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Jeremy Corbyn's time is up

I didn't read that as saying that a break away would have done well or made sense politically but that the internal tensions within the labour party would've made a split inevitable. Politics isn't all rational analysis and objective risk assessment is it?
No you are right and the whole back the second referendum position is proof of that although I wonder what was in McDonnell's head at the time or his motive. I am interested in who would have been likely to split though,throw the first stone and what forces they would have thought they could bring with them.
 
No you are right and the whole back the second referendum position is proof of that although I wonder what was in McDonnell's head at the time or his motive. I am interested in who would have been likely to split though,throw the first stone and what forces they would have thought they could bring with them.

Yes. I don't know, I'm not at all familiar with internal LP politics but killer b is, so I found his contribution very enlightening. My own political insight is about as enlightening as a great big dark grey cloud at the moment. It's like watching a film and not being able to work out who is who and can someone explain the plot please?
 
The first stone was thrown when the various TIG MPs left - that was the point at which the policy changed, and the change in policy was a direct response to that - and while in the end TIG turned out to be a stillborn minor split, weve no idea how many would have gone had the policy not changed, or the kind of pressure the leadership was under.

The leadership - and Corbyn in particular - were very aware of the problems this could cause, so we can only assume that the assessment they made was that the threat from not doing it was more severe. Who knows, maybe it was? As I say, they were fucked one way or another whichever way they jumped.
 
No, we just know they're fucked (relatively) in the one way they chose to jump. We don't know what would have happened had they gone the other way.
Well, the way they were dragged kicking and screaming more accurately. We can only speculate what might have happened had they maintained their previous policy, but we can see the direction it was going in and I'm pretty sure it would have involved either a loss of a substantial number of MPs and vast swathes of the activist base, or a successful leadership challenge and a change of policy anyway.
 
Well, the way they were dragged kicking and screaming more accurately. We can only speculate what might have happened had they maintained their previous policy, but we can see the direction it was going in and I'm pretty sure it would have involved either a loss of a substantial number of MPs and vast swathes of the activist base, or a successful leadership challenge and a change of policy anyway.

So now, we have an activist base who hate hate the positions the leadership are going to take + oh yeah a dead leader, loads of safe seats gone and a reliance on people who will happily vote for other parties if the fancy takes them. Over anything, not something that they see as utterly central to this country being a democracy. There's losing and there's losing to set yourself up to lose even bigger. They simply took the wrong choice because of who runs the party and who has always ran the party. McDonnell couldn't wait to be dragged in to this mess btw - the saviour. The brains.
 
The first stone was thrown when the various TIG MPs left - that was the point at which the policy changed, and the change in policy was a direct response to that - and while in the end TIG turned out to be a stillborn minor split, weve no idea how many would have gone had the policy not changed, or the kind of pressure the leadership was under.

The leadership - and Corbyn in particular - were very aware of the problems this could cause, so we can only assume that the assessment they made was that the threat from not doing it was more severe. Who knows, maybe it was? As I say, they were fucked one way or another whichever way they jumped.
Weren't all the TIG MPs in remain areas though ? That still leaves the question as to what was the strategy for shoring up the leave areas unanswered. Surely it cant just have been that the referendum result wasnt important and that we'll buy them off with economic policies . Even if it was the majority of those policies came very late in the day, too late.
 
Sometimes a party you like and support and spent a lot of time and effort on supporting choses wrong. The reasons for that and either addressing them or not is what's next.
 
The old commitment that it's just jeremy is not going to work anymore. It's not going to work with any new leader, so how far brexit was an animating issue is going to become clear very soon.
 
Weren't all the TIG MPs in remain areas though ? That still leaves the question as to what was the strategy for shoring up the leave areas unanswered. Surely it cant just have been that the referendum result wasnt important and that we'll buy them off with economic policies . Even if it was the majority of those policies came very late in the day, too late.
Economics for the w/c - politics for the m/c.
 
Oh don't talk such ignorant arrant tosh

Where were you when the bnp vote was being attributed to Labour taking their traditional supporters for granted? This turning their back on core voters trope has been going on more than 10 years, you can't blame it all on Corbyn
Maybe not then but this was about Brexit and Corbyn was definitely in charge this time round.
 
