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the russians will be egging iran on to retaliate in some way that allows trump to ramp up the rhetoric and the targeted killings - without escalating too far - because this sort of atmosphere will make a trump 2020 election win more likely.
 
"Today President Trump reluctantly postponed the 2020 election due to the on-going international crisis"

Anyone want to bet this won't happen?
 


Warns that all (other hostile Iranian) targets have been identified for further action should it be necessary.
 


Warns that all (other hostile Iranian) targets have been identified for further action should it be necessary.
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It's mulch. You can't read anything into what he or most politicians say.

fwiw the obvious move is what? Disrupt oil supply.
 
"Today President Trump reluctantly postponed the 2020 election due to the on-going international crisis"

Anyone want to bet this won't happen?

Yes, I'll take that bet. As with most bets I wouldnt go as far as to bet my life on it, but for me that possibility firmly remains in the pile of useless things to fret about that get endlessly recycled. eg people thought Dubya might try that shit. I can think the unthinkable when the time is right so if it was actually going to happen I would not neglect to notice it looming on the short range radar. But I'm not going to spend any time wondering whether noise on my medium or long range radar could be this shit unfolding.

It takes rather exceptional circumstances to pull that shit off within a liberal democratic system without it being seen as a massive power grab that marks the end of that democratic system, which would be subject to quite the backlash. Even if Trump & Co are more likely than many to attempt it under the right conditions, we are a very long way away from the right conditions. And the USAs current level of deomestic oil production makes it much harder to imagine getting anywhere close to such a scenario for 'the homeland'. Plus there is additional historical baggage in the form of a US raw nerve about events in Iran affecting a US presidential election. Also the exceptional conditions under which such a move might possibly be tolerated tend to be ones where the scope and timescale of the crisis are somewhat clearly defined, so that people have a sense of how long the presidential term might be extended by and that there be some kind of obvious endgame rather than an open ended extended rule.
 
"Today President Trump reluctantly postponed the 2020 election due to the on-going international crisis"

Anyone want to bet this won't happen?

Iol, I’ll take your bet - have you seen the bunch of non starters the Dems are offering up? They know they are going to lose so have had this impeachment fiasco that Pelosi is/isn’t going to further anymore :facepalm:

Trump doesn’t need hostilities with Iran to keep him in power, the Dems are doing it for him.

 
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Thanks folks. :)

Still shedding no tears though. :)

To be fair there's some stuff linking that account to him/his office. Link between twitter account and assassination that has probably been months/years in the making probably a bit more of a stretch though.
 
By not tying this killing specifically to the embassy and oil refinery attacks I feel Trump has given Iran a free hit, which isn't wise.
 
Surprised at some here. The elections are inviolable. Effecting them not so

Indeed. I'm not sure why I left even a small amount of room open for it in my post. At the very least its a key 'necessary illusion', one that it is hard to imagine anyone throwing away unless the current order and form of democracy was done for, with very different methods waiting in the wings.
 
Well now. As observers on twitter have noted I too wonder if any of them invested in oil futures and defence as a consequence. Looks highly likely that insider trading can be added to the list of criminal activities.


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Mike Pence being the speaker of truth as always

Iran responsible for 9/11 not the us valuable trading partners Saudi arab

:hmm:
 
In what way?

Iran doesn't have nukes, and it's friends who have nukes aren't really it's friends, they just - for the moment - have a common enemy, but neither Russia nor China is going to risk a nuclear exchange with the US for the sake of Iran.

Iran's ability to fight proxy wars has been impressive, but it's ability to fight a stand up war with the US is not far off non-existant.

Iran can doubtless respond with terrorism against US allies/proxies and issue dire threats, and it's allies may note their grave concerns and make life for the US and it's proxies/allies difficult elsewhere in order to produce overstretch, but this not August 1914.

There are risks to be weighed up, but the US has imposed a significant defeat on the Iranians - the US is more willing to strike than they thought, the US has better intelligence than they thought, and the architect and executor of Iranian foreign and military policy, it's wars in Syria, Iraq and Lebanon,and the effective #2 in the Iranian state - as well as couple of locally important allies/proxies - is dead because the US wished it so.

This is similar in importance to the Germans killing Zhukov in 1943, or the US killing Giap in 1968. Not without risk, but a huge blow to to the effectiveness of their enemy.

Agree with your views, perhaps I should have put innocents rather than everyone.
But the old cycle of humans on one side murdering humans on a different side continues whilst the world burns and slowly submerges.
 
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Statement by the Anarchist Union of Iran and Afghanistan
Who are they? Why should we care what they think? What do you think of what they think? What do you think yourself?
 
Plus there is additional historical baggage in the form of a US raw nerve about events in Iran affecting a US presidential election.

Obviously the raw nerve I was referring to was always about more than the layer of dubious presidential election politics played with it back in the day, and it hasnt taken Trump long to make a symbolic reference to it:

He said the US has identified 52 Iranian sites, some "at a very high level & important to Iran & the Iranian culture, and those targets, and Iran itself, WILL BE HIT VERY FAST AND VERY HARD" if Tehran strikes the US.

"The USA wants no more threats!" Trump added.

The president said the 52 targets represented the 52 Americans held hostage in Iran for more than a year from late 1979, after they were seized at the US embassy in Tehran.


Perhaps one day his prestige restoration facade will include a trade deal renegotiation with Vietnam that involves lots of superfluous helicopters flying back to Saigon.
 
Who are they? Why should we care what they think? What do you think of what they think? What do you think yourself?
There are some pretty significant Clues in the link I posted as to who they are. I happen to agree with their statement and they are from the region so I thought I'd share it. I think people should try and support them if they can.

Thought their statement was quite interesting, I didn't know much about this Soleimani guy and was not aware that he has, for example, recruited child soldiers.

Recently there was rebellion in Iran (which is ongoing) and us anarchists are fearful that this escalation with the US will be used to stamp out any dissent in the country, but we think that, if people can, they should try and support groups like this in any way they can.
 
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