The Tories are not going to leave the EU. Whilst a number of their party are anti-EU the majority of Tories are pro-Europe for economic reasons. It would cost their backers way too much to leave Europe and would fuck our economy if we did.
I think the point of UKIP is to push UK political discourse even further to the right.
UKIP are not in a position to push discourse any way. You are falling in to the media fuelled belief that party politics matters at all.
Is there meant to be some logic connecting those sentences?
Let's ignore your uninformed speculation about my state of mind and treat the second one as an assertion that party politics doesn't matter, contrary to media-fuelled belief.
Politically, you are an idiot.
A pact and a merger are clearly quite different things. The first clue is that we have different words for them.
But just to spell it out, a pact is an agreement of some sort, most likely not to stand candidates against each other in elections. It could refer to one specific election, or it could be all elections over a given period, but either way it's relatively limited, and open to either party to end should they wish.
A merger is a whole other level of agreement - basically it means that the two parties would become one, with not only a joint manifesto but also a single organisation. This is what the Liberal Party and the SDP did a few years ago, hence the Liberal Democrats. Once you've gone done this road, it's pretty much impossible to go back to the original two parties in the way they first were. I think the idea of a merger between the Conservatives and UKIP is a complete non-starter - never going to happen - why on earth would it?
The idea of a more limited electoral pact might be workable, but I still think it's unlikely and would need to hear strong counter-argument to persuade me otherwise.
So to answer your question (whoever you were originally asking it of), yes, I genuinely believe that UKIP and the Conservative Party will continue to operate separately and to field candidates against each other in forthcoming council and Westminster elections for the next few years.
Nope, disastrous? possibly, but hugely entertainingGawd what a nightmare, Boris & Falange leading the next government.
...Whatever public opinion polls say about a majority leaving the EU hardly anyone is going to put their money where their mouth is on the issue. Even UKIP supporters have difficulty expressing their anti EU position beyond visceral emotion and a few vacuous cliches about being 'run by Brussels'.
Politically, you are an idiot.
Before Thursday you were undoubtedly right, today it's a different kettle of fish.
Politically, you are an idiot.
So I just had a bit of a look at your posting history dockerslad.
Seems that you're making a habit of calling names and that you're being cut a surprising amount of slack ...
<slightly harsher comment snipped>
Nope, disastrous? possibly, but hugely entertaining
Cameron apologising, various Tory MPs saying they need a referendum now, nothing substantive but a nice degree of seething panic seems to be emerging.Maybe you'd like to go into a little more detail.
Are you thinking pact or merger? Can you provide any coherent argument why both parties would want to do such a thing?
Maybe you'd like to go into a little more detail. Are you thinking pact or merger? Can you provide any coherent argument why both parties would want to do such a thing?
Cameron apologising, various Tory MPs saying they need a referendum now, nothing substantive but a nice degree of seething panic seems to be emerging.
Wheyup, I wasn't suggesting pacts or mergers I Simply said that after Thursday it has become a ."different kettle of fish" with a lot more probabilities possible, make of that what you will.Maybe you'd like to go into a little more detail.
Are you thinking pact or merger? Can you provide any coherent argument why both parties would want to do such a thing?
Wheyup, I wasn't suggesting pacts or mergers I Simply said that after Thursday it has become a ."different kettle of fish" with a lot more probabilities possible, make of that what you will.
I think quite a few Tories may now be thinking of jumping ship, there may be a leadership challenge, the Tories might panic and lurch to the right, all sorts of things that many certainly wouldn't have envisaged if UKIP had done poorly.OK, no pacts, no mergers.Those were the options I was ruling out, and you appeared to be disagreeing.
So, how is it a different kettle of fish and, specifically, what probabilities are now possible since Thursday which weren't before?
I think quite a few Tories may now be thinking of jumping ship, there may be a leadership challenge, the Tories might panic and lurch to the right, all sorts of things that many certainly wouldn't have envisaged if UKIP had done poorly.
Hint, the general public approves of their welfare reforms.i wonder how much further they can go to the right
Well they have ditched all kinds of traditional conservative causes and are now more socially liberal while also becoming more strongly neo-liberal.i wonder how much further they can go to the right
I think that is the first time anyone has had a go at Bernie
bad mistake...
Well, you do a good line in being contemptuous of others, but you haven't exactly enunciated your own politics amid all the sneering, have you?
It'll be even worse if he gets his daughter to endorse an anti-EU vote.Looking like the 'tory spring' may be about to spiral into full-blown civil war....
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2013/may/07/lord-lawson-uk-better-outside-eu
Another huge headache for Dave.