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Coronavirus in the UK - news, lockdown and discussion

Ha ha, even Nick Triggle comes out with this these days:

So why the caution? While most believe Covid will become seasonal, a bounce-back in the summer is not being ruled out.

And even if rates rebound only a little, there are still large numbers of vulnerable people. Nearly half of hospitalisations have been in the under-70s.

What is more, high levels of infection at a time when vaccines are being rolled out and immunity being built provides the perfect breeding ground for new variants. Mutation may be unavoidable in the long-term, but encouraging them at this point would, many experts believe, be foolish.

It means the government is likely to be more cautious than some would want - and indeed maybe need to be given the cost of lockdown. But the judgement being made is it's better to go slowly and surely rather than having to take any more steps back.
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www.bbc.co.uk

Covid: Boris Johnson to focus on 'data, not dates' for lockdown easing

The lifting of England's restrictions must be "cautious and prudent", Boris Johnson says.
www.bbc.co.uk
 
cupid_stunt said:
Today's update -

First dose vaccinations now just under 15.6m

New cases - 10,625, overall a drop of 27.8% in the last week.

New deaths - 799, which is down 253 on last Tuesday's 1,052, that brings the 7-day average down to around 621 a day, a drop of 25.6% in the last week.
Click to expand...

Everything continues to head in the right direction. :thumbs:

Today's update -

First dose vaccinations now just under 16m

New cases - 12,718, overall a drop of 24.1% in the last week.

New deaths - 738, which is down 263 on last Wednesday's 1,001, that brings the 7-day average down to around 585 a day, a drop of 26% in the last week.
 
I've just had a look at the map, linked from the daily update page on the gov't'd covid dashboard.
I zoomed into the MSOA scale and went for a bit of a nationwide tour.
The number of areas with "suppressed" data is growing steadily, and overall, the case rates shown has dropped significantly. There are very few purple areas to be seen, compared to even a month ago ...
 
StoneRoad said:
I've just had a look at the map, linked from the daily update page on the gov't'd covid dashboard.
I zoomed into the MSOA scale and went for a bit of a nationwide tour.
The number of areas with "suppressed" data is growing steadily, and overall, the case rates shown has dropped significantly. There are very few purple areas to be seen, compared to even a month ago ...
Click to expand...

I've never understood why that map is 5-days behind, but, yeah, it's good to see so much green in the SE now, look at the different between the 1st Jan. and 12th Feb.

1p.png1pp.png
 
gsv saw our neighbour's wife just now - things are going in the right direction but it's still looking like a few weeks in intensive care and maybe months before he can go home. I did fear that if he pulled through it would be a long road to recovery for him, as he was not in great health beforehand. Apparently he did come very close to death. :(
 
Badgers said:
:hmm:

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It was always likely that if they tried to leave the maximum suggested interval as standard that delays somewhere in the system would mean that some would go over.

Not wanting to be "I told you so", but I'm sure I mentioned that weeks ago.

Maybe the just in time approach to logistics doesn't work so well when it's something as important and time critical as public health.
 
That was an excellent thread from Mr Hopson just above, but (anyone?) how much influence will the Chief Executive Officer of NHS Providers (aka Chris Hopson!) get to have, over what the Government ends up deciding?? :hmm: :(
 
I think the really interesting bit will be treatments that keep people out of ICU, and out of hospital entirely. I hope the trials using the brown inhaler drug continue to prove successful because it feels like a total game changer to me if it continues to show it’s very effective. Easy to administer and very cheap (double bonus). It feels to me like things we can do essentially on a prophylactic basis is better overall than reactively once someone is very poorly.
 
The stuff about infection levels in younger people is probably referring to the REACT study.

The report found falls in infections across all age groups, with 18 to 24-year-olds and five to 12-year-olds currently having the highest virus levels - although still below 1%.

It estimates the over-65s have the lowest levels of virus at 0.3%.

More young children have been attending school during this lockdown than during the last one, which may have helped keep virus levels slightly higher in these age groups.

But the researchers stressed opening schools to all children was a high priority and there would have to be a "trade-off".
Click to expand...

www.bbc.co.uk

Strong decline in coronavirus across England since January, React study shows

Study finds infections fell by two-thirds - and more in London - but warns virus levels remain high.
www.bbc.co.uk
 
2hats said:
www.imperial.ac.uk

Coronavirus infections have fallen substantially in England – REACT study | Imperial News | Imperial College London

The number of people infected with the coronavirus in England has dropped by over two-thirds since January.
www.imperial.ac.uk www.imperial.ac.uk
Round 9 preprint here.
Click to expand...

I note the word partly.

During December 2020, prevalence of infection increased substantially and led to the highest-to-then levels of hospital admissions due to COVID-19, with southern regions more affected than those in the north.

The sudden increase in infections and admissions was partly attributed to a novel variant first detected in the county of Kent in the South East
Click to expand...
 
cupid_stunt said:
Everything continues to head in the right direction. :thumbs:

Today's update -

First dose vaccinations now just under 16m

New cases - 12,718, overall a drop of 24.1% in the last week.

New deaths - 738, which is down 263 on last Wednesday's 1,001, that brings the 7-day average down to around 585 a day, a drop of 26% in the last week.
Click to expand...

Today's update -

First dose vaccinations now just over 16.4m - second doses are now going up, from around 5k a day last week, to 12.4k on Tuesday & 15k yesterday.

New cases - 12,057, overall a drop of 20.3% in the last week - that percentage drop is decreasing a little.

New deaths - 454, which is down 224 on last Thursday's 678, that brings the 7-day average down to around 551 a day, a drop of 26.9% in the last week - that's the lowest average we have had this year. :thumbs:
 
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