Apparently Singapore also does not have a lockdown.
President Donald Trump and his team are expected to offer details on the data that led to the extension of containment efforts until, at least, the end of April.
Yesterday, the president told reporters he had been informed that up to two million Americans could die in a worst-case scenario.
We'll soon get a closer look at those models.
In total, in an unmitigated epidemic, we would predict approximately 510,000 deaths in GB and 2.2 million in the US, not accounting for the potential negative effects of health systems being overwhelmed on mortality.
Mentioned Singapore varying her restrictions on an earlier thread. It's surely a good sign: shows her government's alert to the risk of complacency, and is adjusting measures as the need arises. Right now they're on high alert over the risk of an influx of imported cases triggering a local outbreak, so this precaution's sensible. The underlying rationale of maintaining the maximum level of freedom and normality compatible with public safety is one I like. If they're forced to implement a lockdown at some point, should maximize its brevity and effectiveness.Like with a number of other places that are touted as being models for how it might be possible to do things without the most restrictive measures, I continue to urge caution about whether their approaches are sustainable.
For example last week Singapore felt the need to do this:
Coronavirus: All entertainment venues in Singapore to close, gatherings outside work and school limited to 10 people
Bars, cinemas and all other entertainment outlets will be closed from March 26, 11.59pm till April 30. Read more at straitstimes.com.www.straitstimes.com
I'll not defend her political system for a second. The principle's transferrable without doing so, as testified by its application to Taiwan and South Korea, both undoubted democracies with the rule of law. So's Japan, although she appears a Covid outlier for all kinds of reasons.The maximum level of freedom tolerated in Singapore under non-pandemic conditions is a fucking disgrace.
But its political culture left much to be desired. I covered one general election in Singapore. At an opposition rally one leading candidate asked citizens to vote for his party because it would provide a responsible check on the ruling party’s power. Unsurprisingly, the ruling party — the only one Singapore has ever had — rolled to victory. “Vote for us; we’re good losers” does not exactly inspire people.
To clarify again: I said that South Korea and Taiwan were undoubted democracies (which doesn't mean I think they're anything close to perfect: I certainly don't agree with S. Korea's national security law); Singapore obviously isn't, and as I said, I'm not defending her political system.Undoubted democracies lol.
Reporting in Singapore taught me to appreciate America’s messy democracy
Returning to American politics after three years in South-East Asiamedium.economist.com
To clarify again: I said that South Korea and Taiwan were undoubted democracies (which doesn't mean I think they're anything close to perfect: I certainly don't agree with S. Korea's national security law); Singapore obviously isn't, and as I said, I'm not defending her political system.
I greatly respect your posts on this, and will chalk this up to a genuine misunderstanding.
○ From Uijeongbu St. Mary’s Hospital in Gyeonggi Province, 7 cases (inpatients = 4; staff/workers = 3) have been confirmed since 29 March. One patient who was in inpatient care on the 8th floor during 16-25 March was confirmed on 29 March, which prompted investigation into the contacts in the 8th floor ward, which found 6 additional confirmed cases. The 8th floor ward has been temporarily shut down. Testing is underway for around 200 healthcare staff and patients.
○ In Daegu, a total of 2,368 caregivers working in 61 hospital-grade healthcare institutions are under investigation. Approximately 97% of them have been tested as of today. All 2,118 test results returned so far have been negative.
○ Also in Daegu, a total of 2,415 inpatients admitted to 16 mental health hospitals are undergoing investigation. Approximately 67% of them have been tested as of today. All 273 test results returned so far have been negative.
Persons traveling in from overseas who fail to comply with self-quarantine regulations are subject to imprisonment up to 1 year or fine up to 10 million won (effective 5 April) for violation of Infectious Disease Control and Prevention Act (Paragraph 1 of Article 49 and Article 79-3). Persons of foreign nationality who fail to comply may be subject to measures including deportation and entry ban in accordance with Immigration Act (Articles 11 and 46).
