UK gov England lockdown predictions!

[eatmorecheese]

90% is that she's pretty, like stunningly beautiful - the other 10% is that it would be a proper Danger Fuck: she'd probably turn into a dragon or something, or cut out my kidneys with a Stanley knife.

At least with her probably being a sociopath she's unlikely to develop some lifelong obsession with me - I mean there are other reasons she probably wouldn't develop a lifelong obsession with me, but for the sake of my ego I'll go with that one...

Ah... Degradation is your thing

 

[FridgeMagnet]

90% is that she's pretty, like stunningly beautiful - the other 10% is that it would be a proper Danger Fuck: she'd probably turn into a dragon or something, or cut out my kidneys with a Stanley knife.

At least with her probably being a sociopath she's unlikely to develop some lifelong obsession with me - I mean there are other reasons she probably wouldn't develop a lifelong obsession with me, but for the sake of my ego I'll go with that one...

Also, if it's the character I'm thinking of, she is very clever and also extremely competent. I think you've got into a weird internet fetish tangle here.

 

[Supine]

I need an ‘Absolutely no idea’ option

 

[Pickman's model]

I also imagine that any English lockdown will happen approx one week after it’s been announced for Scotland and approx one month after scientists were saying that we should lockdown

Ah the traditional way

 

[MickiQ]

From a purely physical viewpoint she (PP) is actually quite attractive, (but then Lucretia Borgia was supposed to be something of a hottie as well) but definitely ruthless and self-serving. Just because someone is pretty doesn't mean they're a nice person that's basically relationship rule number 1.
As for lockdown, I don't think there will be another one no matter how things get for the very simple reason that if there is, it's an admission that vaccination isn't good enough and if vaccinations aren't good enough then there is no other exit strategy and we will have to keep having restrictions every winter possibly forever. The public simply won't stand for it never mind the Govt.
There might be some short localised restrictions and international travel is going to be bolloxed for the next couple of years yet but national lockdowns I just can't see that at all.

 

[FridgeMagnet]

a weird internet fetish tangle

I'd just like to say that of course there is nothing wrong with that.

 

[Buddy Bradley]

I'm betting on mid-November. It will start to look inevitable by October, but they'll keep putting it off until it absolutely cannot be avoided. Plus I've got a weekend away booked in November, so it will probably be timed to fuck that up too.

 

[bimble]

Just because someone is pretty doesn't mean they're a nice person that's basically relationship rule number 1.

i don't think kebabking is remotely thinking about a Relationship, like the kind of thing where you want a 'nice person' cos you'd have to listen to each other's opinions and so on.

 

[Cloo]

I'm betting on mid-November. It will start to look inevitable by October, but they'll keep putting it off until it absolutely cannot be avoided. Plus I've got a weekend away booked in November, so it will probably be timed to fuck that up too.

Yeah, my birthday's mid-November. Things were relatively open for husband's birthday mid-October last year but it all went tits-up for my birthday. I had a surprisingly good Zoom get together for that and a motherfucker of a hangover (and I almost never get hangovers)

 

[Elpenor]

Lockdown 1.5 basically began on my birthday last year. It was one of the things that prompted me to no longer celebrate it in November when the weather is always vile.

 

[xenon]

I will be fucking furious if they close the pubs in the New Year.

 

[The39thStep]

90% is that she's pretty, like stunningly beautiful - the other 10% is that it would be a proper Danger Fuck: she'd probably turn into a dragon or something, or cut out my kidneys with a Stanley knife.

At least with her probably being a sociopath she's unlikely to develop some lifelong obsession with me - I mean there are other reasons she probably wouldn't develop a lifelong obsession with me, but for the sake of my ego I'll go with that one...

I once had a weird dream that she was in . I was round her gaff for some reason and as the night went on she kept shrinking to the point where she couldn’t get up the stairs .

 

[Yossarian]

I once had a weird dream that she was in . I was round her gaff for some reason and as the night went on she kept shrinking to the point where she couldn’t get up the stairs .

And did this powerful woman rendered helpless then require your "assistance"?

 

[xenon]

I once had a weird dream that she was in . I was round her gaff for some reason and as the night went on she kept shrinking to the point where she couldn’t get up the stairs .

you need a better psychotherapist.
Actually there is something about the evilness of her. But only now the questionn has come up. I’ve not really thought about it... serious.

 

[elbows]

Oh crap, I’ve just ignored the numbers for a while. Had no idea we are doing so badly again that another lockdown is likely .

Current rates in England arent bad enough on their own to imply another lockdown looms, in great part because although the number of daily positives are atrocious, the hospital admissions have fluctuated around levels that are below 1000 per day so far. If those start to climb in a sustained way, the mood will soon change.

Rather, to form that impression of impending lockdown requires us to combine the high current rates of infection with expectations about the numbers exploding from that high starting point via seasonal/back to school/whats happening already in Scotland thoughts.

I dont know if thats what will actually happen. So I'm resisting making a prediction in the poll at the moment, although in as little as a week or two I might find predictions slightly easier.

