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What stupid shit has Trump done today?

On FiveThirtyEight Donald Trump’s Base Is Shrinking
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During last year’s presidential primaries, Trump received about 14 million votes out of a total of 62 million cast between the two parties, which works out to 23 percent of the total. So perhaps it’s not a coincidence that 20 to 25 percent of the country still strongly supports Trump; they were with him from the start.

But 20 to 25 percent isn’t all that large a base — obviously not enough to win general elections on its own. Instead, Trump won the White House because most Republicans who initially supported another GOP candidate in the primary wound up backing him in the November election. Trump has always had his share of reluctant supporters, and their ranks have been growing as the number of strong supporters has decreased. If those reluctant Trump supporters shift to being reluctant opponents instead, he’ll be in a lot of trouble,3 with consequences ranging from a midterm wave against Republicans to an increased likelihood of impeachment.

So while there’s risk to Democrats in underestimating Trump’s resiliency, there’s an equal or perhaps greater risk to Republicans in thinking Trump’s immune from political gravity.

If you look beneath the surface of Trump’s approval ratings, you find not hidden strength but greater weakness than the topline numbers imply.
Trump the never very popular "populist" perhaps losing his edge. At this early stage of his Presidency he's really detested in a way that took other Presidents years to achieve. He's trying to implement some pretty unpopular policies that would bite some of the swing voters that helped him win. It would be ironic if his failure to do so might be what lets him scam his way to a second term.
 
On FiveThirtyEight Donald Trump’s Base Is Shrinking
Trump the never very popular "populist" perhaps losing his edge. At this early stage of his Presidency he's really detested in a way that took other Presidents years to achieve. He's trying to implement some pretty unpopular policies that would bite some of the swing voters that helped him win. It would be ironic if his failure to do so might be what lets him scam his way to a second term.

As you can see with Temer, and saw with Hollande, your popularity rating can be very low indeed and you can stay in power.
 
From a look at this place (collects tweets from trump voters who say they regret their choice) it looks like there's a lot of disillusionment. The saudi dancing didn't go down too well, people can see that the swamp remains swampy, and the effort required to shout fake news at the whole Russia thing is proving too much for some. If you scroll down I'm sure the healthcare bill would show up too.
Trump Regrets (@Trump_Regrets) | Twitter
 
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On FiveThirtyEight How unpopular is Donald Trump?

This comparison is interesting.

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Of course that doesn't mean he won't get reelected. Trump is a livelong lucky critter who as usually got away with others for his failings. Look what happened with Bush II after 9-11 or Bush I when he raised taxes and annoyed the Israelis.
 
I sometimes wonder if all the bluster and silliness is just to distract from his domestic agenda (which is extreme...gutting social programmes, massive tax cuts and deregulation...the usual right wing shit but on steroids). So we're talking about how rude he is while he slashes Medicare and Medicade (which he explicitly stated he wouldn't do before being elected).

While saying that :D...he didn't publicly endorse Article 5 of the NATO treaty (all members come to each other's defence if necessary) while giving a speech in front of a memorial for 9/11 (Steel recovered from the WTC). This is fucked up as following. He's the only POTUS who hasn't referenced Article 5 and their commitment to it publicly since Truman. He stood in front of a piece of the WTC and berated NATO nations for not paying their dues. And the only time Article 5 has been evoked? In response to the events of 11th September 2001.
 
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Students walk out of Mike Pence commencement speech at Notre Dame
Dozens of graduates and family members silently stood and walked out of Notre Dame’s commencement ceremony on Sunday, as Mike Pence began his address.
Pence, a former governor of Indiana, was invited to speak after Notre Dame students and faculty protested the prospect of Trump being invited to become the seventh US president to give the commencement address.
Oh dear, Trump seems to be a very unpopular choice. Who shall we invite instead?
What about Mike 'Cure Teh Gayz' Pence?
Great idea!


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Democratic supermajority not so super

IN THE YEAR FOLLOWING a presidential election, the Massachusetts Democratic Party updates its platform. A party platform can stand as a defiant statement of goals and ideals, and a roadmap for a legislative agenda and priorities. In today’s national political climate, such aspirational declarations are especially important as they offer voters something to fight for and something to vote for.

The platform released just last week contains new planks on paid family and medical leave, a $15 minimum wage, automatic voter registration, and the elimination of mandatory minimum sentences, bolstering what was already, by and large, a progressive document.

On Saturday, June 3, delegates from across the state will convene in Worcester to approve the platform, perhaps with a few amendments to make it stronger.

