Political polling

[brogdale]

I think that this is the first pollster to produce evidence of cross-over; so soon.

Crossover also reported by MiC:

 

[JimW]

I know it doesn't work like that but the raw figures suggest choosing loon Badenoch has brought a swing from former Lib Dems.

 

[moochedit]

Isn't it normal for new leaders to get a "bounce" in the polls? Doesn't mean it'll last. Labour were ahead most of the time between the 2010 and 2015 elections.

 

[ID47]

Crossover also reported by MiC:

View attachment 450706

Is that the fastest fall post election ever?

 

[brogdale]

Techne not quite at crossover, but getting close....

Election Maps UK (@electionmaps.uk)

Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 28% (-1) CON: 27% (+2) RFM: 17% (-1) LDM: 13% (=) GRN: 7% (=) SNP: 2% (=) Via Techne UK, 13-14 Nov. Changes w/ 6-7 Nov.

bsky.app

 

[brogdale]

This generalised "sentiment" MiC polling from last week suggests that, post-budget, slightly fewer respondents are pessimistic and slight more are optimistic. Though, overall, pessimism outweighs optimism by roughly 5 to 1.

 

[Wilf]

'Things are staying about the same' seems a quite accurate sentiment for the Rishi to Kieth transition.

 

[brogdale]

Yesterday's MiC numbers have already been posted up in the Starmer thread, but here they are again with the Techne ones as well. MoE territory in both, but the general parity between the 'big two' is apparent: