Political polling

[brogdale]

I think that this is the first pollster to produce evidence of cross-over; so soon.

Crossover also reported by MiC:

 

[JimW]

I know it doesn't work like that but the raw figures suggest choosing loon Badenoch has brought a swing from former Lib Dems.

 

[moochedit]

Isn't it normal for new leaders to get a "bounce" in the polls? Doesn't mean it'll last. Labour were ahead most of the time between the 2010 and 2015 elections.

 

[ID47]

Crossover also reported by MiC:

View attachment 450706

Is that the fastest fall post election ever?

 

[brogdale]

Techne not quite at crossover, but getting close....

Election Maps UK (@electionmaps.uk)

Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 28% (-1) CON: 27% (+2) RFM: 17% (-1) LDM: 13% (=) GRN: 7% (=) SNP: 2% (=) Via Techne UK, 13-14 Nov. Changes w/ 6-7 Nov.

bsky.app

 

[brogdale]

This generalised "sentiment" MiC polling from last week suggests that, post-budget, slightly fewer respondents are pessimistic and slight more are optimistic. Though, overall, pessimism outweighs optimism by roughly 5 to 1.

 

[Wilf]

'Things are staying about the same' seems a quite accurate sentiment for the Rishi to Kieth transition.

 

[brogdale]

Yesterday's MiC numbers have already been posted up in the Starmer thread, but here they are again with the Techne ones as well. MoE territory in both, but the general parity between the 'big two' is apparent:

 

[brogdale]

Oooof!

nb. Wales only...

 

[brogdale]

Oooof!

nb. Wales only...

View attachment 453184

With (less dramatic) swings since last comparable poll:

 

[brogdale]

refUKers clipping any Badenoch "bounce"?

 

[brogdale]

A rare bit of polling here from YG on favourability towards ideologies. Looks like we anarchists and the anarchist-curious need to improve our PR! Although, that said, 8% looks pretty good in some senses; certainly a good base to build on?

 

[brogdale]

Cuntery index steady at 47%

 

[maomao]

View attachment 454829

Cuntery index steady at 47%

I make it 92

 

[kabbes]

I make it 92

Being a bit generous towards the missing SNP voters, there.

 

[Wilf]

A rare bit of polling here from YG on favourability towards ideologies. Looks like we anarchists and the anarchist-curious need to improve our PR! Although, that said, 8% looks pretty good in some senses; certainly a good base to build on?

View attachment 454547

Do you like anarchism? No.
How about feminism? Oh, that's great!
How about anarcha-feminism? Hmmm

 

[Kevbad the Bad]

People don't know nuffink about anarchism. That's the trouble. I gave a talk on anarchism in Tavistock a few years back, and I was asked whether Hitler and Stalin were anarchists. But if you ask people about the tenets of anarchism, without prefacing them with the dreaded 'anarcho' prefix, people agree with an awful lot, if not most, if not all.

 

[ska invita]

People don't know nuffink about anarchism. That's the trouble. I gave a talk on anarchism in Tavistock a few years back, and I was asked whether Hitler and Stalin were anarchists. But if you ask people about the tenets of anarchism, without prefacing them with the dreaded 'anarcho' prefix, people agree with an awful lot, if not most, if not all.

Totally
Until you get to abolish the state and replace with communes bit, then it all falls down again

 

[Wilf]

And what about the eco-fascists, eh, eh?