On Monday, June 5, if the past is any guide, our overwhelmingly Democratic Legislature will proceed to completely ignore it


Democrats in Massachusetts have the third largest legislative supermajority in the country, trailing only Hawaii and Rhode Island. In reputation and number of seats, this Democratic Party powerhouse is – on paper – the perfect site for victories on progressive policies from the Massachusetts Legislature. And in the wake of renewed interest in state legislation as a site of Trump “resistance,” the Senate, where Democrats control 34 of 40 seats (85 percent), and the House, where Democrats control 126 of 160 House seats (78 percent), should be a progressive activist’s dream.
But a supermajority has value only to the extent that it stands for something, and to the extent that it is put to work. When one looks back at the party’s 2013 platform, the contrast between the aspirational document and actual policymaking can be quite stark, perhaps most so in the realm of health care.

For years, the Massachusetts Democratic Party platform has called for a single-payer health care system, one that would truly enshrine health care as a right. The momentum that exists behind single payer in other parts of the country does not seem to have yet reached Beacon Hill. Single-payer legislation recently advanced out of committee in the California Senate and was passed by the New York Assembly. On the national level, the majority of the House Democratic Caucus in Congress now supports single-payer, an all-time high. But only about a third of Democrats in either branch of the Massachusetts Legislature have taken heed of their own party’s platform.
 
On TNI Trump's Base Is Holding
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The Trump Fundraising Effect?

Slick fundraising strategies like the above seem to be working. Despite the overwhelming pounding President Trump is taking in the mainstream media, of which 80% of the stories are negative, according to a recent Harvard University study, the President and the Republican Party are enjoying unprecedented financial support. At the same time, the Democratic National Committee (DNC) is experiencing its worst fundraising since April of 2009.

Requests such as the First Lady’s have brought in big bucks from the President’s loyal base. In fact, per the Republican National Committee (RNC), the RNC and associated committees had 250,000 “new on-line donors”, which “marks a 398% increase over the number of new donors” to the RNC and affiliates in 2016, an election year.

To illustrate: While the DNC raised only $4.7 million in April ($3.8 million less than in April of 2016 and less than in any April from 2010 through 2015), the RNC raised $9.6 million in April of 2017.

The April numbers are not a fluke. The RNC has $41.4 million on hand, having raised record amounts in the first quarter of 2017, while the DNC has only $8.8 million in cash. Even that is misleading, as the DNC is nearly $3 million in debt, while the RNC carries no debt.

The DNC’s dismal fundraising and cash balance is in spite of the media’s and elected democrats’ relentless recitation of Russia’s alleged influence on, and collusion with, the Trump 2016 Presidential campaign. One would think that if the media’s constant yammering was having an effect, DNC coffers would be overflowing, while RNC support would be dwindling, as the Republican base grew weary, and wary. The figures show that is not the case.

The DNC’s poor fortunes also are despite their much ballyhooed “Unity Tour”, undertaken by Bernie Sanders and DNC Chair Tom Perez in April. It seems that the more Sanders and Perez traveled and spoke, fewer dollars flowed.
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But money likes the Trump/GOP combo bigly.
 
There's a thing going around saying that had the Manchester bomb happened in the US under Trump's new 'health system,' families would be facing six figure bills for the emergency care of their injured and dead children.

Well, a friend of the man who defended the two women from a racist assault in Portland, Oregon but survived is crowdfunding for his medical bills. :-(
 
On TNI Is Trump Pushing Merkel to Create A German Superpower?
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There is little appetite, at least as far as I could tell at a conference in Berlin sponsored by the American Council on Germany at the German Foreign Ministry, for transforming the country into a Fuehrungsmacht, or leading power. But Trump may be accelerating, willy-nilly, a development that he does not fully grasp. Overall it is hard to see what benefits America would derive by withdrawing from the Paris accords on the environment other than emotional satisfaction. It also seems clear from his complaints about German cars being sold in America that Trump doesn't know that many are manufactured in places like Alabama.

Until now, the core relationship in American foreign policy in Europe has been with Germany. That tie appears not simply to be fraying but on the verge of snapping. It will be no small irony if Trump has impelled Europe to transform itself into a unified great power.
More Merkel knowing how to make political capital out of German disdain for Trump. In her own way she's quite good at demonising foreigners for domestic ends.
 
On Politico Trump Megadonor Rebekah Mercer Makes Terrible Cookies
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Better an understated lemon cookie, I suppose, than the Champagne Strawberry, a cookie with a stripper name that was the worst of the batch. Everything about it has the whiff of manufactured desire. The strawberries in question are sticky and dried, the semisweet chocolate chips are cloying, and its artificial champagne flavor leaves a sweet hung-over taste in the mouth. Do I imagine that Steve Bannon likes this cookie best? Yes I do.
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90

Posted in the interest of random weirdness.
 
There's a thing going around saying that had the Manchester bomb happened in the US under Trump's new 'health system,' families would be facing six figure bills for the emergency care of their injured and dead children.

Well, a friend of the man who defended the two women from a racist assault in Portland, Oregon but survived is crowdfunding for his medical bills. :-(

Fucking hell. Their health system really is quite jaw-droppingly depressing.
 
