Political polling

[Guineveretoo]

I was polled by yougov yesterday. Usual crap questions.

Who did i think would make a better prime minister - Johnson or Corbyn?

Then, the 3 most important issues in the UK atm, one of which was “Britain leaving the EU” - no option to say whether I thought it was important because I wanted to stop it or continue it. Then the usual questions about who I voted for before and who I will vote for next.

Not seen it reported yet.

 

[WouldBe]

in that case, this latest U75 poll should be on here, as it's been conducted with the same amount of rigour

Con - 1.5
Lab - 59.1
LD - 1.5
Green - 6.6
Spunking Cock - 24.8

Fieldwork 5-17 September

I've not seen that poll. How many people voted in it?

 

[TheHoodedClaw]

I was polled by yougov yesterday. Usual crap questions.

I got a yougov poll a couple of days ago that asked what constituency I was in. The last time I got one of those was just before the last GE, and that turned out to be the very accurate one they eventually shat themselves about. So someone's paid for a very large sample I guess.

 

[Guineveretoo]

I got a yougov poll a couple of days ago that asked what constituency I was in. The last time I got one of those was just before the last GE, and that turned out to be the very accurate one they eventually shat themselves about. So someone's paid for a very large sample I guess.

The one I did didn’t ask about which constituency I was in. Slightly strangely

 

[Wilf]

I've not seen that poll. How many people voted in it?

A statistically valid cross section of the UK electorate the usual weirdos.

 

[WouldBe]

Found the AOL link again not sure if it will work though. Now has cons on 51%
https://www.aol.co.uk/news/2019/10/13/johnson-under-pressure-from-brussels-as-brexit-deadline-looms/
Scroll to bottom.

 

[killer b]

Now has cons on 51%

so what.

 

[Teaboy]

Found the AOL link again not sure if it will work though. Now has cons on 51%
https://www.aol.co.uk/news/2019/10/13/johnson-under-pressure-from-brussels-as-brexit-deadline-looms/
Scroll to bottom.

Seriously? You got ridiculed last time you posted this aol shite and now you've just repeated it. Astonished smillie face indeed.

 

[cupid_stunt]

Seriously? You got ridiculed last time you posted this aol shite and now you've just repeated it. Astonished smillie face indeed.

 

[WouldBe]

Seriously? You got ridiculed last time you posted this aol shite and now you've just repeated it. Astonished smillie face indeed.

I was asked to post it so you could have a laugh about it so I have you muppet. FFS

 

[kabbes]

It certainly tells you something about the demographic makeup of AOL users.

 

[WouldBe]

so what.

Can't you see the in my post.

 

[Proper Tidy]

The what

 

[brogdale]

I was asked to post it so you could have a laugh about it so I have you muppet. FFS

Yeah, but probably best in here to stick to polling based on a published methodology tbh; self-selecting ones are so obviously prone to be so completely unrepresentative.

 

[brogdale]

Wales, Wales, Wales...*shakes head*

 

[WouldBe]

It certainly tells you something about the demographic makeup of AOL users.

Doesn't it just. Let's hope it's not reflective of society as a whole.

 

[Supine]

Doesn't it just. Let's hope it's not reflective of society as a whole.

I think it's safe to say it isn't

 

[brogdale]

Don't know methodology, but the sample's yuge...



For TV programme, I think?

 

[Teaboy]

Don't know methodology, but the sample's yuge...

View attachment 187252

For TV programme, I think?

Which kind of flies in the face of this article:

Have UK voters changed their minds on Brexit?

As normal, its all a mess.

 

[brogdale]

Which kind of flies in the face of this article:

Have UK voters changed their minds on Brexit?

As normal, its all a mess.

Looks like different questions eliciting different responses, tbh.
If the ComRes/Vine question was about honouring the 2016 outcome, that would yield a different to response to preferred outcomes.

 

[killer b]

Yeah, it's a different question.

 

[Pickman's model]

Wales, Wales, Wales...*wails*

View attachment 187153

c4u

 

[cupid_stunt]

Don't know methodology, but the sample's yuge...

View attachment 187252

For TV programme, I think?

It's for a special live Brexit debate tonight on Channel 5.

Channel 5 has commissioned ITN Productions to produce a live Brexit debate, hosted by Jeremy Vine ahead of a make-or-break European Council Brexit summit (in Brussels on Oct 17th).

Live Brexit Referendum: Do We Want No Deal? is a 90-minute programme which will take place on Wednesday, October 16th at 9pm.
---
Central to the programme is the biggest ever Brexit opinion poll since the EU Referendum - conducted by ComRes - with more than 26,000 people across the UK asked for their views on how, when or if we should leave the EU.

Channel 5 to broadcast live Brexit debate

 

[killer b]

There is an issue with just adding together the two leave options to get a majority for leave, as not all the people who chose leave with a deal as their first choice would necessarily choose leave without a deal as their second (and also vice versa I guess).

 

[Fez909]

 

[Fez909]

While the above is interesting, there's the small fact that Labour doesn't have a candidate and it was a 'named candidate prompt' survey:


I still can't see Labour winning there, but those figures above will probably not be accurate.

 

[Proper Tidy]

Only LibDems can win here! (polling conducted on behalf of the libdems)

 

[killer b]

I'm sure those numbers are reasonably representative of what people in F&GG think right now, but it offers the intriguing prospect that if Labour get a decent candidate in and run a good campaign, that Berger might take enough tory votes to let Labour in.

 

[brogdale]

Only LibDems can win here! (polling conducted on behalf of the libdems)

Beware the 'named candidate' polling methodology; who's heard of Mike Freer, Julie Pelter or Nathan Wade? Let alone the, as yet unselected (?) LP candidate?
Not how most folk choose where to put the X in the polling station.

 

[Supine]