chilango
Hypothetical Wanker
Playing with the electoral calculus sees Rochdale being 2nd or 3rd to turn Reform as you crank their numbers up. But whither Galloway?
Political polling
- Thread starter brogdale
- Start date
moochedit
I'm not feeding seagulls
Didn't watch it myself so can't comment but this you gov poll says 51% thought sunak "won" the itv debate with starmer.
belboid
Exasperated, not angry.
the breakdown on the other questions was interesting. Other than on immigration - where Sunak won 45-42 or something - and 'most Prime Ministerial' - 43-40 - , Starmer won, often hands down, on everything else. NHS, education, climate change, cost of living, Starmer won by miles.Didn't watch it myself so can't comment but this you gov poll says 51% thought sunak "won" the itv debate with starmer.
Except for tax, Sunak 53-32. So I guess that's what we'll mostly be hearing about for the next four weeks.
Wilf
Slouching towards Billingham
To be fair, I'm increasingly mixing Farage and Galloway up myself.
ska invita
back on the other side
Pretty incredible and yes fucked up
Elpenor
Dancing as fast as I can
Same % for Labour as Corbyn got in 2017
Dogsauce
I’ve got Skol but I’m not a Scholar
And 1 in 6 people thinking Reform are worth a punt, and this is probably from before Farage’s stunt of announcing he was running. What the fuck is wrong with people, where are they getting their information from? They can’t all be watching GB news because they only have about six viewers.
Puddy_Tat
naturally fluffy
the daily mail and express
people who post bollocks on farcebook
some bloke down the pub
ska invita
back on the other side
you dont need "information" to come to think "fuck the tories fuck labour make britain great again" <that in itself is sound reasoning. it goes downhill after that
Nine Bob Note
Self-Isolating before it was fashionable
Will be quite funny seeing Ed Davey's crew on the front benches, with the shadow home and foreign secretaries being retired geography teachers elected to parliament only days earlier 
cupid_stunt
Chief seagull hater & farmerbarleymow's nemesis.
Nope, it was a special poll carried out after Farage announced he was taking over the leadership, and standing himself.
tim
EXPLODED TIM! (Help me!!!)
Tortoise to Starmer's hare.
cupid_stunt
Chief seagull hater & farmerbarleymow's nemesis.
So, that's two polls now showing the Tories on 19% and Reform on 17%, I mean it's funny, but also a bit scary.
Silas Loom
Hated by both sides
Not looking forward to the 2029 elections one little bit.
The39thStep
Urban critical thinker
By age
Zapp Brannigan
Built like a steakhouse, handles like a bistro
It's hilarious now, with the Tories eating themselves out of existence while Reform will get at best enough MPs to comfortably car-share to Westminster.
We won't be laughing in 5 years when a Farage-led Reform party including some of the absolute headbangers from the Tories are a very real concern.
Silas Loom
Hated by both sides
All that pensioner-fluffing the Tories did, and it’s still the demographic they are losing to Reform.
ska invita
back on the other side
on the plus side knowing the demographics of britain i cant imagine the split getting much bigger than that - lots of classic tory voters will never vote reform - will be pulling the rightwing vote apart down the middle for a long time...not a problem easily resolved for the tories
The39thStep
Urban critical thinker
I'm still fond of the days when some Urban posters called for the vote to be taken away from the over 65s tbh.
Silas Loom
Hated by both sides
Seems reasonable. Or at least, get one vote at 13, a second vote at 18, lose the second vote at 67.
belboid
Exasperated, not angry.
too many of us are nearing said age now though
cupid_stunt
Chief seagull hater & farmerbarleymow's nemesis.
In the spirit of the banned/departed Marty1, it's not looking good for Labour. 
belboid
Exasperated, not angry.
why? Even if Reform and the Tories become one party, by whatever means, such a right wing programme will appeal to less than 35% of the electorate. That shit gets a fair bit of support, but not enough to actually win an election. Given the age of their supporters it is likely to be even less than that. Odds on they won't become anything like one party too. Who knows what the tories will look like after the election, they are going to get so few seats it's almost impossible to guess who will take over next. They will still be completely fucked at the next election.
cupid_stunt
Chief seagull hater & farmerbarleymow's nemesis.
Suravtion still has a bigger gap between the Tories and Reform.
MickiQ
In My Defence I was left Unsupervised
Different sides of the same tarnished coin
Silas Loom
Hated by both sides
Everything will be worse in five years, though. Geopolitically, environmentally, demographically. Voters will be even grumpier.
Zapp Brannigan
Built like a steakhouse, handles like a bistro
Interesting that the first few "post-Farage" polls have got Reform up by a good few (as expected), but seemingly more at the expense of Labour than the Tories.
The conservatives just seem stuck at 19-23ish. We're down to the 'would vote for a badly trained gibbon with a blue rosette' rump; even they are struggling to go lower, and they sure as hell aren't picking any up.
The conservatives just seem stuck at 19-23ish. We're down to the 'would vote for a badly trained gibbon with a blue rosette' rump; even they are struggling to go lower, and they sure as hell aren't picking any up.
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