Urban75 Home About Offline BrixtonBuzz Contact

2014 EU/Local Election Thread - Predictions and Results

guardian giving this as national share of vote:

"Labour: 30% or 31%
Conservatives: 28%
Ukip: 22%? (This morning Curtice was saying just under 25%. At lunchtime he was saying probably not quite as good as last year, and last year's figure was 23%.)
Lib Dems: 13%"
 
And Labour hold both Walkley seats comfortably. Comparatively decent TUSC vote tho

All done in Sheff - Lab NC, Libs -5, Greens +2, UKIP +3. Tories still 0
 
(This morning Curtice was saying just under 25%. At lunchtime he was saying probably not quite as good as last year, and last year's figure was 23%.)
Their best results came in nice and early, just in time for the newspaper headlines!
 
I'd have thought the Liberals would have been happiest with the national % figures - even if they are about to be crushed on sunday.
 
I read somewhere that the UKIP think Londoners are too educated, too cultural and too young to vote UKIP

marty, non-ukip voter,Londoner,aged 49

Indeed.

Yelkcub, 39, Londoner. (I do have 2 degrees but one is Social Science, so not that educated)
 
I read somewhere that the UKIP think Londoners are too educated, too cultural and too young to vote UKIP

marty, non-ukip voter,Londoner,aged 49

Also I wonder how big an effect non-native Britains have on the results. London is very multicultural to say the least and a lot of registered voters will be from elsewhere in Europe or immigrants.

ETA: That being said I'm often surprised by how many immigrants seem to have a 'pull the drawbridge up' mentality.
 
Yeah it is - just got a text through from the count. Thought that looked a bit high!
Bowler drops to 3rd - Lab 3193, Ukip 894, MB 443, Greens 327, libs & tories 150 each

(she got 707 last time, and 865 in 2010, so hopefullt its just low enough to see her off)

Apparently quite a lot of people in Sheffield SWP were against standing at all this time around - think it quite likely that they'll win the argument next time around after that showing.
 
guardian giving this as national share of vote:

"Labour: 30% or 31%
Conservatives: 28%
Ukip: 22%? (This morning Curtice was saying just under 25%. At lunchtime he was saying probably not quite as good as last year, and last year's figure was 23%.)
Lib Dems: 13%"

It's worth pointing out again that there are more local elections in urban areas this year (usually more left-leaning) so this will depress the UKIP share of the vote - it won't translate directly to Euro results which are a poll of the whole country.

The opposite tends to happen in the year when all the shire counties (usually Tory) come up, causing an apparent 'shift to the right'. Reporters often don't explain this as it makes for exciting stories about vote swing.

Maybe Labour should be worried about their vote share given the urban bias of this poll?
 
their leader!

Daft fucker shifted his seat half way across the city to try to win. Deserved even more than most to lose

I hate that twat. Always turns up when there's a protest against council cuts and claims to be supporting it and when you point out they're passing on cuts from his government he makes out if they were in control they wouldn't make the cut because they'd take it from a cut to the pay of senior council staff. I remain unconvinced that this would be enough to keep weekly bin collections, all the libraries open, all the childrens centres open and disabled travel passes, etc etc - he's turned up at all of those. The massive cock end.
 
Apparently quite a lot of people in Sheffield SWP were against standing at all this time around - think it quite likely that they'll win the argument next time around after that showing.
they weren't keen last time, this must be enough!

No (half) decent result for them anywhere that I can see - they couldn't even find a candidate to replace Lavalette, only two Labour and one Tory up for the two seats there!
 
they weren't keen last time, this must be enough!

No (half) decent result for them anywhere that I can see

I can see the SWP abandoning TUSC altogether before too long, they don't really seem interested and since they're working with a lot of labour councilors etc in the peoples assemblies, and generally seem to be taking a softer line on labour these days, it's probably getting in the way of that side of their work.
 
Anyone got any photos of crushed looking LibDems or Tories?
Heads in hands, shocked disbelief or ideally some tears?

It's all very well just reporting the figures on this. These are real people with families who have put a lot of time and effort into their careers. I want to see the faces of the grief stricken scum behind your cold statistics! :mad:

:mad:
 
And Labour hold both Walkley seats comfortably. Comparatively decent TUSC vote tho

All done in Sheff - Lab NC, Libs -5, Greens +2, UKIP +3. Tories still 0

Seat held by Ed Miliband lookalike and 2010 defector from the lib dems Ben Curran.

_49145744_bencurran.jpg
 
I can see the SWP abandoning TUSC altogether before too long, they don't really seem interested and since they're working with a lot of labour councilors etc in the peoples assemblies, and generally seem to be taking a softer line on labour these days, it's probably getting in the way of that side of their work.
that's it, they're out of it, imo. There were only two other candidates who had any chance of a decent result, but I can't remember who they were....I bet they did even worse.

Seat held by Ed Miliband lookalike and 2010 defector from the lib dems Ben Curran.

_49145744_bencurran.jpg
what a strangely punchable face. Okay, not that strangely.
 
I have been speaking to my Romanian colleague about Farage - she hadn't heard much about him - I updated her :cool:
 
Vine on rolling coverage is analysing potential LD carnage based on %'s in locals; Cable, Featherstone, Burt & Huppert all losing by around 10%!
 
SWP Candidatures

Dave Gibson did okay in Barnsley - 405, Labour winning on 1219. Still behind the English Democrats tho
307 in Handsworth, 4000 behind Labour (and last place)
70 in Portsmouth
Manchester not in yet
199 for Gary Mc in Tottenham Green
271 Simon H in Haringey

I think that's the lot.
 
Last edited:
On the BBC live coverage Vine just told Beaker that his scummy party had actually done worse in it's 'own' parliamentary areas than the countrywide figure as a whole!:D His face....

He's not waving, he's....
 
It's worth pointing out again that there are more local elections in urban areas this year (usually more left-leaning) so this will depress the UKIP share of the vote - it won't translate directly to Euro results which are a poll of the whole country.

The opposite tends to happen in the year when all the shire counties (usually Tory) come up, causing an apparent 'shift to the right'. Reporters often don't explain this as it makes for exciting stories about vote swing.

Maybe Labour should be worried about their vote share given the urban bias of this poll?
I agree. The coverage at the weekend will Falange's stupid grinning face, but the locals are really not that good for Labour and probably the real story of the week. All a long way from saying Labour won't win next year (on the unreformed constituency boundaries) but Labour haven't shaped up well over the last 6 months.
 
Brent

Labour Seats 56 (+16)
Conservative Seats 6 (0)
Liberal Democrat Seats 1 (-16)
Not looking good for their Brent MP, Sarah Tether has already said she isn't standing - don't know who has been handed the poisoned chalice to run in her old seat
 
Vine on rolling coverage is analysing potential LD carnage based on %'s in locals; Cable, Featherstone, Burt & Huppert all losing by around 10%!

I posted earlier that Cable could be in trouble given the mauling the lib dems got down here. However (and it pains me to say this) on closer analysis in the wards in his actual constituency the lib dem vote held-up OK.
 
Back
Top Bottom