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Is Brexit actually going to happen?

Will we have a brexit?


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That’s a nice idea. But it doesn’t suite all the financial backers of Brexit who’ve shorted sterling and are waiting to buy up the businesses which are going to fail like vultures waiting for a dying water buffalo to expire (damn...).

Conversely, imagine the gains to be made from a big and unexpected boost to GBP as a result of, for example, a surprise revocation of article 50 :hmm:
 
i wonder if any of the people surrrounding BJ and telling him with their most Eton voices "good show old chap, you stick it to Jerry, there'll soon forget about this backstop!" are laughing behind his back in full knowledge that BJ is heading towards a brick wall, on the other side of which is a cliff
 
i wonder if any of the people surrrounding BJ and telling him with their most Eton voices "good show old chap, you stick it to Jerry, there'll soon forget about this backstop!" are laughing behind his back in full knowledge that BJ is heading towards a brick wall, on the other side of which is a cliff

I think many of them share his delusion that he can just stamp his feet and get what he wants. That is after all how these people got everything in their lives up to this point.
 
This was superb car crash TV. Bar the backstop Bridgen was unable to offer up any other coherent objections to May’s deal other than some faint racism and empty platitudes about directions for neo-liberalism.

Those who argue the debate about leave is dominated by the right, that there is no space for left ideas and that they wouldn’t get a hearing should reflect on the intellectual paucity of the Tory leavers.

The Leave Fight Transform campaign is a welcome initiative following Labour’s acceptance of the inevitability of neo-liberalism EU style and offers a place for the type of ideas necessary in the coming debate

 
Those who argue the debate about leave is dominated by the right, that there is no space for left ideas and that they wouldn’t get a hearing should reflect on the intellectual paucity of the Tory leavers.

It's not just that the debate about leave is dominated by the right. The right is in power and shaping exactly how brexit will look and what will be done in its name. Regardless of the paucity of their intellect, the Tory leavers are in power right now. Personally, the idea of Johnson calling and winning an election this year leaves me feeling something not far short of despair. It also leaves me wondering at what point in this shitshow people who supported leave from the left might start admitting that they made an error in judgement. How bad to things have to get first?
 
It's not just that the debate about leave is dominated by the right. The right is in power and shaping exactly how brexit will look and what will be done in its name. Regardless of the paucity of their intellect, the Tory leavers are in power right now. Personally, the idea of Johnson calling and winning an election this year leaves me feeling something not far short of despair. It also leaves me wondering at what point in this shitshow people who supported leave from the left might start admitting that they made an error in judgement. How bad to things have to get first?
the point one lexiteer made to me well before the referendum was that the only way to get things to change was to vote to leave. that doesn't mean it will be pretty, this change. but the game's not played out and so until we see what form that change takes, and how reactions to that change shape what finally happens, it's a bit early to ask people who supported leave from the left to say they were wrong. i think a lot of lexiteers are playing a longer game than you are.
 
It's not just that the debate about leave is dominated by the right. The right is in power and shaping exactly how brexit will look and what will be done in its name. Regardless of the paucity of their intellect, the Tory leavers are in power right now. Personally, the idea of Johnson calling and winning an election this year leaves me feeling something not far short of despair. It also leaves me wondering at what point in this shitshow people who supported leave from the left might start admitting that they made an error in judgement. How bad to things have to get first?

There is going to be an election in two months. The idea the 'right' is monolithically in power and in control as you suggest, or that it is shaping anything at the moment, is risible to be blunt. It is split and possibly out of government within weeks.

At the election there will be two choices:

1. Labour's position is likely to be 'remain and reform'. In reality, remain and accept EU neo-liberal economics.
2. The Tories position is likely to be leave and turn Britain into a vassal state of the USA.

A massive space now exists for an alternative analysis and set of ideas, counterposed to the disaster of options 1 and 2. Both are utterly piss poor and devoid of hope. LeFT aims to offer something better and something to mobilise around whoever wins.
 
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There is going to be an election in two months. The idea the 'right' is monolithically in power as you suggest and is shaping anything at the moment is risible to be blunt. At that election there will be two choices:

1. Labour's position is likely to be 'remain and reform'. In reality, remain and accept EU neo-liberal economics.
2. The Tories position is likely to be leave and turn Britain into a vassal state of the USA.

A massive space now exists for an alternative analysis and set of ideas, counterposed to the disaster of options 1 and 2. Both are utterly piss poor and devoid of hope. LeFT aims to offer something better and something to mobilise around whoever wins.
Agreed, but when the election is called, those 2 structural positions will be presented to the electorate by more than 2 parties. If Johnson were to enter any form of agreement with the supra-state, (anything short of full-blown No-Dealism), the Brexit Party will clearly run with the betrayal line. And the LDs will certainly be running with the purist remain/Brejoin line. So I'm not sure that the electoral space will be so open as you speculate.
 
