Wilf
Slouching towards Billingham
I agree, they are pretty much trapped in the logic of the first past the post system. But then there might be a fragment splitting off in some fairly organised way. really hard to tell how it will play out. Some kind of unity candidate/leadership would have to do an amazing job to keep it together. But then where would the splitters go? Simply joining the libs can't be an option - just too fucking embarrassing. But if they were planning a new party, I'm sure we'd have heard solid rumours by now. Probably several months of getting shitter and shitter is the likely outcome. No obvious scenario to see how either a viable social democratic party or blairite version could really establish itself. The Corbyn lot - after another leadership win would probably keep the money and the name (and of course the members). But they'd only have 40+ MPs. Could be more, several of the ones who voted against him yesterday might ultimately stay, but nothing like a viable parliamentary block.Which is why I doubt there will be a split. Both sides know that however 'loses' the split is not going to get very far.
All of the above adds up to a pile of 'we'll have to see', but there's nothing obviously good in this for centre left.