2014 EU/Local Election Thread - Predictions and Results

[butchersapron]

TUSC got around 5000 votes in Walthamstow - again, christ knows how that translates into percentages let alone averages.

Ooops - I stand corrected "Waltham Forest (London), TUSC got 5482 votes across the borough. Up from 300 in 2010 general elections."

Waltham Forest/Walthamstow its all the same innit...

3%

 

[treelover]

oh, you'll like this Spiney...

Burngreave - MB 8.4%
Manor & Castle - AT 10.1%

I would vote for Alistair, even if I don't share all his politics, hardest working guy on the far left.

 

[doddles]

UKIP have been promising to protect benefits!

doing what the lib dems used to do, tailoring their offer to specific areas.

This.

What happened last national election (and in the council elections before that) was that increasing numbers of people were getting fed up with the two major parties, both of them beholden to corporate interests and not listening to or concerned with the publis. LibDems were seen as an alternative, so they picked up a huge number of votes by playing to that disaffection. Then we saw what they were really like, and they bombed. UKIP are now picking up the disaffected voters, because neither of the two main parties has done anything to convince the electorate that they're any less in the pockets of corporations or more in tune with the public than last time (because they're not).

People will eventually figure out how shit UKIP are too. But where does that leave us? Still with no viable political alternative to the crap status quo.

So despite understanding why seeing the LibDems get spanked brings a smile to a lot of faces, the political situation right now isn't exactly anything to celebrate. Quite the opposite - it shows that even when there's a will for the electorate to vote for someone other than the big 2, they have no reasonable alternative to vote for. That's very sad.

 

[tony.c]

Only one LibDem councillor left on Brent Council. 17 gone.

 

[treelover]

Cheers. Long story short, I have a friend staying with me for a few weeks as she is working near me*, but she has also just been dumped by her partner after living together for 7 years. She was in Sheffield last week for work and liked to look of the city and is talking about us having a day out there over the weekend, but it will really depend on how she feels as she is a bit all over the place at the moment. So to answer your question not anything that interesting just wander around really.

*Well she is actually <cough>an intern<cough> but she is at least getting paid minimum wage.

This weekend there is a Chaplin Festival, with films projected onto well known buildings.

 

[Cid]

And the Nuneaton & Bedworth wards where it looks like UKIP probably cost the tories a councillor. The Weddington one sees the UKIP factor combine with the green NIMBY issue I keep mentioning, but anyways...



WEDDINGTON
<snip>
TUSC 13

UKIP got similar numbers in the other wards they stood in. But I will crunch a couple of numbers so I can see what sort of percentage they got in traditionally tory-leaning wards vs traditionally labour ones.

Fucking hell, that's the kind of result that has you wondering whether it was your own family or your mates that didn't vote for you...

 

[belboid]

ISN's Martin Ralph gets 296, 8.5% & third place for Old Swan Against Cuts in Liverpool.

 

[elbows]

My final bit of local Nuneaton & Bedworth stuff for now:

My calculation for share of the vote here, subject to my errors including rounding errors and not factoring in that some parties didn't stand in all wards.

Labour 41.6%
Tories 29.8%
UKIP 18.6%
Green 6.5%
TUSC 1.6%
BNP 1%

If I split the wards into two groups, those more likely to be Tory and those more likely to be Labour, I get these percentages instead:

Tory type wards:
Tories 38.4%
Labour 24.4%
UKIP 23.3%
Green 13.1%
BNP 0.4%
TUSC 0.4%

Labour type wards:
Labour 53.1%
Tories 24%
UKIP 15.5%
Green 2.1%
TUSC 2.42%
BNP 1.47%

 

[fishfinger]

Barking & Dagenham is still Labour controlled, with 7 wards still to declare. It seems UKIP have come a close 2nd.

 

[binka]

Anyone got any photos of crushed looking LibDems or Tories?
Heads in hands, shocked disbelief or ideally some tears?

Some Lib Dems, not long ago:

Could do with an 'after'...

 

[elbows]

Oh yeah, the purple revolution. That went well, as did the electoral reform agenda. What a difference the Lib Dems made.

 

[elbows]

Not so much unlocking democracy, as allowing it to escape into the distance.

 

[RedDragon]

Lib Dems wiped from Islington (a loss of 11 seats)

Best labour result since 1974 - 47 seats, with the remaining seat becoming Green

There were 59,597 verified votes counted, forming 38.4 per cent of the total electorate in the borough.

 

[butchersapron]

Always remember this one from clegg's purple thugs:

 

[SpineyNorman]

Always remember this one from clegg's purple thugs:

View attachment 54403

Fucking hell!

 

[SpineyNorman]

I've nicked that pic for facebook

 

[Zapp Brannigan]

And the Nuneaton & Bedworth wards where it looks like UKIP probably cost the tories a councillor. The Weddington one sees the UKIP factor combine with the green NIMBY issue I keep mentioning, but anyways...

