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Is Brexit actually going to happen?

Will we have a brexit?


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This is the first polling I've seen that actually simulates a STV 2nd ref, with Remain, Maydeal, Nodeal as the options:

Deal or No Deal or Remain | Deltapoll

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Remain would win 1st prefs, but not with a majority. Maydeal would win 56:44 after the 2nd round.

The numbers contain a large number of Don't Know (22%) and Won't Vote (18%) responses, so really it'd be anyone's guess.
 
This is the first polling I've seen that actually simulates a STV 2nd ref, with Remain, Maydeal, Nodeal as the options:

Deal or No Deal or Remain | Deltapoll

Slide28.png


Remain would win 1st prefs, but not with a majority. Maydeal would win 56:44 after the 2nd round.

The numbers contain a large number of Don't Know (22%) and Won't Vote (18%) responses, so really it'd be anyone's guess.

Christ that's extremely unhelpful isn't it? Surprised to see remain - no deal - May deal polling so highly, as that's perhaps the daftest of all the options.
 
The analogies aren't going to stop, but at this point it makes more sense to liken other things to Brexit than the other way around, as in "If you don't anchor those posts you're going to make a real Brexit of that fence."

But anchoring the posts is my favourite bit.
 
Christ that's extremely unhelpful isn't it? Surprised to see remain - no deal - May deal polling so highly, as that's perhaps the daftest of all the options.
Perhaps the hope is that parliament will chicken out of actually doing a runner and they'll be forced to opt for remain ...
 
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No deal is way more popular as a first choice than I would have guessed. I’d have thought about 20% not 30%
 
Christ that's extremely unhelpful isn't it? Surprised to see remain - no deal - May deal polling so highly, as that's perhaps the daftest of all the options.
It’s the theory that we’re best off either in or out and that a compromise is the worst of both worlds
 
This is the first polling I've seen that actually simulates a STV 2nd ref, with Remain, Maydeal, Nodeal as the options:

Deal or No Deal or Remain | Deltapoll

Slide28.png


Remain would win 1st prefs, but not with a majority. Maydeal would win 56:44 after the 2nd round.

The numbers contain a large number of Don't Know (22%) and Won't Vote (18%) responses, so really it'd be anyone's guess.
That's very interesting - most Remainiacs are utterly convinced that a second ref would deliver a result for remain. Mind you, they are afflicted with widespread delusion. I saw a toe-curling thread on twitter last might where David Milliband made some remark about Brexit being damaging, and there were remainers responding literally begging him to come back into politics in order to solve all their problems. If you think David Milliband is the answer you are asking some very wrong questions.
 
Hold-on, how does it work though? Would you be compelled to have a transferable option, or could you just, say, back remain? Not sure I'd want to endorse other options by proxy.
If 1 preference only is acceptable, then does the poll reflect that option? *confused*
 
Re d'Ancona's article, link on previous page, and my rubbish :( late post in response to Smokeandsteam 's :

Why the fuck are you drum rolling us to fuck like we are supposed to wait on tenterhooks for you to unveil the secrets hidden in an article by Tory cunt D’Acona? If you have said then and there what points we should be taking note of fine, but don’t drum roll a Tory bastard have some shame William.

He's a Tory who's hardly worth defending, very true, so if I make the effort to point out one or two valid points that he did actually make, that won't get a great reaction here. I'd rather not attempt it, because most of his article was shite (I've just re-read it now, and ahem! :( )

I'm not even sure now why I posted that previous post** last night :oops:

**I won't delete it, but I'm just going to leave it.
 
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No matter your views, it would be pretty funny to have a second referendum that just gives the same answer as the first.
I think this is one of the reasons nobody will actually call a second ref. If you are the person who put the question to the country a second time, and the answer came back the same, your career would be over. Absolutely everybody would be fucked off with you.
 
Hold-on, how does it work though? Would you be compelled to have a transferable option, or could you just, say, back remain? Not sure I'd want to endorse other options by proxy.
If 1 preference only is acceptable, then does the poll reflect that option? *confused*
It wouldn't make any difference. Your second vote only takes effect once your first vote has been knocked out. If you voted remain first, the only way your second vote would count is once remain has already been taken off the table.
 
An idle thought creeps into my brain.

For those who saw in Brexit a chance to "fuck shit up" - both in a cynical Leftish view and in in the more visceral "up yours" response the referendum provoked in many places, would a second referendum be an opportunity to add to this? Especially if (and it's a big if) a secise referendum were to deepen discontent and bring it to the streets?

Is this a possible reason to goad on a "people's vote" campaign?

Or am I really, really reaching here to find something in this otherwise utterly dispiriting spectacle to cling on to? :D
 
An idle thought creeps into my brain.

For those who saw in Brexit a chance to "fuck shit up" - both in a cynical Leftish view and in in the more visceral "up yours" response the referendum provoked in many places, would a second referendum be an opportunity to add to this? Especially if (and it's a big if) a secise referendum were to deepen discontent and bring it to the streets?

Is this a possible reason to goad on a "people's vote" campaign?

Or am I really, really reaching here to find something in this otherwise utterly dispiriting spectacle to cling on to? :D
if the ruling class have learnt anything from the previous cock-up, they will have learnt to insert a clause in the legislation for any second referendum saying remain will win unless there's something like a 60-40 vote against.
 
The poll posted up by Crispy should be sent to Labour supporters and MP's pushing for a 'Peoples vote''.

As with the first referendum the political bubble and the middle class archipelago around it have wrongly convinced themselves that they speak for the majority.
 
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