Agreed, but when the election is called, those 2 structural positions will be presented to the electorate by more than 2 parties. If Johnson were to enter any form of agreement with the supra-state, (anything short of full-blown No-Dealism), the Brexit Party will clearly run with the betrayal line. And the LDs will certainly be running with the purist remain/Brejoin line. So I'm not sure that the electoral space will be so open as you speculate.
tbh i don't think the election's the thing people should be concentrating on, should we depart the eu as anticipated, as it is the aftermath to that that will indicate how things may proceed. i think that the more important thing isn't electoral politics but how people respond to the er challenges which will be posed following a no deal brexit - what happens next year and in the several years afterwards. and if the government retreats from its current intransigent position, how that's responded to by people. it's not going to be all about electoral politics in the future, i think social movements and extra-parliamentary expressions of politics are going to be far more important for the left.
 
Agreed, but when the election is called, those 2 structural positions will be presented to the electorate by more than 2 parties. If Johnson were to enter any form of agreement with the supra-state, (anything short of full-blown No-Dealism), the Brexit Party will clearly run with the betrayal line. And the LDs will certainly be running with the purist remain/Brejoin line. So I'm not sure that the electoral space will be so open as you speculate.

It's not about electoral space. At this point, it's about analysis and ideas. It is about agglomerating support for them.
 
Conversely, imagine the gains to be made from a big and unexpected boost to GBP as a result of, for example, a surprise revocation of article 50 :hmm:
And monkeys might fly out of my butt. The no deal is going to turn the country (or whatever remains of it) into an Ayn Randian lovers wet dream. A completely deregulated super low tax version of Singapore in Europe. And I've got twenty quid on it.
 
It's not about electoral space. At this point, it's about analysis and ideas. It is about agglomerating support for them.
Yes, but you were specifically referring to the choices that will be presented to the electorate at the next GE; although you're right to suggest that the choice is essentially 'how do you want your neoliberalism", that's not how it will appear to the voter faced with at least 4 responses to Brexit.
 
Yes, but you were specifically referring to the choices that will be presented to the electorate at the next GE; although you're right to suggest that the choice is essentially 'how do you want your neoliberalism", that's not how it will appear to the voter faced with at least 4 responses to Brexit.

I was referring to it in reply to a poster. The GE is merely the end of the beginning.
 
Easy to imagine fighting on beaches.
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If Theresa May compromised with the parliament, UK could have left the EU while retaining good relations for trade and industry. Theresa May’s loyalty to the conservative party did not allow that to happen. Boris Johnson is heading for a catastrophic withdrawal from the EU with calamitous consequences for UK, and EU. However, whether that will actually happen remains to be seen until the intervention of the parliament. Boris Johnson’s contrivance tantamount to an Anglo-European economic debacle compounded by a sour no-win trade relation with the US. It has not happened yet, I do not know what might actually happen.
 
Leave does not mean stay joined as far as I can tell.
Brexiters and lexiters and any other leave voter from any part of the political spectrum voted for a hard border in Ireland.
If Boris Johnson does not establish that hard border he will not deliver brexit on the 31st October or at any other time.
We nearly had BINO, and doublethink Boris Johnson will try to persuade people he has succeeded by establishing LINO.
 
A massive space now exists for an alternative analysis and set of ideas, counterposed to the disaster of options 1 and 2. Both are utterly piss poor and devoid of hope. LeFT aims to offer something better and something to mobilise around whoever wins.

We've been hearing about things like spaces existing for alternative analyses and things to mobilise around for some time now, including during the past year or so with parliament pretty much in chaos, and yet nothing's actually happened, so why should anyone expect this to change?

The various 'centrist' parties and groups that continually pop up and wither are frequently mocked, but the performance of any kind of 'lexit' orientated movement is even more hopeless still.
 
This was superb car crash TV. Bar the backstop Bridgen was unable to offer up any other coherent objections to May’s deal other than some faint racism and empty platitudes about directions for neo-liberalism.

Those who argue the debate about leave is dominated by the right, that there is no space for left ideas and that they wouldn’t get a hearing should reflect on the intellectual paucity of the Tory leavers.

The Leave Fight Transform campaign is a welcome initiative following Labour’s acceptance of the inevitability of neo-liberalism EU style and offers a place for the type of ideas necessary in the coming debate


He says EU citizens shoudln't have more rights than UK citizens, which implies that, under the EU, citizens are afforded more rights than the Tories would like. Well done you tory twat
 
the point one lexiteer made to me well before the referendum was that the only way to get things to change was to vote to leave. that doesn't mean it will be pretty, this change. but the game's not played out and so until we see what form that change takes, and how reactions to that change shape what finally happens, it's a bit early to ask people who supported leave from the left to say they were wrong. i think a lot of lexiteers are playing a longer game than you are.

If they are playing a long game it’s not one with any apparent strategy.
 
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