-point lead as ratings for Nigel Farage show sharp fall

Labour has opened up a seven-point lead over the Conservatives in the latest Opinium/Observer poll, which also shows a sharp fall in the personal approval ratings for the Ukip leader, Nigel Farage.

The survey will be a boost for Labour and its leader, Ed Miliband, who has endured a torrid time since the autumn conference season as the political parties prepare to enter a general election year.

Time to go.

The farage reportage is pathetic. But there MUST BE A COLLAPSE OF SOMEONE.
 
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