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Political polling

I know it doesn't work like that but the raw figures suggest choosing loon Badenoch has brought a swing from former Lib Dems.
 
Isn't it normal for new leaders to get a "bounce" in the polls? Doesn't mean it'll last. Labour were ahead most of the time between the 2010 and 2015 elections.
 
This generalised "sentiment" MiC polling from last week suggests that, post-budget, slightly fewer respondents are pessimistic and slight more are optimistic. Though, overall, pessimism outweighs optimism by roughly 5 to 1.

1731921993497.png
 
Yesterday's MiC numbers have already been posted up in the Starmer thread, but here they are again with the Techne ones as well. MoE territory in both, but the general parity between the 'big two' is apparent:

1732273268601.png
 
brogdale said:
A rare bit of polling here from YG on favourability towards ideologies. Looks like we anarchists and the anarchist-curious need to improve our PR! :D Although, that said, 8% looks pretty good in some senses; certainly a good base to build on?

View attachment 454547
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Do you like anarchism? No.
How about feminism? Oh, that's great!
How about anarcha-feminism? Hmmm
 
People don't know nuffink about anarchism. That's the trouble. I gave a talk on anarchism in Tavistock a few years back, and I was asked whether Hitler and Stalin were anarchists. But if you ask people about the tenets of anarchism, without prefacing them with the dreaded 'anarcho' prefix, people agree with an awful lot, if not most, if not all.
 
Kevbad the Bad said:
People don't know nuffink about anarchism. That's the trouble. I gave a talk on anarchism in Tavistock a few years back, and I was asked whether Hitler and Stalin were anarchists. But if you ask people about the tenets of anarchism, without prefacing them with the dreaded 'anarcho' prefix, people agree with an awful lot, if not most, if not all.
Click to expand...
Totally
Until you get to abolish the state and replace with communes bit, then it all falls down again
 
Projected seats following latest Times MRP mega-poll (sample size 11k)

E2a: that SNP number in the projected seat count should say 37, not 6

The overall seat totals for the parties if an election was held now, according to the poll:

  • Labour: 228 seats – down from 412
  • Conservatives: 222 seats – up from 121
  • Reform UK: 72 seats – up from 5
  • Liberal Democrats: 58 seats – down from 72
  • Scottish National Party: 37 seats – up from 9
  • Independent: 8 seats – up from 6
  • Plaid Cymru: 4 seats – remain from 4
  • Green Party: 2 seats – down from 4
To hold a majority in the House of Commons, a political party needs at least 326 seats out of the possible 650.
 

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This poll’s obvious issue for the vermin is that they only pick up around half of the seats lost in the LP collapse. Given this dynamic, with the LDs holding their ground to the left, and the refUKers out-righting them, they have little chance of power.
 
Some mid December leader favourability polling came out today from YouGov:

1735831914001.png

Obviously the billionaire media will focus on Starmer's rapid descent into large net negative favourability, but there's some troubling stats for Badenoch as well. On note are the 33% (24% tory voters!) of respondents who didn't feel bale to offer an opinion about her either way and that 45%/47% Farage split amongst Tory voters stands out. He's 'marmite' but only 10% behind their favourability of their own party's leader!
 
brogdale said:
Some mid December leader favourability polling came out today from YouGov:

View attachment 457694

Obviously the billionaire media will focus on Starmer's rapid descent into large net negative favourability, but there's some troubling stats for Badenoch as well. On note are the 33% (24% tory voters!) of respondents who didn't feel bale to offer an opinion about her either way and that 45%/47% Farage split amongst Tory voters stands out. He's 'marmite' but only 10% behind their favourability of their own party's leader!
Click to expand...
"Don't know" from your own party supporters is "don't like them but don't want to say so".
 
To be fair, I'm not surprised, given the utter futility of a range of options that offer zero hope beyond more of the same old shit.

Add to that the political de-education of our class over decades, which now doesn't even have minimal trade union consciousness these days, then the fact that the majority of young 'uns are not Tory/populist/fascist gives at least some hope... though not a lot.

ETA positive things like the BLM movement now seem a distant memory.
 
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