Another possibility that would make predictions even harder is if we dont see an explosion, but rather slow grinding sustained pressure on the NHS. In some ways that would be similar to what happened this time last year, a situation which allowed the government to avoid the tough decisions for several months.

Happier outcomes are also not completely possible to imagine this time. But then so are worse ones if we get another variant that can further negate the positive effects of mass vaccination.

 

[Thora]

They won't increase restrictions/lockdown again unless hospitals literally start collapsing.

 

[elbows]

They won't increase restrictions/lockdown again unless hospitals literally start collapsing.

I'm filing that sort of view in the same place I filed some peoples thoughts that there was no way Johnson would delay 'freedom day'.

Unsustainable hospital pressure has an impact not just on those services and public health, but also has large political ramifications and economic considerations that are just as dramatic as lockdowns are. So although I would support claims that the government will be very reluctant to 'go backwards', it would be unusual for me to rule it out. Never say never in this pandemic.

 

[The39thStep]

And did this powerful woman rendered helpless then require your "assistance"?

View attachment 286138

Only in getting up the stairs , as I remember I helped myself to a few drinks from the kitchen and some canapés , had a brief chat with that Lena Headay from Games of Thrones but nothing was doing as her brother kept interrupting so I called a cab . By that time Priti Patel had turned into a crab like creature .

 

[_Russ_]

Im shocked, she looks proper minging to me, I mean her face is alright on the rare occasions she actually smiles, but ffs she is overweight with a completely un-feminin figure
You lot are weird

Oh and I go for no lockdown but maybe some half arsed restrictions in the run up to Xmas

P.S Apologise for the Speeling

 

[elbows]

Fuck this casual misogyny, I'm suspending my pandemic commentary here.

 

[Elpenor]

Ah the traditional way

It’s worked well so far

 

[SpookyFrank]

I just can't bear the thought that we could somehow be right back where we were 12 months ago, even though it's a clear possibility

E2a: And the people dragging out the weird b-plot on this thread, stop it ffs.

 

[wemakeyousoundb]

I'll go with
"a few days/weeks after never" if never was the sensible public health approach

 

[glitch hiker]

They won't increase restrictions/lockdown again unless hospitals literally start collapsing.

The situation can only get worse over the coming months given the time of year. I read today that hospitals are already seeing winter levels of activity due to a variety of covid and indirect-covid issues. I'm not certain they will lock down again, hopefully the vaccine will prove the circuit breaker, but it's not impossible given how they have allowed everyone to believe we are back to normal when we aren't.

 

[May Kasahara]

I don't think they'll bother, and even if they do, large scale public indifference/ fatigue/ confusion/ loonspudding refusal will make any measures completely ineffective.

 

[Cloo]

Also, I suppose, they will be keen to go 'Look, we're the first country to open up and "live with the virus"' (although that's actually probably Israel who have done it, I presume, with a much lower death rate)

 

[Monkeygrinder's Organ]

I think they'll be extremely reluctant to lockdown and if they do the trigger will be lots of bad press and possibly polling rather than collapsing hospitals (which might of course trigger the press but won't be the actual cause). I think if you want to get a handle on what they might do then anything that can be spun as 'not actually a lockdown really' will probably be a good indicator.

 

[Badgers]

I think they'll be extremely reluctant to lockdown and if they do the trigger will be lots of bad press and possibly polling rather than collapsing hospitals (which might of course trigger the press but won't be the actual cause). I think if you want to get a handle on what they might do then anything that can be spun as 'not actually a lockdown really' will probably be a good indicator.

This ^

They would rather people die and hospitals fail than admit they are wrong.

 

[StoneRoad]

IF, and that's a big IF, we actually had a sensible government, that actually listened to and acted on the scientific / medical / epidemiological advice we would not be having the need for this thread.

However, we don't.

So, I expect his hatstackness to faff around until the NHS is nearly or actually broken before half-heartedly imposing a few weak measures. Then, as the situation almost reaches meltdown, slapping the country with realistic lockdown measures.

Alternatively, doing that lockdown earlier rather than later, with greater force for a shorter "fire-break" period, that actually works at controlling infections that are breaking through the protection from vaccines.

I predict this is more likely to happen if the current stupidity results in a mututation that is better at evading the vaccine & is even more transmissible.

 

[elbows]

Wasnt easy for me to suspend my pandemic commentary for very long, due to the current state of things.

Here are some clues from Scotland:

Coronavirus case levels in Scotland are 80% higher now than last week and five times higher than four weeks ago, First Minister Nicola Sturgeon says.

She says in her Covid briefing test positivity has increased from 5% at start of August to 11.5% today. She says: "If we are to avoid any imposition of restrictions, even in a limited way, we must all play a part to slow down transmission."

Sturgeon urges people to follow restrictions and says if they do she is hopeful Scotland will turn a corner.

"The next few days will be crucial in our assessment," she says. "What is inescapably the case is that we must turn that corner and see the sharp increase in cases level off and then come down."

Thats from the 15:08 entry of BBC live updates page at https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/uk-58406184