Fuck them. Unless you think the labour party should represent racists just because they are working class.

But if you do, then obviously they should go down that path and give up on London instead.
You keep going on about Tory voters being racist and blaming it on northerners while the Tory heartland is in the south so it's the southerners who are most likely to be racist by your logic.
 
I know of someone who is racist and voted tory. So it’s all ginger haired people who voted tory that are to blame.
 
No you are right and the whole back the second referendum position is proof of that although I wonder what was in McDonnell's head at the time or his motive.

Maybe I am being too charitable to him, but I got the impression he saw that they were inevitably going to be pushed towards a second referendum (or Corbyn would be forced out). If you know you will be forced to change position eventually, you might as well do it before too much damage is done to Labour and the Corbyn coalition.

The people who really fucked it were those who turned stopping Brexit from a fringe position to a mainstream one. Would these 'centrists' have been so deluded had one of their own been leader?
 
Sometimes a party you like and support and spent a lot of time and effort on supporting choses wrong. The reasons for that and either addressing them or not is what's next.
I knew it was a big risk, but thought it might be possible the - substantial - non-Brexit offer Labour had might break through. It's possible that if the electorate had trusted corbyn to be able to deliver them it might have done. Of course, one of the reasons he wasnt trusted to deliver is because of his vacilations on brexit...

I'm not saying they made the right decision. Just that maybe there wasn't a right decision.
 
Maybe I am being too charitable to him, but I got the impression he saw that they were inevitably going to be pushed towards a second referendum (or Corbyn would be forced out). If you know you will be forced to change position eventually, you might as well do it before too much damage is done to Labour and the Corbyn coalition.

The people who really fucked it were those who turned stopping Brexit from a fringe position to a mainstream one. Would these 'centrists' have been so deluded had one of their own been leader?
They were being pushed by their own brains and assumptions. You don't have to do what the guardian tells you to do. What is the point of the party otherwise?
 
I knew it was a big risk, but thought it might be possible the - substantial - non-Brexit offer Labour had might break through. It's possible that if the electorate had trusted corbyn to be able to deliver them it might have done. Of course, one of the reasons he wasnt trusted to deliver is because of his vacilations on brexit...

I'm not saying they made the right decision. Just that maybe there wasn't a right decision.
In that case we can only say that the one they made didn't pay off. I think they made that decision for classic top down labour party reasons and positions. same old same old. Small group of posh people. Nothing changed that much really.

None of this is to do down the effort time and hopes people like you invested in the project. Its been my position from the start.
 
They were being pushed by their own brains and assumptions. You don't have to do what the guardian tells you to do. What is the point of the party otherwise?

The problem is when a large part of your base within the party is pushing you and feel strongly enough to support a leadership challenge against you. Also given Corbyn's claim to give more power to the membership, it gets more untenable when remain positions keep getting pushed through at party conference
 
The problem is when a large part of your base within the party is pushing you and feel strongly enough to support a leadership challenge against you. Also given Corbyn's claim to give more power to the membership, it gets more untenable when remain positions keep getting pushed through at party conference
Yes, that's undeniable. That's where i recognise they were trapped. This time it's not like the membershiop vs nuclear bombs and nye telling off conference though. It's both sides actually wanting the same thing but the leadership knowing it might harm them outside. That's where political leadership comes in. Corbyn should have used his political capital to deal with it - if he/they saw the dangers that is. I'm not sure they did. McDonnell, the big brain certainly didn't. Len Mcluskey (not an endorsement) was screaming at them for months to no avail.
 
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I'm not saying they made the right decision. Just that maybe there wasn't a right decision.

There is no point rehearsing again our respective view on this. But let me ask you this. In your view what should Labour’s position on Brexit be going forwards. I’m asking here on the basis that it’s irrelevant in parliamentary terms but relevant in terms of the rebuilding job. I accept that this is contingent on who the next leader is. But given the trade negotiations a coherent policy, and way of explaining it, remains important
 
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