The Korean government is promoting the Enhanced Social Distancing campaign from 22 March to 5 April. The KCDC is advising high-risk facilities, businesses and sectors to limit operation, advise people to stay home and refrain from going outside, and minimize contact with coworkers at work. The KCDC again urged people to continue to refrain from attending religious gathering, going to indoor fitness or sports facilities, or otherwise engaging in activities that make it easy to come in close contact with other people in an enclosed space, and maintain good personal hygiene including washing hands and covering coughs/sneezes.
The children's emergency center and several other facilities, as well as 45 wards on the 13th floor of the hospital, have been shut down indefinitely.
Patients who had been in adjacent wards have also been moved to negative pressure rooms, the hospital said.
South Korea’s virus fight plan will largely remain noncompulsory, Vice Health Minister Kim Gang-lip said Tuesday, with its surveillance system upheld by massive testing and contact tracing.
Korea on Tuesday added 125 to its virus tally with the total now reaching 9,786. Over half -- 5,408 -- have recovered so far. Five more people died, bringing the death toll to 163.
Of the two-week “intense” social distancing campaign that kicked off March 22, Kim said the ministry was “sorry” for the lack of a visible fall in new infections.
The campaign, announced March 21 by Prime Minister Chung Sye-kyun, encouraged voluntary compliacne from the public in distancing without imposing lockdowns or restrictions on movements.
Last week, the government said it would begin to draw up a timeline for a gradual return to normal in an eased-up social distancing strategy known as “everyday distancing.”
The concept is to enable a partial resumption of previrus routine to soften the blow on the economy while quelling the spread with practical safety regulations.
But this is only on the condition that the curve not only flattens, but declines substantially for an extended period of time.
Persistently seeing countries anthropomorphised as female is starting to really bother me. It’s fucking weird. A country is either “it” as a thing or “they” as a collective. It’s like something from the nineteenth century to view it as some kind of mother figure.
Are you saying that countries are non-binary, or gender-fluid?I agree. It's jarring. Understandable from native speakers of languages where countries are gendered as female, but don't think that's the case here.
BBC Live updates page is going on about how latest Trump press conference might reveal new details about the 2.2 million death worst case scenario that he mentioned the other day.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-52101615 21:52 entry.
Well, I dont need to wait for him to talk about it more, the numbers are clearly from the now famous Imperial college report of mid March (the same one that was credited with changing UK approach to suppress instead of mitigate).
"If you remember, they were looking at that concept - I guess it's a concept if you don't mind death, a lot of death - but they were looking at that in the UK, remember," Trump told a White House press briefing on Tuesday.
"And all of a sudden they went hard the other way because they started seeing things that weren't good, so they put themselves in a little bit of a problem."
He added: "It would have been very catastrophic I think if that would have happened."
Trump says the UK's coronavirus plan for 'herd immunity' would have been 'catastrophic' and caused 'a lot of death'
Trump said that Boris Johnson's initial plan to allow the coronavirus to spread in order to create "herd immunity" would have been "catastrophic."www.businessinsider.com
Persistently seeing countries anthropomorphised as female is starting to really bother me. It’s fucking weird. A country is either “it” as a thing or “they” as a collective. It’s like something from the nineteenth century to view it as some kind of mother figure.
Fuck me. Johnson was at least two weeks behind where he should have been, and Trump is two weeks behind Johnson.Now I'm really sure that its that Imperial College report they have been trying to school Trump with, and thats why he decided to go on about how bad things would have been for the UK if it had stuck to plan a. Well that and his usual modus operandi of projecting his own failings onto someone else and then throwing them under the bus. In this case since its Johnson and the herd immunity shit, I wont complain too much.
Indeed, Marianne and Mother Russia beg to disagree.Vive La France!
Fuck me. Johnson was at least two weeks behind where he should have been, and Trump is two weeks behind Johnson.
What rammed tubes? Where?Meanwhile we're pursuing hikers with drones through empty fields while allowing rammed Tube trains to run
Why are you referring to countries using female pronouns? It doesn't reflect well on you.So's Japan, although she appears a Covid outlier for all kinds of reasons.