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Trump acted like 'a drunk tourist' on Europe trip that led Merkel to proclaim end of US alliance

Donald Trump was like a “drunk tourist” on his first trip abroad, which saw awkward handshakes with the French Prime Minister, shoving the Prime Minister of Montenegro and causing German Chancellor Angela Merkel to declare the end of the US alliance with Europe.

A US State Department official blasted the “arrogance” of the President as he flew from Saudi Arabia and Israel to Europe last week.

“When it comes to diplomacy, President Trump is a drunk tourist,” the unnamed official told The Daily Beast.

“Loud and tacky, shoving his way around the dance floor. He steps on others without realising it. It’s ineffectual.”...
:D
 
I think "proclaim end of US alliance" is going a bit far! I believe - but please correct me - that all this stuff is in legally binding treaties. I know it takes will to enforce those, and these things are important, but I don't think NATO has quite dissolved itself yet. (Is it just me or is the Indy getting increasingly click baity lately?)

It does seem very likely that Europe will allign more with itself, as it were, though, with a big Franco-German partnership at the centre of it. I even saw someone (sorry, can't remember who, but not some loon) tweeting about an "independent German nuclear deterrent" as a possible future outcome of this.

And where does the UK sit in all of this...?
 
Yeah a few people on here have observed the clickbairy nature of some Indy articles. They do however imo still publish some good ones. I posted the above not so much because of the 'end of alliance' stuff which incidentally the Graun is referring to but in not such strident terms but more because of the 'drunk tourist' claim which made me laugh.
 
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I think "proclaim end of US alliance" is going a bit far! I believe - but please correct me - that all this stuff is in legally binding treaties. I know it takes will to enforce those, and these things are important, but I don't think NATO has quite dissolved itself yet. (Is it just me or is the Indy getting increasingly click baity lately?)

It does seem very likely that Europe will allign more with itself, as it were, though, with a big Franco-German partnership at the centre of it. I even saw someone (sorry, can't remember who, but not some loon) tweeting about an "independent German nuclear deterrent" as a possible future outcome of this.

And where does the UK sit in all of this...?
Merkel did bracket the boldly Brexiting UK with the now Trumptastic US in that statement concerning reliability. One of those Swabian Hausfrau secondary virtues she is so keen on. She sees German votes in plugging European (i.e. Merkel-Macron) unity and pounding the likes of the AFD into the ground. I'd not read it as the end of the post-Yalta order. German-US investment ties alone mean both countries together remain in a lucrative relationship. All roads lead to Berlin. That's been obvious since German reunification.
 
He's such a fucking dick. Sorry, but I can't think of any other way of putting it. It may be personality over serious political analysis, but it's impossible to watch Trump in action or to listen to him speak and not think, that way Trump behaves, that's the way a person you would call a dick behaves.... the shoving of Montenegro's PM, his handshake games, his obvious discomfort around Merkel (because she's a woman?), his sulky crap... sheesh, it's endless.
 
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On The Hill Gun lobby seeks to calm fears about silencers
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Gun control groups, in turn, raise concerns about humanizing silencers by comparing them to regular sounds.

“I don’t think it matters, because lawn mowers aren’t responsible for the deaths of about 90 Americans each day,” said Erika Soto Lamb, spokesperson for Everytown for Gun Safety, the group run by former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg.

Silencers not only distort the sound of a gun shot, but they also mask the muzzle flash, making it difficult to spot a shooter, said Chipman.

“It could confuse you long enough for a shooter to hit you with a second round of gunfire,” he said.

Gun manufacturers enjoyed huge profits during President Obama’s time in office, as gun owners rushed to purchase firearms before the government crackdown that some feared would hit firearm sales.

With a gun-friendly President Trump now in office, this frenzy has declined and critics say the NRA is looking for other avenues to make money.

“The silencers are an accessory to make up for the loss of guns sales since President Obama left office,” Watts said.

“They’ve sold the Barbies, and now they need to sell the Barbie Dreamhouse, and the Barbie shoes, and the Barbie car,” she added. “That is essentially what suppressors are.”
The wacky politics of the US gun lobby.

It does all come down to selling more crap people don't need in the great American tradition.
 
On Open Source Lessons from Nixonland
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Both Trump and Nixon, for instance, refer to their stalwart base using the same title: the silent majority. Both presidents also share a certain adversarial view of the political press. Trump has called the media his opposition. Nixon made them his enemies. For the benefit of Henry Kissinger and others on his staff, Nixon—inadvertently taping himself—turned his sentiments into a sort of prose poem:

The press is the enemy
The press is the enemy
The press is the enemy
The establishment is the enemy
The professors are the enemy
The professors are the enemy
Write that on a blackboard 100 times
And never forget it….
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Interesting podcast this featuring amongst others Nixon aide Pat Buchanan.
 
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