Urban75 Home About Offline BrixtonBuzz Contact

Coronavirus - worldwide breaking news, discussion, stats, updates and more

Apparently Singapore also does not have a lockdown.

Like with a number of other places that are touted as being models for how it might be possible to do things without the most restrictive measures, I continue to urge caution about whether their approaches are sustainable.

For example last week Singapore felt the need to do this:

 
BBC Live updates page is going on about how latest Trump press conference might reveal new details about the 2.2 million death worst case scenario that he mentioned the other day.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-52101615 21:52 entry.

President Donald Trump and his team are expected to offer details on the data that led to the extension of containment efforts until, at least, the end of April.

Yesterday, the president told reporters he had been informed that up to two million Americans could die in a worst-case scenario.

We'll soon get a closer look at those models.

Well, I dont need to wait for him to talk about it more, the numbers are clearly from the now famous Imperial college report of mid March (the same one that was credited with changing UK approach to suppress instead of mitigate).


In total, in an unmitigated epidemic, we would predict approximately 510,000 deaths in GB and 2.2 million in the US, not accounting for the potential negative effects of health systems being overwhelmed on mortality.

That quote is from page 7.
 
Like with a number of other places that are touted as being models for how it might be possible to do things without the most restrictive measures, I continue to urge caution about whether their approaches are sustainable.

For example last week Singapore felt the need to do this:

Mentioned Singapore varying her restrictions on an earlier thread. It's surely a good sign: shows her government's alert to the risk of complacency, and is adjusting measures as the need arises. Right now they're on high alert over the risk of an influx of imported cases triggering a local outbreak, so this precaution's sensible. The underlying rationale of maintaining the maximum level of freedom and normality compatible with public safety is one I like. If they're forced to implement a lockdown at some point, should maximize its brevity and effectiveness.
 
Meanwhile we're pursuing hikers with drones through empty fields while allowing rammed Tube trains to run, and the Scottish govt's come up with a terrifying plan to hold juryless Diplock trials that can convict on hearsay evidence. Panic's doing untold harm.
 
The maximum level of freedom tolerated in Singapore under non-pandemic conditions is a fucking disgrace.
I'll not defend her political system for a second. The principle's transferrable without doing so, as testified by its application to Taiwan and South Korea, both undoubted democracies with the rule of law. So's Japan, although she appears a Covid outlier for all kinds of reasons.
 
Undoubted democracies lol.

But its political culture left much to be desired. I covered one general election in Singapore. At an opposition rally one leading candidate asked citizens to vote for his party because it would provide a responsible check on the ruling party’s power. Unsurprisingly, the ruling party — the only one Singapore has ever had — rolled to victory. “Vote for us; we’re good losers” does not exactly inspire people.

 
Undoubted democracies lol.



To clarify again: I said that South Korea and Taiwan were undoubted democracies (which doesn't mean I think they're anything close to perfect: I certainly don't agree with S. Korea's national security law); Singapore obviously isn't, and as I said, I'm not defending her political system.

I greatly respect your posts on this, and will chalk this up to a genuine misunderstanding.
 
To clarify again: I said that South Korea and Taiwan were undoubted democracies (which doesn't mean I think they're anything close to perfect: I certainly don't agree with S. Korea's national security law); Singapore obviously isn't, and as I said, I'm not defending her political system.

I greatly respect your posts on this, and will chalk this up to a genuine misunderstanding.

Yes I misread your post, sorry.

Anyway I will wait and see how these countries turn out in the weeks ahead, you know I'm not sure whether their measures are sustainable or not. It would certainly give us more options if they are, so I'm not wishing for them to fail, but the timing just isnt quite right for me to assume yet.
 
For those that are interested in their approach, I recommend reading both the daily documents they produce, as they give far more clues about some of the detail of managing things in that way.

South Korea official docs:


For example, from March 31st update:

○ From Uijeongbu St. Mary’s Hospital in Gyeonggi Province, 7 cases (inpatients = 4; staff/workers = 3) have been confirmed since 29 March. One patient who was in inpatient care on the 8th floor during 16-25 March was confirmed on 29 March, which prompted investigation into the contacts in the 8th floor ward, which found 6 additional confirmed cases. The 8th floor ward has been temporarily shut down. Testing is underway for around 200 healthcare staff and patients.

○ In Daegu, a total of 2,368 caregivers working in 61 hospital-grade healthcare institutions are under investigation. Approximately 97% of them have been tested as of today. All 2,118 test results returned so far have been negative.

○ Also in Daegu, a total of 2,415 inpatients admitted to 16 mental health hospitals are undergoing investigation. Approximately 67% of them have been tested as of today. All 273 test results returned so far have been negative.

Persons traveling in from overseas who fail to comply with self-quarantine regulations are subject to imprisonment up to 1 year or fine up to 10 million won (effective 5 April) for violation of Infectious Disease Control and Prevention Act (Paragraph 1 of Article 49 and Article 79-3). Persons of foreign nationality who fail to comply may be subject to measures including deportation and entry ban in accordance with Immigration Act (Articles 11 and 46).

