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Conservative UKIP merger

The Tories are not going to leave the EU. Whilst a number of their party are anti-EU the majority of Tories are pro-Europe for economic reasons. It would cost their backers way too much to leave Europe and would fuck our economy if we did.

Thats correct their main gripe is the Delors era reforms which had the temerity to try and balance the single market with minimum standards for workers. Major's efforts to reject them never gained much support in this country and if anything the Tories have moved too far away from the centre ground on Europe to placate the obsessive bores on its back benches.

Whatever public opinion polls say about a majority leaving the EU hardly anyone is going to put their money where their mouth is on the issue. Even UKIP supporters have difficulty expressing their anti EU position beyond visceral emotion and a few vacuous cliches about being 'run by Brussels'.
 
There's not going to be a merger, or a pact. Neither side would benefit.

You might see a handful (if that) of minor players from one or other switch sides. Maybe.

Cameron ain't going anywhere till after the election. Why would anyone launch a leadership challenge prior to a GE they know they're going to lose?

5 pages of crazy talk.
 
UKIP are not in a position to push discourse any way. You are falling in to the media fuelled belief that party politics matters at all.

Is there meant to be some logic connecting those sentences?

Let's ignore your uninformed speculation about my state of mind and treat the second one as an assertion that party politics doesn't matter, contrary to media-fuelled belief.
 
Is there meant to be some logic connecting those sentences?

Let's ignore your uninformed speculation about my state of mind and treat the second one as an assertion that party politics doesn't matter, contrary to media-fuelled belief.

Politically, you are an idiot.
 
So I just had a bit of a look at your posting history dockerslad.

Seems that you're making a habit of calling names and that you're being cut a surprising amount of slack ...

<slightly harsher comment snipped>
 
A pact and a merger are clearly quite different things. The first clue is that we have different words for them.

But just to spell it out, a pact is an agreement of some sort, most likely not to stand candidates against each other in elections. It could refer to one specific election, or it could be all elections over a given period, but either way it's relatively limited, and open to either party to end should they wish.

A merger is a whole other level of agreement - basically it means that the two parties would become one, with not only a joint manifesto but also a single organisation. This is what the Liberal Party and the SDP did a few years ago, hence the Liberal Democrats. Once you've gone done this road, it's pretty much impossible to go back to the original two parties in the way they first were. I think the idea of a merger between the Conservatives and UKIP is a complete non-starter - never going to happen - why on earth would it?

The idea of a more limited electoral pact might be workable, but I still think it's unlikely and would need to hear strong counter-argument to persuade me otherwise.

So to answer your question (whoever you were originally asking it of), yes, I genuinely believe that UKIP and the Conservative Party will continue to operate separately and to field candidates against each other in forthcoming council and Westminster elections for the next few years.

Before Thursday you were undoubtedly right, today it's a different kettle of fish.
 
...Whatever public opinion polls say about a majority leaving the EU hardly anyone is going to put their money where their mouth is on the issue. Even UKIP supporters have difficulty expressing their anti EU position beyond visceral emotion and a few vacuous cliches about being 'run by Brussels'.

True enough, but i wouldn't underestimate the sheer hubris-fueled fuckwittery which you can get from the kind of idiot politician that thinks we're still a great world power, that jobs grow on trees, that the human rights act is a bad thing and that withdrawing from our biggest trading partner would somehow trigger a boom in the economy...

I get the impression that the kind of braying yahoo who would make a an elected UKIP official is the kind of person who believes that the trouble we had in the '70s was the fault of the unions and that britain needs to be socially of the '50s, economically of the '80s and culturally of the '60s (with a smattering of late '90s 'cool britannia' bollocks thrown in). Sadly, if these clowns ever got into a position of true power, they'd be driving us as fast as possible towards a cross between the '30s (no NHS/welfare state & massive poverty) and mid-late '40s (fucked economy).

At the moment, UKIP's meal-ticket is the EU. However, if they ever were to ever get elected into government here, i could imagine that they would be 'comfortable' with our withdrawal. After all, not even this current crop of politicians can have their noses buried in two different institutional troughs...
 
Before Thursday you were undoubtedly right, today it's a different kettle of fish.

Maybe you'd like to go into a little more detail.

Are you thinking pact or merger? Can you provide any coherent argument why both parties would want to do such a thing?
 
So I just had a bit of a look at your posting history dockerslad.

Seems that you're making a habit of calling names and that you're being cut a surprising amount of slack ...

<slightly harsher comment snipped>

That's about the size of it - a lot of gobbing off, fuck-all substantive politics.
 
Maybe you'd like to go into a little more detail.

Are you thinking pact or merger? Can you provide any coherent argument why both parties would want to do such a thing?
Cameron apologising, various Tory MPs saying they need a referendum now, nothing substantive but a nice degree of seething panic seems to be emerging.
 
Maybe you'd like to go into a little more detail. Are you thinking pact or merger? Can you provide any coherent argument why both parties would want to do such a thing?

Cameron apologising, various Tory MPs saying they need a referendum now, nothing substantive but a nice degree of seething panic seems to be emerging.

Is that the best you can come up with? If so, it appears the answer to my question is no...
 
Maybe you'd like to go into a little more detail.

Are you thinking pact or merger? Can you provide any coherent argument why both parties would want to do such a thing?
Wheyup, I wasn't suggesting pacts or mergers I Simply said that after Thursday it has become a ."different kettle of fish" with a lot more probabilities possible, make of that what you will.
 
Wheyup, I wasn't suggesting pacts or mergers I Simply said that after Thursday it has become a ."different kettle of fish" with a lot more probabilities possible, make of that what you will.

OK, no pacts, no mergers.Those were the options I was ruling out, and you appeared to be disagreeing.

So, how is it a different kettle of fish and, specifically, what probabilities are now possible since Thursday which weren't before?
 
OK, no pacts, no mergers.Those were the options I was ruling out, and you appeared to be disagreeing.

So, how is it a different kettle of fish and, specifically, what probabilities are now possible since Thursday which weren't before?
I think quite a few Tories may now be thinking of jumping ship, there may be a leadership challenge, the Tories might panic and lurch to the right, all sorts of things that many certainly wouldn't have envisaged if UKIP had done poorly.
 
I think quite a few Tories may now be thinking of jumping ship, there may be a leadership challenge, the Tories might panic and lurch to the right, all sorts of things that many certainly wouldn't have envisaged if UKIP had done poorly.

i wonder how much further they can go to the right :eek:
 
Well, you do a good line in being contemptuous of others, but you haven't exactly enunciated your own politics amid all the sneering, have you?

I stood off and watched the likes of butchersapron and that weird little bloke who spells things wrong.

Tell you what I'll tell you something about my politics if you tell me something about yours. I joined the LPYS in the early 1980s and didn't last a year.
 
Lawson has the veneer of a respected heavy weight but he is a man who rarely lunches outside the Square Mile. The whole narrative is based on grumbles about legislative threats to the City, who obviously have more connections with Singapore or the Caymens than Paris or Berlin. Note his patronising remarks about British industrys layabouts 'staying in warm embrace of the single market' and haven't noticed Asia is growing, as if they didn't know this.
Add to this his views on the scientific consensus on climate change, he is a discredited chancellor who cuts an eccentric figure these days.
 
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