I initially posted this into the Boomtown thread on the festivals subforum, because the discussion there was becoming quite general.
But I think the festival-relevant part of vaccine discussions is better off to chat about on this thread -- here we go.
(TLDR?? : Some fests may happen next year IMO
)
====================================================================================================
My cautious!!! level of optimism concerning next year's events is not
just based on vaccines -- although those could/should be hugely important obviously.
I've been following some details about the Oxford/AstraZeneca one for instance, and unlike the recent announcements , they're being sensibly very cautious so far in Oxford, before they announce much --
further delay on revealing their prelimary stats in today's news, for instance.
They will, though, be able to supply much larger quantities for the UK than the US ones. Also cheaper, and more easily refridgerated
As well, there are many
other ways, beyond vaccines, of applying safety measures for festivals and similar events.
For example, temperature checks on entry for
everyone attending -- maybe beyond entry point as well.
And if there are properly quick/reliable Covid tests actually available by summer, events can insist on people taking them both ahead of the event (and requiring people to show proof of negative when they arrive)
and upon entry.
Plus all the obvious hygiene measures -- possible even at festivals!
(I suppose the distancing thing is the awkward 'bit' mind
-- see above though!)
Reducing size if events in quite a big way, is something I'd be amazed doesn't happen, Glastonbury and Boomtown very much included.
I actually agree with
Sunray ,
Badgers , bees etc. about a lot of the pessimism, but I'm not sure
+YET+ that any of you, or others, are allowing enough for the
possibility of better -- even quicker -- developments overall than expected.
I keep
kicking myself to stop being over-optimistic, often failing
, but the emergence of various vaccine news is making that hard
Maybe it
MAY be that people are forgetting**, with vaccines, that the amount of capital(ism
) and concentrated effort going into not just the research but also logistics and supply chains, is fucking huge!
**And even the possibility (??
) that people are
slightly underestimating our utterly incompetent Government's determination to get the population vaccinated, and failure levels there may end up being somewhere under 95%