And again, signs they felt the need to go further than the original approach that caught peoples attention:

The Korean government is promoting the Enhanced Social Distancing campaign from 22 March to 5 April. The KCDC is advising high-risk facilities, businesses and sectors to limit operation, advise people to stay home and refrain from going outside, and minimize contact with coworkers at work. The KCDC again urged people to continue to refrain from attending religious gathering, going to indoor fitness or sports facilities, or otherwise engaging in activities that make it easy to come in close contact with other people in an enclosed space, and maintain good personal hygiene including washing hands and covering coughs/sneezes.
 
Looks like this is all part of the dance from the "hammer and the dance" article. (S. Korea of course never let things spiral to the point she was left with no choice but to hammer transmission down.) Temporary restrictions that can be imposed and loosened as needed, depending on what testing shows. The extent and diligence of testing and tracing in those reports is remarkable.
 
Yes its the level of detail that made me suggest reading them.

Also a good idea to keep up on news from these countries, so we dont assume their approach is in any way easy for them.


The children's emergency center and several other facilities, as well as 45 wards on the 13th floor of the hospital, have been shut down indefinitely.

Patients who had been in adjacent wards have also been moved to negative pressure rooms, the hospital said.



South Korea’s virus fight plan will largely remain noncompulsory, Vice Health Minister Kim Gang-lip said Tuesday, with its surveillance system upheld by massive testing and contact tracing.

Korea on Tuesday added 125 to its virus tally with the total now reaching 9,786. Over half -- 5,408 -- have recovered so far. Five more people died, bringing the death toll to 163.

Of the two-week “intense” social distancing campaign that kicked off March 22, Kim said the ministry was “sorry” for the lack of a visible fall in new infections.

The campaign, announced March 21 by Prime Minister Chung Sye-kyun, encouraged voluntary compliacne from the public in distancing without imposing lockdowns or restrictions on movements.

Last week, the government said it would begin to draw up a timeline for a gradual return to normal in an eased-up social distancing strategy known as “everyday distancing.”

The concept is to enable a partial resumption of previrus routine to soften the blow on the economy while quelling the spread with practical safety regulations.

But this is only on the condition that the curve not only flattens, but declines substantially for an extended period of time.
 
They keep having to push back plans to reopen schools too.

 
Not surprised, with people returning home from countries with uncontrolled spread, now must be the highest risk time since the initial outbreak. When they're able to seal borders and, hopefully, see zero community transmission for a sustained period (not guaranteed, of course), may then reassess.
 
Persistently seeing countries anthropomorphised as female is starting to really bother me. It’s fucking weird. A country is either “it” as a thing or “they” as a collective. It’s like something from the nineteenth century to view it as some kind of mother figure.
 
Persistently seeing countries anthropomorphised as female is starting to really bother me. It’s fucking weird. A country is either “it” as a thing or “they” as a collective. It’s like something from the nineteenth century to view it as some kind of mother figure.

I agree. It's jarring. Understandable from native speakers of languages where countries are gendered as female, but don't think that's the case here.
 
BBC Live updates page is going on about how latest Trump press conference might reveal new details about the 2.2 million death worst case scenario that he mentioned the other day.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-52101615 21:52 entry.

Well, I dont need to wait for him to talk about it more, the numbers are clearly from the now famous Imperial college report of mid March (the same one that was credited with changing UK approach to suppress instead of mitigate).


Now I'm really sure that its that Imperial College report they have been trying to school Trump with, and thats why he decided to go on about how bad things would have been for the UK if it had stuck to plan a. Well that and his usual modus operandi of projecting his own failings onto someone else and then throwing them under the bus. In this case since its Johnson and the herd immunity shit, I wont complain too much.

"If you remember, they were looking at that concept - I guess it's a concept if you don't mind death, a lot of death - but they were looking at that in the UK, remember," Trump told a White House press briefing on Tuesday.

"And all of a sudden they went hard the other way because they started seeing things that weren't good, so they put themselves in a little bit of a problem."

He added: "It would have been very catastrophic I think if that would have happened."

 
Now I'm really sure that its that Imperial College report they have been trying to school Trump with, and thats why he decided to go on about how bad things would have been for the UK if it had stuck to plan a. Well that and his usual modus operandi of projecting his own failings onto someone else and then throwing them under the bus. In this case since its Johnson and the herd immunity shit, I wont complain too much.
Fuck me. Johnson was at least two weeks behind where he should have been, and Trump is two weeks behind Johnson. :facepalm:
 
Fuck me. Johnson was at least two weeks behind where he should have been, and Trump is two weeks behind Johnson. :facepalm:

Not to agree with Trump but he was probably always on a different path to Johnson, one of complete incompetence rather than deliberately letting loads of people get sick and die.

With all the fibs around testing, ventilators, PPE etc and a big proportion of their mates in the media all saying "we"* are sacrificing too much economically I am not sure any more that they (edit: we) aren't still on that path either TBH.

* of course this means "you lot"
 
Meanwhile we're pursuing hikers with drones through empty fields while allowing rammed Tube trains to run
What rammed tubes? Where?

I decided to get the bus to work today as, while two weeks ago the tube numbers were down, last week they were down so much that I started wondering about my safety. I avoided getting into a carriage that just had one man in it, and saw the only other person on the platform, a woman, do the same. (We looked at each other and knew.)
So's Japan, although she appears a Covid outlier for all kinds of reasons.
Why are you referring to countries using female pronouns? It doesn't reflect well on you.
 
Back
Top Bottom