WEDDINGTON
Green Gain
Green 982
Con 800
UKIP 432
Lab 317
TUSC 13

Fucking hell, that's the kind of result that has you wondering whether it was your own family or your mates that didn't vote for you...

Unbelievably, TUSC's 13 votes is a huge victory. It's a whopping 62.5% increase on 2013's less than stellar 8 votes.

 

[binka]

Oh yeah give butchers all the plaudits even though it was me who came up with the idea of posting photos of smug looking lib dems

 

[lizzieloo]

Still no result here

 

[Dogsauce]

My ward:

ARMLEY

Electorate: 17,039

Turnout: 30.54 %

Smart Alice 2,269 Labour Party Candidate ELECTED
Clarke Yvonne 669 Green Party
Rahman Mohammed Abdul 392 The Conservative Party Candidate
Glover Christine Amy 236 Liberal Democrats
Dalton Iain Alaistair 65 Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts

Surprisingly decent vote for greens given this isn't exactly a gentrified district! They have (or did have - haven't checked!) a couple of councillors in a neighbouring ward (husband & wife I think), again not somewhere you'd expect to find them but I think they're people who get involved with a lot of community stuff and have built popularity as individuals rather than on a party basis. Not bad results for the greens across the city - May stand them well for nabbing that sixth euro seat off the lib dems.

Full results for Leeds here:

http://www.yorkshireeveningpost.co....eds-local-elections-results-in-full-1-6632942

 

[fishfinger]

Barking & Dagenham (Mayesbrook ward). Former Labour (turned UKIP) councillor Dee Hunt, has just lost her seat by 12 votes. She is the last UKIP councillor to lose, with one ward still to declare.

Edit:

All 51 seats are Labour.

 

[Gingerman]

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-surrey-27509398
MacCuntzie fails to get elected

 

[farmerbarleymow]

Manchester returned Labour as usual in every ward. The Libdems got largely trashed, apart from Didsbury which is full of idiots. They often polled very poorly which was good. UKIP did well sadly in quite a few wards, and the BNP polled fairly well in entirely predictable wards.

I've not got time to do the figures, but these are the results.

http://www.manchester.gov.uk/info/362/elections_and_voting/4981/your_next_election/4

 

[J Ed]

Hahahaha

 

[emanymton]

This weekend there is a Chaplin Festival, with films projected onto well known buildings.

Thanks just Googled that it looks interesting, unfortunately she has changed plans for the weekend, but we still plan on making the trip at some point.

 

[Gerry1time]

Lib Dems wiped from Islington (a loss of 11 seats)

Seriously? No more Lib Dem councillors at all in Islington? I remember a Lib Dem telling me a few years back that they were definitely now going to be in power there for a generation. I laughed at the time, I laugh even more now.

Some Lib Dems, not long ago:

I don't think more than the front two or three of those people are actually Lib Dems. The photo seems to be from an Unlock Democracy event, which was supported by the Lib Dems, but was very likely organised by a former Lib Dem who's walked out in disgust. There are lots of clues in the photo as to why they're not Lib Dems tbf. For starters, Lib Dems of that age don't look that normal.

 

[farmerbarleymow]

A very pleasing headline about the Libdems in Greater Manchester.



http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-manchester-27533206

I found the quote from them in Rochdale interesting, claiming to have suffered as a result of being in government. I suspect that some of the damage was caused by the revelations about Cyril 'paedo' Smith.

 

[binka]

I don't think more than the front two or three of those people are actually Lib Dems. The photo seems to be from an Unlock Democracy event, which was supported by the Lib Dems, but was very likely organised by a former Lib Dem who's walked out in disgust. There are lots of clues in the photo as to why they're not Lib Dems tbf. For starters, Lib Dems of that age don't look that normal.

the photo was taken in the days/hours after the general election when cameron and clegg were discussing forming a coalition. that's the crowd eagerly awaiting the appearance of clegg himself to tell them what hard won concessions he had gained for lib dem support of the tories

 

[Pickman's model]

the photo was taken in the days/hours after the general election when cameron and clegg were discussing forming a coalition. that's the crowd eagerly awaiting the appearance of clegg himself to tell them what hard won concessions he had gained for lib dem support of the tories

nice to see you posting again

 

[RedDragon]

Seriously? No more Lib Dem councillors at all in Islington? I remember a Lib Dem telling me a few years back that they were definitely now going to be in power there for a generation. I laughed at the time, I laugh even more now.
.

Yep all gone. An astonishing result given the SDP control 1981 & 1982, And

The Liberal Democrats then had a majority from 1999 to the 2006 election, but continued to run the council as a minority administration until 2010 when Labour won a majority