elbows
Well-Known Member
It's unfathomable to me what they think they're doing, then!
Probably playing the same games with rhetoric and timing and bringing measures in in a bunch of stages that the Netherlands, the UK and the USA have done to varying degrees. There has not been zero mitigation up till this point, and they too seem to be approaching the moment where more measures will happen.
Take a look at this for a better idea of the moment Sweden is really at right now:
The agency says that Sweden's 'day zero' -- the moment that the curve mapping the number of seriously ill people starts to rapidly incline -- has not yet arrived.
That's on a national scale.
Stockholm may be nearer to its "day zero" than other parts of the country, or it may have arrived. The Swedish capital, the country's worst-hit region, on Wednesday evening reported that 18 coronavirus patients had died within 24 hours, almost doubling the total deaths in the region.
State epidemiologist Anders Tegnell told the TT newswire on Thursday that it was "not impossible" that Stockholm had now reached 'day zero'. "But we need a few days in order to know that," he said.
Asked why Stockholm's regional healthcare director had described the coronavirus situation in the capital as a "storm" just hours after Tegnell said the national situation was "relatively stable", the state epidemiologist said: "There is no discrepancy. Things can happen in four hours."
The curves show, for example, that the region of Skåne, in a worst case scenario, might need at least 500 isolated beds and around 200 intensive care units when the need for medical assistance is at its highest point.
This peak is expected to arrive around 80 days after 'day zero'.
A region like Dalarna in the central part of the country is expected to need 110 isolated care units and around 40 intensive care units after 64 days.
And Stockholm, which today reported a sharp rise in deaths and infections, is forecast to require around 900 isolated beds and at least 250 intensive care beds 87 days after day zero.
He added that it should be possible to delay 'day zero' by following the recommendations advised by the agency: reducing social contacts, staying at home when showing any signs of symptoms, and most importantly by ensuring that the at-risk elderly members of the population aren't affected.
People in Sweden have been asked to avoid non-essential visits to elderly relatives, and those in risk groups including the over-70 age group have been urged to self-isolate, avoiding all social contacts including shopping.