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Is Brexit actually going to happen?

Will we have a brexit?


  • Total voters
    362
Did you read the ballot paper? Terms were not offered. It was simple yes or no, 50%+1 would win. End of. And no amount of bleating or baguette waiving will change that. However much of a disaster the tory fuckwits make of it.

You're the one who wants to waive the baguettes, I'm suggesting that they need to be enforced.
 
Indeed. In some fairy godmother free wishes, Cher related scenario, May, Corbyn and plenty of others would wish they could turn back time to a more innocent era where the ideologically anti-EU lot just huffed and puffed in the golf club. Opening it up to a referendum, which allowed everybody else the opportunity to vent their anxieties and contempt for the whole shooting match is a genie that doesn't go back in the bottle. It's not a Lexit genie because there never was a Lexit, but the sentiments expressed were real.
The remarkable thing is despite the wailing and a weeping of the Remainers there is little or no evidence to show any change in views over leave or remain.
 
Don't think the tracker shows much change in the last 18 months
 

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The remarkable thing is despite the wailing and a weeping of the Remainers there is little or no evidence to show any change in views over leave or remain.

‘Tis the thing with liberals who consider themselves to be educated; James O’Brien on LBC spent forever being a condescending twat comparing those who fancied Corbyn’s chances to those who believe in fairies at the bottom of the garden. He got his arse handed to him on that one, so he’s full on ‘leave are thicko racists’, five days a week, bleating away. This is the same James O’Brien who used his position as a journalist to back the Iraq war, as the ‘facts’ showed the threat Saddam posed. The posh prick should be signing on, yet he continues to get paid to push his bullshit on to the unwashed.
 
The remarkable thing is despite the wailing and a weeping of the Remainers there is little or no evidence to show any change in views over leave or remain.
sure, but that's because the economic shitstorm hasn't even really begun to hit home yet. and it will - we can't possibly avoid it
Equally, sooner or later May will have to choose between the softest of Brexits - that means, continued free movement, ECJ jurisdiction, and trade rules as dictated by Brussels, or an economic catastrophe.
THEN we'll see the moment of truth
 
I heard some pollster today (or yesterday, or the day before, it's all a blur now) say that people are changing their views around the edges of Brexit - in the direction of having a less favourable view of how things will go, less favourable view of how the Government is handling negotiations things like that - but very few are changing their view on the central question of how they would vote, which he reckoned was too fundamental, tribal and tied up with personal identity to shift.
 
sure, but that's because the economic shitstorm hasn't even really begun to hit home yet. and it will - we can't possibly avoid it
Equally, sooner or later May will have to choose between the softest of Brexits - that means, continued free movement, ECJ jurisdiction, and trade rules as dictated by Brussels, or an economic catastrophe.
THEN we'll see the moment of truth
can get out of ECJ thorough EFTA court and at some fucking stage THE NOTION THAT RULES ARE GLOBAL MUST KICK IN otherwise your iPhone wouldn't work globally, imperical America wouldn't be buying the same cars as metric EUrope, bananas would be more bendy....

and/or economic catastrphe
 
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As noted earlier, UK had an opt out from that. Personally I’m not bothered, but I recognise tide is in other direction in UK.
Is it. Then why did so many in France vote for Le Pen and Mélenchon in the presidential elections, both who took something of an anti-EU line. The FPÖ took 26% of the vote in Austria in October, the AfD had it's best ever result, likewise the PVV in the Netherlands - all anti-EU to a greater or lesser degree.

If the "tide" is in the other direction that's because liberal politicians are beloved of the EU, not because their electorates are.

EDIT: Oh and add the Portuguese communists to the list too. And FSM in Italy.
 
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Irish border kicked into long grass. If UK can’t find a solution then it would seem to in effect be staying in SM/CU.
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