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When I read stories like this I find it pretty random how there can suddenly be these massive spikes in places where not much was being said about before


I suppose if you have fairly low numbers in your area it would be easy to get complacent. Where I am everyone (well everyone over 21) is viably following the rules. There is just a constant threat here I suppose.
 
I suppose if you have fairly low numbers in your area it would be easy to get complacent. Where I am everyone (well everyone over 21) is viably following the rules. There is just a constant threat here I suppose.

We have fairly low numbers, and people haven't got complacent.
 
When I read stories like this I find it pretty random how there can suddenly be these massive spikes in places where not much was being said about before


I suppose if you have fairly low numbers in your area it would be easy to get complacent. Where I am everyone (well everyone over 21) is viably following the rules. There is just a constant threat here I suppose.

Coverage of areas with rising cases has been very patchy and incomplete. I am never surprised by sudden spikes because that just demonstrates how explosive this virus can be. There are plenty of hospitals down south where I look at the data and feel the situation has not been covered well by the media.

Peoples standards for what counts as bad also seems to change massively over time. People seem to be judging places relative to other places numbers at that moment in time, forgetting what number of cases per 100,000 used to count as bad and requiring local lockdowns months ago.
 
Also the detail is of interest to me, and there are plenty of hints at that detail in the article.

Prison Service officials will join the meeting following suggestions that outbreaks in the area's three prisons could be making a "limited contribution" to the high infection rate.

Prof Jackie Cassell, of Brighton and Sussex Medical School, said there were "two epidemics" in the area - one in prisons and another in the community.

There had also been a rise in infection rates in towns such as Sheerness and Sittingbourne, which are densely populated, with many people in jobs that can not be done from home, Prof Cassell said.
 
Where I am everyone (well everyone over 21) is viably following the rules.

No they aren't. And just because you decided to pin the wave on students as the main driving force doesn't make it so. They are just one of many factors that has driven this wave.
 
No they aren't. And just because you decided to pin the wave on students as the main driving force doesn't make it so. They are just one of many factors that has driven this wave.
Students are no longer included in their university’s town figures now, I gather. They’re down as living back with their parents even though they’re still actually in halls!

(edit: This is wrong, its the other way around - so you can all stop telling me it is now :))
 
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No they aren't. And just because you decided to pin the wave on students as the main driving force doesn't make it so. They are just one of many factors that has driven this wave.

From what I've seen (I meant visibly rather than viably - typo) yes they are. I'm sure there is lots of invisible rule breaking going on. The only large groups of people I see out and about are under 21. That is what I see.

I'm not pinning anything on anything just saying what I've seen from my walks. Right now, out of my window I can see a about 15 people having a kick-about in the park.
 
Students are no longer included in their university’s town figures now, I gather. They’re down as living back with their parents even though they’re still actually in halls!

Other way around. It was a problem with the data for ages, students testing positive being attached to their parental home postcode not their term-time address, but that has been corrected recently and the corrections have been backdated to apply to positive case data from September 1st onwards.
 
Sorry your right .
why do you think wet pubs should be allowed to stay open? It's pretty obvious to me that the current fall in infections in the north dates to the tier 3 restrictions being brought in, and pubs were a significant part of that - before they shut the pubs it was well out of control. Be interested to hear what the alternative might be?
 
From what I've seen (I meant visibly rather than viably - typo) yes they are. I'm sure there is lots of invisible rule breaking going on. The only large groups of people I see out and about are under 21. That is what I see.

I'm not pinning anything on anything just saying what I've seen from my walks. Right now, out of my window I can see a about 15 people having a kick-about in the park.

Fair enough. The invisible side of things is where a lot of the action is though. I see the usual stuff quoted in the Swale article, the obvious rule breaking being blamed, but they say that stuff because it is much easier than talking about the politically difficult stuff like workplace and prison and hospital infections. And because, unlike in those institutional settings, general public visible flouting of rules is something they think they can improve by appealing to the public. I am still annoyed that they did this here in Nuneaton in June when actually the spike here was due to a hospital outbreak and it was brought under control when they sorted out hospital infection control, not by getting the public to behave differently. But that particular hospital situation was much easier to spot at the time because it happened when levels of the virus in the community were not that high so the hospital figures stuck out like a sore thumb.
 
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why do you think wet pubs should be allowed to stay open? It's pretty obvious to me that the current fall in infections in the north dates to the tier 3 restrictions being brought in, and pubs were a significant part of that - before they shut the pubs it was well out of control. Be interested to hear what the alternative might be?
You’ll have to convince me that pubs were a significant part never mind cafes / coffee houses etc . Whilst I am sure there were a few rogue pubs my most recent experience of the U.K. was that many shops and other outlets didn’t apply the same stringent conditions that most hospitality venues have.
 
I see that in addition to the afternoon stuff in parliament, Johnson is now scheduled to address the public (via videoconferencing as he is still self-isolating) around 7pm.
 
You’ll have to convince me that pubs were a significant part never mind cafes / coffee houses etc . Whilst I am sure there were a few rogue pubs my most recent experience of the U.K. was that many shops and other outlets didn’t apply the same stringent conditions that most hospitality venues have.

The opportunities to be convinced have been around long enough that I no longer have any patience with this stance, and will just start writing people off as pathetic pandemic pub wankers.
 
You’ll have to convince me that pubs were a significant part never mind cafes / coffee houses etc . Whilst I am sure there were a few rogue pubs my most recent experience of the U.K. was that many shops and other outlets didn’t apply the same stringent conditions that most hospitality venues have.
Don't the infection numbers more or less speak for themselves? Areas which have had pubs closed the longest are seeing drops in infections when places which only closed the pubs at the start of the month are only starting to plateau now. Where else are those reductions coming from?
 
You’ll have to convince me that pubs were a significant part never mind cafes / coffee houses etc . Whilst I am sure there were a few rogue pubs my most recent experience of the U.K. was that many shops and other outlets didn’t apply the same stringent conditions that most hospitality venues have.

Why do you think they're closing pubs etc. then? The government would avoid that if at all possible, and in fact they have tried to, to the detriment of infection rates. Just because you went to a few that you thought seemed OK doesn't mean anything.
 
Come off it. If I've been in the pub all evening another hour isn't going to be more dangerous.

Yes it is. That’s the whole point about how it works. Every second a person spends in a potential infection scenario increases the chance of being infected, and that’s without taking into account the infection acceleration effects of people getting more drunk as a night in a pub wears on.
 
The opportunities to be convinced have been around long enough that I no longer have any patience with this stance, and will just start writing people off as pathetic pandemic pub wankers.
Thats entirely up to you and I’m not going to enter a slanging match about wankers . I read your posts learn a lot but feel free to have an option , I’m sure you wouldn’t want to deny me that and discussion can take place , with or with out you on a civil basis . Your general line has been that evidence of pubs being a problem in themselves was inconclusive but that following the logic that we can’t wait for conclusive figures in order to cut transmission closed locations that have people in them should be closed . My view is that the government isn’t following your view and is cherry picking areas that can be closed ie you can have a warehouse of people in B&Q with less restrictions than a pub , you can have gyms open but not a local cafe . I don’t think it’s wrong to question inconsistencies.[/QUOTE]
 
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