I think remain would almost certainly win that. How many of the 48 per cent who voted remain would do anything other than vote remain again? Very few, I would think. The 52 per cent leave voters will be split by the other two options. I couldn't see anything other than Remain winning that. Seems unlikely to happen.
No split votes with AV
Martin Schulz wants 'United States of Europe' within five years Five Presidents again (not sure what it would actually take for this lot to change agenda)
yeah, but they won't. There would only need to be a very few of those voting 'soft' preferring 'remain' to 'hard' for remain to win.
Yes, fair point. I stand corrected. I still think this would produce a remain result.
Come across more Hard or Remain, including the bloke at the Spectator who wrote that
With that one, I still think there'd be close to that 48 percent figure for 'none' as first pref. AV tends to produce the least-hated option as the winner, not necessarily the most liked, and in that scenario, I would guess that the vast majority of those voting 'none' would have 'soft' as their second pref. So I think 'none' would still stand a very good chance of winning, with the only other option even remotely possible as a winner being 'soft'. 'soft-to-hard' and 'insane' would be a long way back.
As Silas Loom says. It is entirely on-topic.
If our politicans can cocoon themselves in fantasy worlds why not the urbanites?
Are you going to start calling people 'remoaners' next?
No. I'm capable of disagreeing with someone's politics while still being able to agree with something they say. Extraordinary, perhaps, but there it is.
All speculative of course, as it won't happen. My guess though is that turnout would be down, possibly hitting the brexit vote more than remain. Not so much former brexiteers changing their minds or sitting on their hands, more a case of having done the fuck you protest and not bothering to do it again. Equally though, the brexit campaign would have an open goal to portray the other side as Remoaning minnies, liberal elites trying to get the voters to overturn a vote they didn't like. But then again... the brexit campaign wouldn't be able to pull the 'free money for the NHS' stunt. Instead the Remoaniacs would be able to point out it will cost £50 billion for starters.
You do know that £50 billion was going to the EU anyway? Had someone on facebook trying to say lets stay, and spend the £50billion on the NHS -more dodgy than the bus claim.
The consequences of the vote might be messy and/or complex and/or bad. But the vote really was simple. A second referendum wasn't built in - probably should have been - but can't be time travelled into being. Or alternatively some group of politicians has to risk their careers and try and unpick the whole thing. Outside of libdem arsery, it ain't going to happen.
